@KeithMcCullough @HoweGeneration Lol, Hefty! Hefty! Hefty! vs Wimpy! Wimpy! Wimpy!
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Nando
177 posts
Neil @HoweGeneration , having a Fourth Turning day eh!
Nice job with the $MEOH $XOM etc. Longs, but your Shorts are making you look like a young Paul Tudor Jones
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Closing update #ES_F: No change, bears control until 6575 (starts the squeeze) then 6592 ultimately recover. This is the 9th Thursday in a row ES has been red. If grind continues 6524, then 6505 next below. Newsletter out soon talking triggers in advance of 6575
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Little to do now in #ES_F but wait for next trigger. Today's targets given 8am was 6604 (hit), 6623 (hit), 6638. We got to 6623 then sold. 6575 failure then triggered lower and supports were 6542 (spent an hour here), 6524 (incoming).
6505 below. 6575 must recover to squeze
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Slow grind down now in #ES_F with our points in the books little to but wait. Today's target off 6575 support (6592 reclaim trigger) were 6604 (hit), 6623 (hit), 6638 (not yet). Bulls must recover 6575 now to see 6592. Bears control below 6592. 6542, 6524 next supports down
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@AdamMancini4 One massive airstrike by Iran and $SPX will be -5%
Trump's BS is temporary
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Nonstop setups in #ES_F given both live here & in newsletter for big run from last eve/this morning. Most recent trade given at 11:38AM: Failed Breakdown of 6623. We swept it & ran. Targets were 6648 (hit), 6664, 6690, then 6716
Hold runner. Flagging all day. 6623=bull/bear line
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Another trade in the books in #ES_F. At 11:38AM (after running to 6690+ target) I posted to watch for traps of 6623. We trapped it down to 6617, recovered, longs triggered up 1st target was 6648, just. 6664, 6690, 6716 remain above. Bulls control above 6623, bears below
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Note: 6574, 6552 are below here 6591. As always when the routine daily "elevator dwn" is underway, do not knife catch. Wait for the Failed Breakdown per newsletter which will generate the next squeeze leg later on
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We are getting range expansion and this is 10/10 prime conditions. 6612 Failed Breakdown was long trigger given 4pm yesterday. We ran to 6647 1st target exact at 8am, then dipped
6623 remains the magnet. Bulls want to recover to see 6635, 6647, 6663, 6676.
6604, 6592=supports
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Ultra precision today in #ES_F and prime lvl to lvl day trading. 6623 remains magnet. Per 4pm newsletter ystd, 6612 yesterday low Failed Breakdown was long trigger. We got it 630AM. Targets given were 6647 (hit), 6663, 6676. We just dipped back 23 magnet. Same lvls/targets
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@AdamMancini4 Does the market ever reach a tipping point where there is no shorts left so squeezes become minimal to none? Tx
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Note: Above 6658-62 is 6679, 6690, 6703, then the big 6716 backtest
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Its a day traders market today in #ES_F and all about 6623 support posted 8am. We've been testing/trapping all day, and just hit it again. No change: 6635 reclaims see (6642 - hit 2x), 6658-62. No rally today until that recovers
Bears control fully under yesterday's 6716 support
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
First micro squeeze of the day in #ES_F but bears retain full control below 6716 and we can only sustain a rally today when 6658-62 recovers. After spending the morning trapping/testing 6623 support, I posted 6635 reclaims see 6642 (hit), 6658-62 above. Same supports downside
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@AdamMancini4 What’s the difference between es and spx only like two points ?
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Quick start for #ES_F. I posted at 750am that the reclaim of 6822 starts us higher with 6832 1st target (hit), 6838 2nd (hit), 6848-52 (hit) stuck here for the last hour. 6866, 6876, 6884, 6904 are next up.
6843, 6822 now supports. Same levels otherwise from morning tweet
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Everyday has seen a Failed Breakdown in #ES_F. Yesterday's trigger given 9:22AM was 6742 Failed Breakdown. Targets were 6832, 6843, 6852. We hit 6852 overnight Plan today: 6822, 6813 (watch traps)=supports. 6822 recoveries see 6832, 6838, 6848-52. 6813 fails sell 6795, 6782
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@AdamMancini4 @Jeannin65408671 Hi Adam, curious as to why you prefer SMA as opposed to Wilders? Tx
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Big Picture View: All year, #ES_F is in a big sideways flag with resistance 6987, support 6753. Inside its built a big inverse H&S.
Plan Next Week: 6954, 6987 flag resistance next. Dip there, then breakout sees 7022, 7080.
6845 must fail to start hard sell to 6822, 6788, 6758
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@AdamMancini4 Bad GDP way lower than expected and PCE inflation prints higher then expected.
Are there scenario's where you consider data releases to maybe increase the odds of the markets corresponding to the said data release. Downside breakdown probability increase in this case?
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OPEX underway & #ES_F all about 6867-70. As posted 3:30PM reclaim of it starts rally & we ran 36 points overnight. It then became support this morning & we ran to 6876 1st target *exact*
67-70 must reclaim to rally. 6845=support (watch sweeps of yesterdays low). 6838, 6822 below
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
We are now rangebound in #ES_F mostly between 6845 and 6884-80. At 3:30PM, I posted the 6867-70 reclaim triggers us long. We got the trigger shortly after, and ran 36 points overnight Plan today: 6867 now support (here now). 6876, 6884-88 next up. 6845 below here, collapse below
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@AdamMancini4 Hi, is month long inverse h&s pattern still valid with today's daily low? Tx
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There's 6870 next target tagged and has been the best pure intraday trading day in months for #ES_F. Non-stop setups. 6808 Failed Breakdown was long trigger given. Targets were 6822-24 (hit), 6838 (hit), 6874 (hit), 6870 (hit). 6893 next, then onto 6908, 6935.
Just ride runner
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
We've had so many setups today its time to protect gains now and not push luck. 6808 Failed Breakdown was long trigger given. Targets were 6822-24 (hit), 6838 (hit), 6864 (hit). 6870, 6893+ if #ES_F wants more. Just hold lotto runner. 6822-24, 6813=supports. New lows below 13
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@AdamMancini4 You're spot on, looks like bears are gonna botch it again.
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We got a textbook Failed Breakdown this morning and now mid-day chop in #ES_F. I posted at 9:43AM to watch sweeps of the 6822-24 shelf. We swept to 6808, recovered. Targets given were 6850,6860, 6870 (all hit). Next big magnet is 6893 after chop
Hold runner. 6850=support
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Absolutely textbook Failed Breakdowns and points are stacking up today in #ES_F. I posted 9:43AM watch for sweeps of 6822-24. We swept it to 6808, trapped, bears, recovered. Targets I gave were 6850 (hit), 6860 (hit), 6870 (hit). 6893 next, then rally to 6935-38+ Ride runner
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Absolutely textbook Failed Breakdowns and points are stacking up today in #ES_F. I posted 9:43AM watch for sweeps of 6822-24. We swept it to 6808, trapped, bears, recovered. Targets I gave were 6850 (hit), 6860 (hit), 6870 (hit). 6893 next, then rally to 6935-38+
Ride runner
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
When volatility picks up, trading becomes easy its non-stop setups in #ES_F and only 9:50AM. As posted at 8am 6850, 6860 were targets. We hit 6860, dipped down to 6808. I then posted to watch sweeps of the 6822-24 cluster of lows. We swept it, now back at 6860 6870, 6893 above
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When volatility picks up, trading becomes easy its non-stop setups in #ES_F and only 9:50AM. As posted at 8am 6850, 6860 were targets. We hit 6860, dipped down to 6808. I then posted to watch sweeps of the 6822-24 cluster of lows. We swept it, now back at 6860
6870, 6893 above
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Note: Watch for sweeps of the 6822-24 cluster of lows. Same downside supports from earlier (6813 - just hit), 6795
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@AdamMancini4 Worked perfect last night...too weak quality to shoot another bullet now with 40 reclaim?
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Runners still working off Wednesday's 6822 Failed Breakdown. Per 4pm newsletter, 6933 Failed Breakdown was a long trigger in #ES_F. We swept it to 6926 o/n, recovered, +10 so far
Plan today: 6935-40=support. 6955, 6959, 6964, 6970-74 (gap fill)=targets. 35 fails, dip 6914, 6904.
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Closing update #ES_F: On Friday, we got long for the Thanksgiving Week Rally and I've posted about it hourly since, now +300 points from original entry. My target 6851/42 (posted again 8am today). Chewing through supply. 6848, 6869, 6877 next.Newsletter out soon with next entries
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Levels continue to respect well in #ES_F. Today's final targets for Day 3 of Thanksgiving Rally given at 8am were 6842 and 6851. Big resistance zone. We hit at 11:40AM, and have been accepting since
Quick dip to 6830 support & back up. 6858, 6869, 6877 next up. Same supports
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
After a 150 point straight rally from yesterdays 6701 long trigger #ES_F finally resting. Today's final targets were 6842 and 6851 and these were given at 8am + in yesterdays newsletter. Big res as posted & respecting perfectly. Bulls must clear it Same supports (6830, 6802).
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There's no wrong way to trade. Ive seen traders make careers scalping long 3 points per day, 1 asset. Others swinging multiple assets long/short. I trade 1 setup, 1 market, lvl to lvl, only long. The key is *consistency* applying a steady process week in & out, not system hopping
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@AdamMancini4 I know you won't take but technically one can consider this BDS material? Big bounce up now back to 6600.
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There's 6638-43 tagged again in #ES_F and volatility remains extreme (ultimately, to go nowhere from 24hrs ago). We swept Tuesday's 6593 daily low, failed breakdown. I posted 6623 must recover to see 6638-43 again, here now
6652, 6668, 6685 above. We sell again under today's low
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Volatility off the charts with #ES_F making 30 point moves with the ease it usually makes 3. ES just swept Tuesdays daily low at 6593, recovered, popped. ~6623 remains a brick wall resistance though. Bulls must recover to start to 6638-43+ If today's low fails, 6581, 6573 below
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Closing update #ES_F: +40 points now on that 6638-42 reclaim long. 6701 above still, then we can start pushing the next macro leg up to 6716+ if bulls want it. **Protect gains of earnings**. Newsletter was sent at 2:40PM giving the entry for this current leg and many more
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We are running the targets with ease in #ES_F. There's 6677 target #2 tagged. 6638-42 reclaim was long trigger given 50 minutes ago in #ES_F. Targets were 6664 (hit), 6677 (hit), 6685, 6701 remain bonus. 6701 recovers us back into macro triangle per newsletter just sent out
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
There's 6664 target hit *again*. The 6638-42 reclaim continues to be a profit printer. I gave this entry at 12:40PM originally with 6664 1st target. We hit it and sold to 6628. I then gave it out again 48 minutes ago. #ES_F hit 6664 2nd time. 6677, 6685, 6701+ bonus for runners
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Closing update: As I discuss in newsletter #ES_F doesnt sells in straight lines. Sells always interrupted with squeezes. We saw it today +85 points off the 6605 reclaim long. 6638-42 then 6616 are overnight supports to keep pop going. New lows below. Newsletter out soon w/entries
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After big volatility #ES_F is resting. Support was 6593. Held exact. 6605 reclaim was long trigger given. 6642 reclaim was trigger for those who missed that. Targets were 6664 (hit), 6677 (here for 2hrs).
Just hold runners. 6690, 6701 (big test) next above. Sell again<6638-42
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
As posted #ES_F does not sell in straight lines for long - it always interrupts with squeezes to trap shorts bull or bear market. We saw it today. As posted 6605 and/or 6642 reclaims were long triggers. 6677 target, stuck here for 1hr. 6690, 6701 (big test) next 6642-38=support
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@AdamMancini4 @cryptoSnapperrr As always, thank you for your generosity!
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@cryptoSnapperrr @NandoEN1 Me as well! Its all proportionate - the next squeeze will be hundreds of points just like Octobers or just like this weeks. But have to patiently wait for triggers
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Yesterday #ES_F lost & backtested a major shelf at 6847-51, putting bears in control. As warned, no rally until we get major reclaims with vol
Plan today: 6685=support (given in newsletter, held exact). 6705 reclaim sees 6712, 6728, 6746-51 (big test for bulls). 85 fails, dip 63
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
After losing the 6847-51 shelf this morning (then back-testing it), its been 1 way traffic. 6764/6757 support as posted & ES stuck here for 2hrs. Its where we closed Friday, and its a big zone. No rally until we get a major reclaim with vol (6772 likely starts pop) 42, 28 below
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