Harvey Specter 🌐

My Grok review.

Why do kids from conservative families keep showing better mental health stats? Abigail Shrier had a compelling answer on Stella O’Malley’s podcast. She pointed to research from Jonathan Haidt and Jean Twenge and said it’s less about politics and more about skepticism. While mainstream culture pushed heavy tech use, overprotection, loss of independence, and weakened parental authority, conservative parents tended to push back harder and protect their kids from the worst of it. Her bigger point: when it comes to your child’s core values and well-being, your voice as a parent should carry the most weight. No one else has fewer conflicting incentives. This makes a lot of sense to me. In a culture throwing so many mixed messages at kids, parental confidence and healthy skepticism seem like powerful shields. Youth mental health is in crisis. Understanding what actually protects kids — independence, boundaries, and strong parental guidance — feels more urgent than ever. What’s one cultural trend you think parents should be more skeptical of today?

@itsnwts This is a mid-wit argument. You either believe in equal treatment, or you don't. For example, a Gen Z male today does not retain the analog of extra "bananas" that some other males might have received in the past.

At times male anger at ‘women getting special treatment’ reminds me of a gorilla experiment. One gorilla gets a banana every hour. The females next to him get one every four hours. Then someone decides to be fairer and gives the females a banana every two hours instead. The original gorilla? He flips out. He's still getting his banana every hour, but it feels like a loss because his advantage shrank. That's how a lot of men react to basic fairness for women: not as justice, but as theft.

@heidi_liberty76 @wil_da_beast630 @SchmukQatarlson There are other laws that control people too: Seat-belt laws and laws against drug use, for example. Child support payment, for instance, has for decades mostly affected men's autonomy. Why does a law infringing on autonomy only become an issue when it only affects women?

@wil_da_beast630 @SchmukQatarlson I can't stand neanderthal men who hate and want to control women but I equally can't stand "enlightened" women who support everything that destroys families, society, this country, and truth! You are right and it doesn't matter who likes it or hates it. The truth doesn't care.

Since she linked me: nope. I am a ~professional statistician - stats prof at a state university. This and similar data sets are extremely easy to interpret. Almost all look simply at liberal vs conservative affiliation or party affiliation. Women shifted 23 points to the left. Men shifted 1 point to the right. You cannot respond to this fact simply by saying "Well - the left is GOOD!" Come on.

Sex differences in the mood disorders have always existed. But modern-day radical progressivism among young women reflects something much more profound. A more complete cluster B profile.

@HannahDCox You're defining anyone who disagrees with your political views as "radical" and "nuts". The other side could easily accuse you of the same. But also notice that the gap starts to widen just as the smartphone & social media goes mainstream. That's the most plausible cause.

Men on X are desperately trying to use a data set they clearly don’t have the reading comprehension to even understand to argue against women’s rights. In reality, this data shows women have come to care more about issues like the environment and bodily rights compared to women 20 years ago. Meanwhile, young men are far more likely to be against women’s rights and for political violence than their dads were. It’s clear which group is actually radically and which one is merely running away from the nuts.

@CJFerguson1111 You need to ban a new generation from using social media and phones until they're about 16. Then you will see what happens. Do you predict it would be a big bunch of nothing in that case too?

New study finds a big bunch of nothing regarding the effectiveness of school phone bans. Given I'd say these researchers, if anything, lean in the moral panic direction, that's a surprise. Note: even the "significant" relationships they mention are lower than r = .10, so very likely statistical noise (in either direction), which is probably why it flip-flops. Not a great outcome for believers in these bans. Unpublished paper though, so take with grain of salt.

@GreenSightCap @AdamSinger When someone is forced to pay child support, that stems from a law that infringes on their bodily autonomy. Most of the people subject to such a law for decades were men. It was a non-issue - the culture didn't object to it on the grounds that it infringed one's bodily autonomy.

Answer: these are net preference numbers for each gender. The chart doesn’t show that “women radicalized while men stayed normal.” It shows that the balance between young women who considered themselves “conservative” or “liberal” has shifted. It doesn’t mean women are more radical or hold stronger beliefs, it just kind of tracks that women would have a preference for the ideology that isn’t actively blocking women’s health services and passing laws on their bodily autonomy.

Pretty much every chart over the last few years says women radicalized while men stayed normal, but we've seen almost no media coverage about this. Should be a huge story with ongoing coverage. Curious

AI 虚拟女友一个月赚4.3万美金！ 我今天看到这个帖子，直接看呆了。 一个21岁的 Austin 大学生，用 AI 造了一个叫 Maya 的 OnlyFans 账号，第一个月就赚了4.3万美元。 问题是——照片里那个女孩，根本不存在。 Maya 22岁，UCF 心理学辍学生，1247个付费订阅者，单月最高一个粉丝就刷了1847美元。 她没有拍视频，没有真人打字，所有消息都是 Claude Code 写的，所有照片是 Flux 生成的，声音是 ElevenLabs 合成的。整个 Maya 只是他 MacBook 里四个 .md 文件。 以前造一个 AI 虚拟网红要花半年甚至一年半，现在只需要4个星期，下一个可能就是一个周末。 作者详细写了 Maya 的四个文件： persona.md 写她完整的人设、背景、喜好； voice.md 锁声音风格； flux.md 固定长相和拍摄风格； brain.md 记录每个订阅者的记忆和互动历史。 Claude Code 每次回复前都会读这四个文件，从不崩人设，也从不忘记粉丝说过什么。 真的很感慨，技术栈已经简单到可怕的地步。 以前的 Aitana López 花了18个月，现在 Maya 4周就跑通了。 这已经不是科幻，而是任何一个有 laptop 的人都能复制的路径——从 OnlyFans 到 Instagram、TikTok、Twitch，随便哪个平台都能套。 AI 让“虚拟人”成本降到了几乎为零，剩下的唯一瓶颈，是你有没有那个 taste 去决定这个虚拟人要成为什么样子。

@PolishUsa @BeatrixdeSol @VivaldiVril Excellent.

@NWOBruh @BeatrixdeSol @VivaldiVril I only “liked” women I’d consider for a relationship towards marriage or at least long term girlfriend. I focused on custom messages for them. I was sincere.

This chart is like a Ouija board for dimwits. If you see truth in it, you don't know anything about what makes men attractive to women in real life. TOUCH GRASS. Absent extreme misfortune, the difference between sex appeal and inceldom is completely within a man's grasp.

@PolishUsa @BeatrixdeSol @VivaldiVril This is very interesting. In what way were you intentional? How did you approach it?

@BeatrixdeSol @VivaldiVril I met my wife online back in 2002. I didn't mass swipe. I think mass swiping is like blasting a boom box in public. It's absolutely ruined the public discourse. I was rewarded for being intentional but also determined and my wife as well followed the same methodology.

@DpDheer @dwarkesh_sp He's a geneticist. This is what ancient DNA is telling us.

Dwarkesh, Reich sounds intelligent but is throughly confused and ignorant about real history of India and hides behind the colonial racial narrative imposed to classify people arbitrarily solely to hand on to power. How you get impressed by him indicates woefully inadequate grounding you have on your heritage and merrily singing the outside fictional perspective.

One of the coolest stories I heard from David Reich about the interaction between genetics and human culture: The caste system was powerful enough to essentially 'freeze' Indian genetics for thousands of years, almost completely stopping the process of genetic mixture.

@Revenant443379 @jose40840063237 @DrDaniS I don't even think he thinks they're distinct genetic categories. He has used the electromagnetic spectrum as an analogy for genetic-based population taxonomy. In any case, you could eschew the loaded term "race" for "population" and it doesn't really change the substance much.

@NWOBruh @jose40840063237 @DrDaniS I've gotta get back to you later if you want to legit get into it, too much screen time. For now I'll just say he fundamentally premises much of his work on race being a set of distinct genetic categories. It's ahistorical and incompatible with credible ethnogenetic science.

Feminism told women that marriage was a form of oppression. It insisted that Motherhood was a life-sentence. Women listened. Feminism promised freedom, independence, and success. Women did everything Feminism told them to do. Now they are lonely, depressed, and childless. Feminism is still going strong. It is the women who listened to it that are broken.

@Revenant443379 @jose40840063237 @DrDaniS In many ways Sailer's views on HBD have been vindicated. I have argued several times with HBDers for going beyond the data, I should add. But I just follow the weight of the evidence. Which aspect do you suppose he's wrong about?

@NWOBruh @jose40840063237 @DrDaniS You dont end up a proponent of Sailers HBD out of sheer unfettered curiosity. Not intended as a jab but I think you should consider going back to basics and brush up on how to scrutinize the content of your sources because I badly regret having been in your shoes as long as I was

The dilemma of balancing freedom of expression against limiting the spread of misinformation is a central debate in modern information ecosystems. In our latest paper, we measured citizens’ preferences for speech governance in 40 countries (N = 47,719). People are nearly evenly split between protecting free expression (51%) and preventing misinformation from spreading (49%). However, this preference is politically polarized: in 32 out of 40 countries, right-leaning participants prioritize protecting free expression more than left-leaning participants (55% vs. 48%). This polarization pattern is amplified by political interest--people who care the most about politics are the most polarized. osf.io/preprints/psya… This paper was led by @TobiaSpampatti @laura_k_globig @steverathje2 and @H_Sjastad

A 2023 study found that white progressives in the US and UK avoid living in racially diverse neighborhoods and are more likely to move away from them than white conservatives. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ss…

The chart has a point to make. Yet the labeling is absurd. Note that it uses "liberal" and "left" interchangeably. The thinkers on the left most driving its current ideology have been Rousseau, Marx, Marcuse, Foucault, and their followers. Not a single one of them is liberal. They are all strongly and consistently anti-liberal. Call them what they are -- authoritarian, socialist, maternalist, etc. -- rather than sloppy journalistic labels.

No matter the poll, Bukele's approval rating is nearly always over 90%. In the last three polls, it's 93%, 93%, and 94%. I've never seen anything like this. We need to study this regime. The international community has massively underestimated the importance of public order.

@sTeamTraen @jayvanbavel Amazing that it's not always double-blind. What could be the reason for that?

@NWOBruh @jayvanbavel Peer review isn't always double-blind, and in any case the handling ("action") editor knows who the authors are (and may very well have worked or socialised with them in the recent past), and vice versa. Reviewers make recommendations but the action editor decides,

Prestige bias is a major problem in academia: success in academia leads to numerous unfair advantages (eg., professors at prestigious universities have an easier time getting their papers published). But prestige bias is bigger in fields that are less scientific (eg., art, history, politics, and philosophy). In these fields, the claims of academics are hard to test so people rely more on prestige as a heuristic about the truth of their claims. In contrast, fields where claims are more testable exhibit lower concentrations of prestige markers (eg., math, physics, computer science, and medicine). This makes it easier for unknown or early career researchers to break through and have success. A new analysis finds that a 10% increase in the testability of claims in a field is associated with a 9% decrease in citation concentration. Evaluators rely less on prestige for quality assurance when the work is testable. My field is psychology is in the middle (close to biology). In the last decade, the credibility revolution has dramatically changed the field. As people published replication attempts, several the leading figures in the field lost significant prestige when their claims did not hold up to empirical scrutiny. This is actually the sign of a healthy scientific field: Prestige should not trump empirical evidence. kurtishingl.com/files/PTTS_lat…