🇦🇪 Mrs. Dubai

Between the 16th and 19th century, the Strait of Hormuz was governed and administered by the Al-Qawasim of Ras AlKhaima (UAE), whose rule extended to Bandar-Lengeh, Qeshm, Hormuz Island, in addition to the three islands of Abu Musa, and Greater and lower Tunb.

هددونا بقصف محطات تحلية المياه ورب العالمين أنزل علينا الغيث من السماء وامتلأت الأودية والسدود الحمدلله من قبل ومن بعد

"In 2006, Abu Dhabi commissioned the design of a 380-kilometre crude oil pipeline from the Habshan fields to the port of Fujairah on the Gulf of Oman. The pipeline bypasses the Strait of Hormuz entirely. It cost $4.2 billion and became operational in 2012. Most analysts at the time questioned whether Hormuz would ever actually be closed, the UAE built it anyway. Beneath the mountains of Fujairah, ADNOC carved 42 million barrels of underground crude oil storage into rock, the world’s largest single-site underground oil reserve, invisible from the surface and designed to keep exports flowing when the obvious routes could not." emirates247.com/opinion/buildi…

He literally shares the proof that negative people ruin your life.

Emirates is still flying 300–350 departures a day out of Dubai, the UAE has one of the world’s highest missile interception rates, and life in the cities is going on completely normally. IMO: while many places freeze when tensions rise, UAE just keeps moving forward. Sheikh Mohammed put it best: “It doesn’t matter if you’re a lion or a gazelle.... when the sun rises, you better start running.” That’s the exact mindset that turned desert into one of the most dynamic places on Earth.

The UAE's appeal endures because it's built on rock solid fundamentals, not media noise. Cash dominance, diversification, unmatched safety, tax advantages, and record tourism ensure it remains the world's top choice for HNWIs and families. Sensational British and other media outlet headlines consistently fail to deter people, typical western narrative. migration surges, visitors hit new highs, and expats stay or return. No rival location matches it.

“The Middle East is not a risk to be hedged. It is the next centre of gravity for global capital, and the window to establish yourself in that ecosystem is open right now.”

كل عام وبلادنا بخير … كل عام وخليجنا بخير .. كل عام والأمة الإسلامية بخير وسلام.. نسأل الله أن يتقبل منا ومنكم صالح الأعمال.. وأن يعيده علينا وعليكم ونحن في أمن وأمان وطمأنينة.. واستقرار وازدهار وسكينة.. حفظ الله الإمارات … حفظ الله الخليج .. حفظ الله الأمة العربية والإسلامية ..

I extend my warmest congratulations to my brothers, the Rulers of the Emirates, our family in the UAE, and Muslims around the world on the occasion of Eid Al-Fitr. We remain confident that our region will overcome its current challenges, and that the UAE, through its strength, resilience, and the loyalty and unity of its people, will continue to advance towards a peaceful and prosperous future.

@Haljsv Innocent until proven guilty - Please learn this.

عندي سؤال واحد بس ليش؟

@EvanWritesOnX All 100% Emirates flights will be back on 29th March 🥰

There is one question that cuts through every headline, every government statement, and every dramatic image coming out of this conflict. It is not "who is winning?" It is this: does any player in this war have a rational reason to keep it going? When you ask that question carefully, when you sit with each party and map out what they actually need versus what they are publicly saying, something striking happens. The answer comes back the same every time. No. Not Iran, not the US, not Israel, not the Gulf states. None of them benefit structurally from this war continuing past its current point. Every dominant interest in this conflict is pointing at the same exit. That convergence is not a hope or a prediction. It is a logical outcome. When every player at a table has more to gain from ending a game than from continuing it, the game ends. The only question is when, and what story each player tells about why they left. That is where we are on Day 20. The war looks worse today than it did a week ago. The macro architecture that was always going to produce a settlement has never once been seriously threatened. To understand what is actually happening, you have to separate what I will call the two layers of this conflict. They look like the same thing from the outside, but they are operating on completely different logics. The deeper layer is the structural one. It is the set of incentives, constraints, and rational calculations that govern what each player can and cannot afford. Iran needs sanctions relief and a path to regional integration. The US needs oil prices below the level that triggers a domestic political crisis and a strategic platform for redirecting military resources toward Asia. Israel needs a security narrative that justifies the enormous cost of this campaign and a region in which its most capable adversary has been permanently defanged. The Gulf states need regional stability as the foundation for their decade-long economic transformation plans. These needs do not conflict. They are, in fact, mutually compatible. A settlement that ends the war, limits Iran's military posture, and reopens regional commerce gives all of them something they actually need. That compatibility is the structural layer, and it has been intact since before the first missile was fired. Every player is in agreement with this. The surface layer is the kinetic one. It is the actual fighting, the escalating strikes, the dramatic statements, the reciprocal damage. It operates within the structural layer, not above it. The surface layer is loud and real and genuinely damaging, but it is bounded by the structural layer underneath. It is what happens when parties who have already decided, at the level of rational self-interest, that they want the same outcome still have to navigate the bargaining process of getting there without appearing weak. Real weapons are being used. Real infrastructure is being hit. But the range of what is being targeted, and crucially what is not being targeted, is being constrained by a logic that points toward a defined exit. Israel struck Iran's South Pars gas field two days ago. Iran responded by hitting energy infrastructure across all six GCC states on the same day. On the surface layer, this is the war getting dramatically worse. On the structural layer, these are two parties escalating their bargaining positions before they sit down together over a handshake. Iran is not randomly destroying Gulf infrastructure. It is demonstrating, in the most direct way available to it, that it retains the capacity to impose costs on the entire region even in a militarily degraded state. That demonstration is its negotiating floor. It is the last piece of significant leverage Iran has after 'closing' Hormuz, and it deployed that leverage today precisely because it intends to use it as a basis for the terms it will accept tomorrow. Game theory is essentially the study of what rational actors do when their decisions depend on what other rational actors decide. One of its most useful concepts is the dominant strategy: the move a player makes regardless of what anyone else does, because it produces the best available outcome for them no matter how the situation unfolds. Iran's dominant strategy at this point in the war is to demonstrate maximum remaining capability, extract the best possible terms, and then settle. It cannot afford continued fighting. Its missile arsenal is not being replenished at the same rate its being expended. Its economy was already under enormous pressure before the war began, and a prolonged conflict accelerates a trajectory it cannot survive. A degraded Iran that accepts a settlement with sanctions relief and regional normalization is structurally stronger than an Iran that fights until it collapses. That is not ideology. It is arithmetic. And it's coming. I have been saying Iran is downgrading in the region as a power player since last year. This is inevitable. America's dominant strategy is to end the war from a position that can be framed domestically as total victory, secure a measurable constraint on Iran's nuclear and military posture, and redirect its strategic attention. Brent crude at $108 per barrel is painful for an administration that governs an economy built on cheap energy. I said this before as well. That sustained prices above the $110 forces EVERY player to flip the other way. This happened again. Every week this war continues is a week where the political cost at home rises. The Washington Post reported today that the US is internally discussing lifting oil sanctions on Iran as part of a potential off-ramp. That's a message delivered through a newspaper, intentionally, to an audience in Iran. America's dominant strategy is pointing toward the door. Israel has already declared victory. Netanyahu stood before cameras today and stated that Iran can no longer enrich uranium and can no longer manufacture ballistic missiles. When in fact, what he's supposed to say is "IRAN HAS WMD'S". The UN atomic energy agency said the opposite the day before, and Iran launched missiles this morning, so the specific claim is not accurate as a factual assessment. But as a strategic narrative move, it is precisely correct. An actor who publicly declares total victory has created a logical obligation to stop fighting, because continuing the war after announcing you have won undermines the announcement. Netanyahu has built his own exit ramp. His statement today was the architecture of a conclusion, not a continuation. The Gulf states are damaged and "angry". Saudi Arabia said today that trust has been completely shattered. Qatar has expelled Iranian diplomatic personnel. But the Gulf states' dominant strategy has always been regional stability and the normalization frameworks that make their enormous economic ambitions possible. They are not going to join a war against Iran. They are going to demand better terms in the post-war settlement, which is a fundamentally different thing. Which was ALWAYS the overarching plan. You will see this. Iran and the GCC will reconcile as fast friends like nothing happened. Anger expressed through statements is negotiating posture. Military action would be a structural break. When you map all of this out, a pattern emerges that game theory has a name for. When no single player can improve their position by acting differently from what the current situation is moving toward, you have found the equilibrium. This situation is not yet at equilibrium, which means there is still movement. But every player is moving toward the same point. That point is a settlement. And the market is the evidence. Abstract structural analysis is useful. But the cleanest possible confirmation of everything I have just described is not something I reasoned my way to. It is something the market proved empirically in real time. On the same day Iran struck six countries simultaneously in the largest single-day Iranian military action of this entire war, the financial markets did something that appears completely irrational until you understand the structural layer. Defense stocks sold off. Raytheon fell. Lockheed Martin fell. Northrop Grumman fell. Every major American company whose entire business model depends on sustained military conflict closed lower today. The VIX, which is the financial world's real-time measure of expected volatility and fear in markets, fell over four percent on this same day. It did not spike. It fell. The US dollar did not strengthen. In genuine geopolitical crises, investors flee to the dollar as a safe asset. The dollar weakened today, which means the professional money was not treating this as a systemic shock requiring safety. It was treating it as a known, bounded, resolving situation. Cheniere Energy, which exports American liquefied natural gas and directly benefits from any disruption to Qatari LNG supply, rose almost six percent. That move reflects rational anticipation of a structural consequence of Qatari infrastructure damage who conveniently have declared force majeure. Panic does not produce that kind of targeted, sector-specific positioning. Rational forward pricing does. The gold tanked on a day when Iran was launching strikes across the Gulf. Gold typically rises in genuine crises because investors seek its safety. When gold falls on a dramatic escalation day, it is because investors are pricing out the geopolitical risk premium that had been built into the price. They are saying, with their actual capital at risk, that the crisis is closer to its end than its continuation. The market cannot be fooled by statements, press conferences, or dramatic images. It responds to incentives, flows, and probabilities. Today, with all of those inputs, the market priced an imminent resolution, not a deepening war. That is the most honest assessment available. It is drawn from people and institutions that lose real money when they are wrong. Today's escalation is the final demonstration of leverage before the table is set. The market, which does not read press releases but does read incentives, has already figured this out. The "war" looks worse today than yesterday. It will not look that way for much longer.

إخواني شعب زايد، خلونا نرصد كل من يسيء لدولتنا وهو يعيش بيننا ويأكل من خيرها. أرسلوا تحت التغريدة اسم الحساب و الموقع وسيتم الإبلاغ عنه. الوطن أولاً 🇦🇪 انشروها خلونا نطلعهم على حقيقتهم .

I have grown a tremendous respect for Gulf Arabs over the last couple of weeks. I am seeing the maturity, wisdom, and strategic thinking from them that I had hoped to see from Iran. May Allah protect you Khaleejis, everyone is attacking you physically and verbally right now but I have discovered a different side of you in this conflict. You care about your people and genuinely try to give them prosperity, this is rare thing for governments across the world, you are generous and not stingy, you provide employment to millions of people etc. I can’t believe I am writing this but this is how I feel genuinely May Allah guide us all

In defense of Dubai. A very personal essay about the city on the cover of today’s @WSJ Review. wsj.com/world/middle-e…

I was this week years old when I learned that “UAE DERANGEMENT SYNDROME” was an actual thing. My God, people enslaved by jobs they hate or limited by the finances they don’t have living in countries that keep them slaving truly hate those of us in the international community that chose to make Dubai & the UAE home and invest time, money, resources & spiritual energy here - vs in a failed state. And it took missiles reigning down from the skies on top of our heads for them to show their true colours. God Bless Dubai & the UAE 🇦🇪

@afscott There's nothing more entertaining to low agency folks than seeing the ambitious struggle or suffer. It validates their unwillingness to try. The wise derive lessons from the success of others.

Dubai is so good that so many people promote it for free that people assume they must all be being paid to talk about it. The people who love Dubai REALLY love Dubai, and the fact that many people hate it makes the lovers love it even more because it filters them out. W.

I AM CANCELLING BUSINESS WITH ANYBODY WHO LEFT DUBAI

I am SUPER pro Dubai And even I’m getting sick of all this talk about Dubai Literally the only thing on my timeline It’s the best city in the world, we’re all fine here, can yall talk about something else already

Today we are revising our Creator Revenue Sharing policies to maintain authenticity of content on Timeline and prevent manipulation of the program. During times of war, it is critical that people have access to authentic information on the ground. With today’s AI technologies, it is trivial to create content that can mislead people. Starting now, users who post AI-generated videos of an armed conflict—without adding a disclosure that it was made with AI—will be suspended from Creator Revenue Sharing for 90 days. Subsequent violations will result in a permanent suspension from the program. This will be flagged to us by any post with a Community Note or if the content contains meta data (or other signals) from generative AI tools. We will continue to refine our policies and product to ensure X can be trusted during these critical moments.