NWS Climate Prediction Center

A #LaNina advisory remains in effect. An #ElNino Watch has been issued. (2/2) cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analy…

A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in the next month, with #ENSO-neutral favored through MJJ 2026 (55% chance). El Niño is likely to emerge In JJA 2026 (62% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026. (1/2) cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analy…

🌡️ Heat is forecast to increase across the Southwest on Thursday and Friday, with numerous daily and some monthly temperature records expected to be tied or broken. This early-season heat will be hazardous for anyone without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration.

Unseasonably hot conditions likely to continue across much of the West late next week. cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predi…

Warmer conditions are coming for the West! Probabilities reach 90-100% across the Southwest. Temps may reach upper 80s over the CA Valley and triple digits over the Desert Southwest. This pattern may lead to early onset of high-elevation snowmelt.

Elevated risk of heavy precipitation and flooding across the South-Central and Eastern U.S. next week

Elevated risk of heavy precipitation and flooding across the South-central and East-central U.S. next week continues, visit cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

Elevated risk of heavy precipitation and flooding across the South-Central and East-Central U.S. in early March, visit cpc.ncep.noaa.gov for more information

After a dry winter, there is an increased risk of heavy precipitation for the Central and Southern Plains eastward into the MS/TN/OH Valleys during early-mid March cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predi…

Above-normal temperatures favored for nearly the entire United States except Alaska and Maine during early-mid March. cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predi…

An active pattern is possible next week! Heavy rain for northern CA, the Pacific Northwest, and Ohio Valley region, with high elevation heavy snow across the Cascades, Sierra, and Interior West. High winds forecast for the coastal Northwest, Rockies, and Great Plains.

The Week-2 and Week 3-4 Outlooks favor above-normal precipitation persisting across the Pacific Northwest from late February into early March. cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in February-April 2026 (60% chance), with ENSO-neutral likely persisting through the Northern Hemisphere summer (56% chance in June-August 2026). A #LaNina Advisory remains in effect. #ENSO cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analy…

Major pattern change favors an increased risk of hazardous weather over much of the western half of the U.S.

Major Pattern Change for the West cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

A warm up in temperatures is predicted across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast U.S. by mid-Feb. Concerns include snowmelt, localized areas of flooding, thinning ice on ponds, and possible river ice jams. Cooler and wetter conditions for the West. cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

Extreme cold returns to the East this weekend. A significant arctic outbreak will bring bitter temperatures, dangerous subzero wind chills, and the potential for brief snow squalls across the Northeast and northern Mid-Atlantic. 🥶❄️

Another blast of arctic air anticipated during the second week of February. Visit cpc.ncep.noaa.gov for more information.

Here are the latest Key Messages on the dangerous wind chills and bitterly cold temperatures that will move across the Northern and Central Plains into Northeast over the next week!

Key Messages for Late January Extreme Cold. wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/key_messages/L…