Nigel Inkster

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Nigel Inkster

Nigel Inkster

@NigelInkster

Senior Advisor @IISS_org and Director of Geopolitical and Intelligence Analyst @EnodoEconomics; author The Great Decoupling 2020

London Katılım Ekim 2011
231 Takip Edilen3K Takipçiler
Nigel Inkster
Nigel Inkster@NigelInkster·
@dennisw5 Well someone has to tell them that this has to be solved through dialogue: otherwise, how would they know?
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Nigel Inkster
Nigel Inkster@NigelInkster·
@Sandbagger_01 Granted the FCO has like other government departments become risk-averse and process-driven. But good leadership can change that and there are people capable of providing the necessary leadership if given their heads.
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Nigel Inkster
Nigel Inkster@NigelInkster·
@Sandbagger_01 Penny wise, pound foolish as ever. Successive governments have failed to appreciate and play to the UK’s strengths.
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Sari Arho Havrén
Sari Arho Havrén@SariArhoHavren·
To describe the 🇬🇧–🇨🇳 relationship in this manner may sound tempting, but it would require both to have good intentions at heart. It is also tempting to think that China is different because the US has changed, but one must recognise that China is the same as always, and its ambitions have not changed. What it wants from the UK should be kept in mind: 📍Allowed to monitor and control the diaspora in the UK 📍Keep the British market open and reduce existing barriers (allow investments in critical infra) 📍Maintain access to its science and innovation activities and education 📍Maintain access to buy and acquire technologies 📍Take China’s interests into account in international relations, the WTO, the UN, possibly the Arctic, etc., and promote open trade, and not least China’s vision of global governance 📍And I believe that, in the long run, China wants unlimited access to the financial markets and will use it to expand RMB Internationalisation and finally take over and replace London’s financial expertise 📍And of course, it wants to split the special relationship with the US Does this sound like a recipe for a balanced relationship?
Beth Rigby@BethRigby

ANALYSIS: Think about China & UK as an estranged couple meeting up again: you’re not going to jump back into bed after frosty few years, but PM’s got to 1st base with a reset, small wins, & the promise to deepen ties. The challenge is to make it count back home where he’s losing

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Nigel Inkster
Nigel Inkster@NigelInkster·
@JohnHemmings2 Though no doubt we will see legions of ambulance-chasing lawyers seeking judicial review. We suffer in this country from massive judicial overreach.
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John Hemmings
John Hemmings@JohnHemmings2·
@NigelInkster So we don't know what info those cables carry, but imagine a financial "Pearl Harbor" on NYSE-LSE on the eve of a Taiwan crisis. Inserting wrong data or wiping large reams of trading data could have catastrophic results on the integrity of both markets.
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John Hemmings
John Hemmings@JohnHemmings2·
“Beijing has made the embassy issue a priority in the UK-China relationship. Xi Jinping, China’s leader, raised the matter directly with Keir Starmer in their first phone call, in August 2024.” Which raises the question of “why”? theguardian.com/politics/2026/…
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Nigel Inkster
Nigel Inkster@NigelInkster·
@JohnHemmings2 That is indisputably true: I really hope it has been taken fully into account
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Nigel Inkster
Nigel Inkster@NigelInkster·
@JohnHemmings2 I am well aware that it is possible to tap covertly into focs. But it isn’t a trivial undertaken. To date Chinese technical espionage has relied on (im)plausible deniability. Discovery of an foc is hardly deniable
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John Hemmings
John Hemmings@JohnHemmings2·
@NigelInkster The ability to tap, interdict, or even corrupt real time data flows is a risk I think the potential damage outweighs any diplomatic considerations. Yes, you can tap such cables from other locations, but this puts a number of legal and diplomatic walls up around any such efforts.
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John Hemmings
John Hemmings@JohnHemmings2·
@NigelInkster Curious as to why they denied any important cable proximity to our closest allies right up to November 2025? Any sense of why they’ve not been more transparent? Please let me know if they have provided think tanks with information briefings.
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Nigel Inkster
Nigel Inkster@NigelInkster·
@JohnHemmings2 If that is the case I can’t help wondering why the security and intelligence agencies appear to think the risk is manageable
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John Hemmings
John Hemmings@JohnHemmings2·
@NigelInkster Hi Nigel! Great to hear from you. Long time… I’m deeply concerned about the close distance to important communications cables potentially carrying financial data that impacts US and UK financial markets.
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Nigel Inkster
Nigel Inkster@NigelInkster·
@Sandbagger_01 It was principally about vetting. But modern technologies make people’s pasts and family links more easily discoverable than previously
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Nigel Inkster
Nigel Inkster@NigelInkster·
@yasminalombaert When at the end of the Cold War Europe embarked on a modest effort to develop some independent military capabilities, the US squashed that initiative…
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Yasmina
Yasmina@yasminalombaert·
“Why do 450 million wealthy Europeans need 340 million Americans to protect themselves from 140 million Russians?" - Andrew Denison, transatlantic networks. "Naturally, we must hope, and I think we must also be glad when the warring parties, the Americans, and others talk to each other. But if one looks at the balance of interests, then I think one must be realistic. Not much has changed there. And headlines are like smoke and mirrors. One sometimes gets confused. That is clear, but the interests of the Russians in an unconditional ceasefire are not visible at all. And also, regarding a sovereign Ukraine, the Russians ultimately continue to show no willingness to accept that. Until the Americans realise this, it may take a while. Trump also always keeps his isolationist wing in mind. But we must ask ourselves, why so much excitement in Germany this past week—'Panic on the Titanic.' America is turning its back on Ukraine and Europe. Why? Because a realistic perspective would say, no, we are not there yet. I believe it is because Germany is so dependent. And to understand this whole controversy, one must ask: Why do 450 million wealthy Europeans need 340 million Americans to protect themselves from 140 million Russians?"
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