Nate Strande 🔋 retweetledi

$eose
Not sizing up a position just yet. Starting to look interesting again though.
However the price action is just weak.
Fact there has been no material bounce and follows through post earnings tells be the what I need to know. No one’s getting back in a hurry.
Still trading at $3b fully diluted.
Over 10x rev at my base case 2026 of $250m.
Still can’t justify any higher figure than $250m unless there is material orders that are deliverable within 18months.
The Board addition is positive in the light that Cerberus still likely remain invested for the long term. However could also be interpreted as wanting more control over Joe and the company. Not surprising.
Remember! The market looks and prices in forward numbers
At the moment Eos 2027 backlog stands at max maybe 400m
So you can understand why the market isn’t pricing in a higher number or multiple. Where is the scale and positive cas flow going to come from if they don’t have the volume and orders to support it.
They need orders that are deliverable within 18 months!!
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