NWS Climate Prediction Center

Triple-digit heat is likely for parts of California and the Southwest late this weekend into next week, with highs potentially reaching 110 degrees F in the Desert Southwest, and 100 to 105 degrees F in southern sections of the Central Valley of CA.

Unseasonably chilly and windy conditions likely across much of the Midwest and East late next week. Freezing or near-freezing temperatures may damage sensitive crops across areas of the Midwest. In some areas, high winds could result in low wind chills not typically seen in May.

Based on current model forecasts, a moderate risk (40 to 60% chance) of tropical cyclone development is indicated for the Western Pacific from the Marianas to the western Marshall Islands, during the period of May 6 to May 12. See short-range updates at Weather.gov/gum.

An unseasonably cold pattern is favored across most of the central and eastern US end of April into early May. Possible much below normal temperatures and near freezing low temperatures across parts of the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes region could damage early blooming crops.

Early season heat is forecast across the eastern U.S. next week, with portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast possibly having temperatures above 90 deg F for the first time this year. Drought expansion and increased wildfire threat are also a concern.

A Final #LaNina Advisory has been issued. An #ElNino Watch remains in effect. (2/2) cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analy…

#ENSO-neutral conditions are present and are favored through April-June 2026 (80% chance). In May-July 2026, El Niño is likely to emerge (61% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026. (1/2) cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analy…

Parts of TX, OK, AR, and northwest LA may see heavy precip and flooding late next week. Heavy precip is also possible from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes. Watch for flash flood alerts and rising river levels, especially in areas that have had recent precip!

A high risk of heavy precip is posted for parts of TX, OK, AR, and Northwest LA Apr 10-11, with a moderate risk from the S. Plains to the Great Lakes Apr 10-12. Heavy precip may lead to flash flooding and increased river levels, especially in areas that have had recent precip.

Heavy rainfall and thunderstorms are forecast from eastern portions of the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley northeast towards the Great Lakes region during the first half of week-2. This is associated with a low pressure system and adequate Gulf moisture.

Unseasonably warm temps in late March are expected to continue to dry out vegetation in the Plains. Combined with a moderate risk of high winds on April 2-3, wildfire danger may increase across the Central and Southern High Plains. Visit weather.gov/safety/wildfire for safety info

NOAA #SpringOutlook 2026: Above-normal temperatures favored across the West & eastward to include much of Plains, lower/mid MS Valley, Tenn. Valley, SE & southern Mid-Atlantic noaa.gov/news-release/s… @NWSCPC, @NWS

NOAA's #SpringOutlook 2026: Drought forecasted to expand in U.S. West, parts of Plains noaa.gov/news-release/s… @NWS, @NWSCPC

A #LaNina advisory remains in effect. An #ElNino Watch has been issued. (2/2) cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analy…

A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in the next month, with #ENSO-neutral favored through MJJ 2026 (55% chance). El Niño is likely to emerge In JJA 2026 (62% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026. (1/2) cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analy…

🌡️ Heat is forecast to increase across the Southwest on Thursday and Friday, with numerous daily and some monthly temperature records expected to be tied or broken. This early-season heat will be hazardous for anyone without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration.

Unseasonably hot conditions likely to continue across much of the West late next week. cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predi…

Warmer conditions are coming for the West! Probabilities reach 90-100% across the Southwest. Temps may reach upper 80s over the CA Valley and triple digits over the Desert Southwest. This pattern may lead to early onset of high-elevation snowmelt.

Elevated risk of heavy precipitation and flooding across the South-Central and Eastern U.S. next week

Elevated risk of heavy precipitation and flooding across the South-central and East-central U.S. next week continues, visit cpc.ncep.noaa.gov