Raph

#BTC peaks compared to the Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI): Negative values historically indicate looser-than-average financial conditions. All 5 #BTC peaks occurred with NFCI values below -0.6. Currently, the NFCI is at -0.53. 👀

MACD bullish crossover on Bitcoin's weekly chart. (pending) Most will call this the bottom. Chart history says otherwise. When this crossover fires in deep bearish territory, divergence typically follows. Translation: price goes lower first. The crossover is the setup, not the signal. Wait for confirmation.

@TriSbitcrypto @MatthewHyland_ It's a hidden bullish divergence

@MatthewHyland_ This is hidden bearish divergence, matching our current bearflag. Chances of breaking down instead if up is roughly 65-75%.

#BTC Weekly RSI divergence strengthening:

@astronomer_zero @MrIgrek That's simply not true and I'm shocked you think it is

@MrIgrek It is. The market price is the avg between lowest ask and highest bid. So if lowest ask rises, market price rises.

One of the most misunderstood concepts in markets: Price doesn't need sellers to move down or buyers to move up. Conceptually, if the lowest asker in $BTC asks 97100, and the second lowest asker, asks 99000. And the lowest asker decides to no longer sell his/her $BTC, and removes asks, then price succesfully moved up without anyone buying or selling. Not buying or selling, instead this, determines 90% of the market's price movement and is called market making. The act of it moves price, and it is driven as a counter of generic sentiment which in turn is a product of cyclical advance.

@bigpey dumping

Name something Cardano does better than any other blockchain!

@julianhosp zeig mir bitte deine Shorts :)

Meine Preisziele in EUR: Next Stop 75.000 EUR Dann 55.000 EUR Dann 20.000 EUR Dann 1.000 EUR Stockwerk runter nach dem anderen, weil eins nach dem anderen jetzt was schief geht.

@benwgmi_ these engagement posts are getting so annoying

Lost $4 million today. Years of work, wiped out in one candle. No drama, no excuses, just reality. Goodbye X.

@_TJRTrades go to smaller TFs and you'll see a lot more imbalances

Btc looks good here

@JoshMandell6 A support line

MSTR .... I see something so I am buying a bit

@CryptoTraalala @IncomeSharks I mean c'mon, of course you can fake volume short term to distort OBV via wash trading, but on the daily chart over a long period across all exchanges? The costs of doing so would far exceed the benefit.

That's half true, at best Why are you saying volume cannot be manipulated ? You can perfectly wash trade. Bots and market makers can create artificial trading activity without real money changing hands. And they actually do. I agree OBV is an indicator, but that's clearly not a truth oracle

$ETH - The reason I put so much weight into OBV is how clean the entries and exits are. And unlike a lot of indicators it's actually leading because volume usually precedes price. And it's not hindsight, you can actually make actionable decisions.

@coinbureau "always preceded a new ATH", sure ... May 2018: -57% to 3k Dez 2021: -67% to 15k

🚨BULLISH: #Bitcoin has touched its 50-week moving average, a level that’s always preceded a new all-time high. Sept 2024: +99% to $109K 📈 Apr 2025: +50% to $125k📈 Now, $BTC sits near $101K, testing the line. New ATH next? 👀

@CryptoTraalala @IncomeSharks That's the whole point of OBV. Prices can be manipulated, volume can’t. If price rises artificially on low volume, OBV won’t follow. Same on the downside. When price moves with real volume, OBV confirms the move.

@IncomeSharks Even in crypto where the price is widely manipulated?

@astronomer_zero FYI, your range low aligns perfectly with the 0.5f retracement from the April low to ATH leg

$BTC 105k likely will not hold. What to do next? I am planning to make a stubborn move here. So, we wanted 105k to hold and price to reverse there. I expected the reaction to lead us higher, but this time, I was wrong. Left the trade some room to breathe but indeed, it is going deeper regardless. When the idea is wrong like this, there are two options. The most logical option is: to exit the trade, and let price go for the next area of liquidity, which is the wick at 101k. But given my conviction that this range will hold and eventually break to the upside; and knowing that I may have stepped into this long a bit early; and finally, because I’m simply exhausted by seeing nearly every post met with calls for lower while price only heads slightly lower each time, I’m going to do something stubborn. And that is to indeed plan to double up my long position as mentioned last post. And I will do that, once 101k area is reached, which, if executed successfully, will be a 4% risk of my entire crypto net worth, which is double from what I usually take. This area of 101k is the lowest most extreme area price is allowed to trade for our range idea to remain valid. If after doubling up, it fails, then I am truly wrong and I will just take the large risk and take a big loss. Is this stubborn? Yes. Is it recommended to trade along? Probably not. But since I called this range ages ago, and since we are still trading inside it, I think I can allow myself to make this move. And I just can't let this one go given our prior analysis, the endless amount of top callers on top, and the excessive caution we see on each and every pullback out there, both in the books as on the socials. That's not top behavior at all, that's a scared, sidelined audience of participants. I want to counteract that. And albeit with bigger risk, it's all built on the backbone of this range which we are still trading in. Hope it works out. Just sharing what I do. Some serious conviction on the table now. Hope that sheds a light on some of your doubts you may have out there of where $BTC leads crypto next.

@IncomeSharks Everyone keeps saying “everyone’s bearish” and treats that as a bullish signal, but if everyone is calling “everyone bearish” to justify being bullish, then in reality, everyone’s still bullish

Everyone saying this is the worse the timeline has been while then saying to buy or hold proves the opposite point. Bull posts still getting plenty of engagment, people pretending to be bearish but hoping for higher... Sometimes sentiment is right and reflects what's happening.

@TheBTCTherapist people got numb to this bs

So President Trump says he wants the U.S. to be number one in crypto and even says crypto 8 times and the price goes down. Do you understand what this means?

@Cointelegraph median > average

📊 MARKETS: With average November gains of over 40% since 2013, will this month follow history or take a different path? Moonvember, we’re rooting for you.

@saylor even if I wanted to, I would not be able to buy every local top like you do, that's impressive.

Strategy has acquired 397 BTC for ~$45.6 million at ~$114,771 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 26.1% YTD 2025. As of 11/2/2025, we hodl 641,205 $BTC acquired for ~$47.49 billion at ~$74,057 per bitcoin. $MSTR $STRC $STRK $STRF $STRD strategy.com/press/strategy…

@AltcoinDaily The average is skewed by the massive 450% surge in 2013. The median tells the real story.

Bitcoin ends October in red, first time in over 6 years. We now step into $BTC's historically most significant month for gains, November, with an average increase of 42.51% since 2013. Meaning #Bitcoin could surpass $160,000 this month if history rhymes.

@RaoulGMI Has anyone considered we might already be in a bear market? BTC/EUR topped in January, most alts are down 50%+ since then. Last cycle, nobody realized it was a bear until the May 22 crash. ETH bottomed in June, BTC only did a final sweep in November. Feels like déjà vu brewing.

I usually like to give you a small fragment of Global Macro Investor when I sit down to write it as I did this weekend. Crypto is driven by liquidity as you know. For TOTAL2ES to break higher, you need liquidity to make new highs...the Gov shutdown and TGA delayed it ... but 1/

@Stefan_B_Trades could be spoofing

Someone really wants some fills on $ETH

@buttercupmoney it does not look tempting at all tbh

Don’t long this please. No matter how tempting it may look.