Neel shah

When Sensex drops 8% in a month, everyone becomes a geopolitical expert. When it rallies 15%, nobody remembers what "Strait of Hormuz" means. Your portfolio shouldn't change based on your Twitter feed. Ever.

People keep asking me how I manage building @ProofofSkill, posting on Twitter, and still reading annual reports. Honest answer: I don't manage it well. Most days one of those three suffers. But here's what I've learned in FY27's first 48 hours: consistency beats intensity. I'd rather post 3 solid tweets a day for a year than 50 tweets in a day and burn out. The people winning on this platform aren't the ones posting the most. They're the ones who never stop.

Trump says the Iran war could end in 2-3 weeks. Oil is dropping. Markets bounced. But here's what hasn't changed: India still imports 85% of its crude. The rupee is still at 95. And FIIs are still in exit mode. Even if the war ends tomorrow, the structural vulnerability remains. India needs to cut oil dependence the same way it built UPI. As infrastructure, not as a reaction to a crisis. EVs, solar, nuclear, green hydrogen. These aren't climate talking points. They're national security.

Markets closed tomorrow for Good Friday. Then the weekend. That's 3 days without trading. If you're holding F&O positions overnight into a 3-day gap, you're not trading. You're gambling. Any headline over the weekend can gap markets 500 points in either direction. For stock investors: do nothing. Gaps don't matter if your holding period is 3-5 years. For traders: either hedge or flatten. No ego. No hoping

Defence stocks rallied 8-10% yesterday. BEL, Bharat Dynamics, BEML all up. Everyone thinks it's because of the war. It's partly that. But the bigger catalyst: DAC just cleared ₹2.38 lakh crore in defence procurement proposals. That's not sentiment. That's order book. Real contracts. Real revenue visibility for 3-5 years. When the war narrative fades and these stocks correct 5-10%, that's your entry. Not today when everyone's chasing the rally.

The Oracle layoff story keeps getting worse. One employee who worked there for 40+ years. One of the first hires ever. Laid off via email. People with stock vesting in June were let go on March 31. Two days before their vest date. That's not restructuring. That's timing the exit to save on equity payouts. $6B in net income. $523B in backlog. And they couldn't give people a phone call. The lesson isn't about Oracle. It's that loyalty is a one-way street in corporate India too. Build skills that travel with you. Your badge doesn't.

Day 2 of the new Income Tax Act and most people don't even know it exists. Quick changes that affect you from yesterday: Form 15G and 15H merged into one single Form 121. Form 26AS is now called Form 168. Holding periods simplified: listed securities = 1 year, everything else = 2 years. Sounds boring. Saves you hours of confusion and potentially lakhs in wrong calculations. If your CA hasn't called you about this yet, call them.

@vkdatta27 @CaVivekkhatri In an ideal world it would have been accounted for.

@Neelshah317 @CaVivekkhatri My statement can be substantiated with perfect market theory that market knows and discounts everything in advance.

He is the biggest manipulator!! Yesterday: de-escalation. Today: escalation. And trapped traders 🛑

@vkdatta27 @CaVivekkhatri It seems very difficult for American to call a clear win. Markets are getting manipulated by Trump. Yesterday’s rally was the prime example of it

@Neelshah317 @CaVivekkhatri I'm just focusing on the case "if next 2-3 weeks are the only period of American whims" because market always anticipates the worst and might have already given the discount to other actions earlier.

I agree that it has been falling since a month but are we seeing any party actually ending the war? Trump everyday says he will end the war and what does happen? Iran refuses it. Today he did a shit show and now markets are reacting accordingly. Today nifty might fall by 300 points

@Neelshah317 @CaVivekkhatri opinions differ, it could go even a lot worse but the fall here has even crossed the COVID fall. This is the longest fall in a single month. Also my situation materializes only when Iran doesn't take any retaliation. So there's lot of assumptions going here.

I do not agree to this is because the energy crisis are real. If the strait is not open there will be fuel shortages all over the world. Oil prices will shoot which will have alot of ripple effects. For 1 month or so it is difficult for markets to recover unless the war is stopped

@Neelshah317 @CaVivekkhatri I think today would be the last second day of falling. one final fall of NIFTY by 700 points in the next week would be the last. Markets won't be taking this shit anymore after that. This is for cap market while commodities will likely even take 2 months to come back to usual.

@vkdatta27 @CaVivekkhatri He says so much shit. I don't know why markets even factor him now lol.

@Neelshah317 @CaVivekkhatri Wait till US market goes up and he says - we are hitting 54 52-weeks high in a single year, by far LARGEST under any POTUS.

We can see nifty at 20,000 soon. Be prepared with Cash

Sensex jumped 1,300+ points yesterday. Everyone's celebrating. Reminder: it crashed 1,600 points last Monday. This isn't a recovery. It's volatility. There's a difference. A recovery is when fundamentals improve. Volatility is when headlines change. Trump said the war could end in 2-3 weeks. Oil dropped. Markets bounced. If tomorrow he says something different, we're back to red. Don't confuse a headline bounce with a trend reversal. Trade the setup, not the emotion.

@GrindeOptions With what? Stones?

BUY THE DIP.

@NajamAli2020 Markets priced in peace. Trump delivered "Stone Age." Oil went from $98 to $106 in 20 minutes. S&P futures dropped 0.75%. Dow futures down 310 points. All during one speech. Yesterday's rally was built on hope. Until a ceasefire is signed, not spoken, every rally is a trap.

Markets expected de-escalation but it didn’t happen. This war is no longer in Trump’s control. This war will not end when Trump says so. It will end when Iran agrees to end it.

Markets priced in peace. Trump delivered "Stone Age." Oil went from $98 to $106 in 20 minutes. S&P futures dropped 0.75%. Dow futures down 310 points. All during one speech. Yesterday's rally was built on hope. Tonight's sell-off is built on the actual plan. Until a ceasefire is signed, not spoken, every rally is a trap.

The speech has ended. Initial Reactions: Oil +6% S&P 500 -0.9% Bitcoin -2% Gold -1.5% There wasn't any major new info released, but the markets were hoping for clear signs of de-escalation and didn't get them tonight.

@midascabal The Rally was the real April Fools Prank

Trump just proved to me that the stock market CRASH is coming.

Markets priced in peace. Trump delivered "Stone Age." Oil went from $98 to $106 in 20 minutes. S&P futures dropped 0.75%. Dow futures down 310 points. All during one speech. Yesterday's rally was built on hope. Tonight's sell-off is built on the actual plan. Until a ceasefire is signed, not spoken, every rally is a trap.

Markets dumping…

Markets priced in peace. Trump delivered "Stone Age." Oil went from $98 to $106 in 20 minutes. S&P futures dropped 0.75%. Dow futures down 310 points. All during one speech. Yesterday's rally was built on hope. Tonight's sell-off is built on the actual plan. Until a ceasefire is signed, not spoken, every rally is a trap.

#CNBCTV18Market | #GIFTNifty lower, now indicating a gap-down start for the Indian market, trading at a discount of over 250 points after #Trump's address to the nation (US) on #WestAsiaWar, says will hit #Iran 'very hard' for next 2-3 weeks