Nikos V.
62 posts
Nikos V.
@NikosV34
Eurovision addict🎙| Betting & trading predictions specialist 📈 | Reading the odds before they move
Katılım Mart 2023
89 Takip Edilen31 Takipçiler
Is this the weakest half we're ever gonna get at #Eurovision?
Very odd choice to put 🇮🇹 in 1st Half
English
@Bensvision The argument for Eastern shift goes for some of their contenders as well (🇨🇾🇷🇴🇧🇬). Ofc Top-10 is at reach but i would not expect a >60 Jury score
English
Fully agree and think Moldova (13th on top-10 market atm) is ridiculously good value for top 10, if not higher. While very Moldova-at-ESC, Satoshi feat. Aliona Moon make this a number with jury appeal so can score well on both sides. Eastern shift and younger jurors also huge win
Ben Robertson@Bensvision
These songs are ranked 10th to 13th in the odds to get a Top-10 placement at #eurovision 2026. Wonder which one we think has most chance of a Top-10 finish?
English
Not a fan of 🇳🇴 closing but could see that coming. Goes from borderline to "likely Q".
Returnee 🇧🇬 gets the party started.
🇱🇻 in big trouble with both 🇦🇱🇲🇹 later on.
🇷🇴 should be safe despite drawing 3rd.
Semi-Winner pretty much open, don't sleep on 🇺🇦
#Eurovision
ESC Discord@ESCdiscord
📣 Here is the running order for semi-final 2 of #Eurovision 2026.
English
Not gonna lie, LOVE this running order. 🇵🇹🇬🇪 saved from a certain NQ spot, nice opener with 🇲🇩, experimental closing with 🇷🇸.
🇫🇮 should win the semi, 🇸🇪 Top-3 chances plummeted
#Eurovision
ESC Discord@ESCdiscord
📣 Here is the running order for semi-final 1 of #Eurovision 2026.
English
Romania giving 1 point to Moldova is everything you need to know about how useful OGAE Polls really are. But hey thanks for the 12 lol
#Eurovision #eurovisiongr
Eurovision News@EurovisionNewZ
🇷🇴OGAE Romania revealed their points for the OGAE vote for #Eurovision 2026. The 12 Points go to… Greece 🇬🇷 ! Finland is currently in the lead.
English
#Eurovision Semi-Final Running Order prediction
SF1
Opening:🇲🇩
Closing:🇧🇪
Would be fun if 🇸🇪 opened and 🇲🇪closed but i don't think EBU wants that
SF2
Opening:🇦🇲
Closing:🇩🇰
I don't think 🇨🇾 will close again, even if it’s the “obvious” pick. Expect a late 1st half draw for 🇧🇬
English
@enthughesed The problem with Estonia is that SF2 2021 was the last time that a song projected to NQ was given the closing spot (🇩🇰 Fyr og Flamme - "Øve os på hinanden"). Belgium is borderline, seems more likely to me. Hope I'm wrong tho
English
@enthughesed It's just a hot take tbh. Ofc Belgium is not perfect for the "pimp slot" but i can see EBU handing it to them after their last 2 shock NQs. Countries like Montenegro never receive such treatment. Could make a case about 🇷🇸 closing too, but they fall into the same category
English
@RedBite91 It's true that France usually does well in 🇬🇷 PV. Personally I was vocal last year about Louane not entering Top-3. We've not seen the full package of 🇫🇷 yet. If staging elevates the song, why wouldn't you consider them a favorite if you already appreciate Monroe's talent?
English
@NikosV34 Every year, literally every year, for some reason Greeks do overestimate France’s probabilities. I can understand why, it’s the inside hope of sending a competition in Paris, it’s the inside understanding of France being a country of arts. Monroe is good, but not front runner.
English
There was no doubt about Monroe's great vocals. The takeaway here is her charisma and good camera connection. Should 🇫🇷 deliver a proper staging for her, this is the front-runner to win
#Eurovision.
Honestly I don't see a winning path for 🇩🇰 🇦🇺 atm
It's between 🇫🇮 🇫🇷 🇬🇷 for now
Eurovision News@EurovisionNewZ
🇫🇷 Monroe performing her #Eurovision entry “Regarde!” Live for the first time ever on FRANCE TV. Out on the official YouTube channel of “France TV” soon.
English
@eurovisionbets @Eurovision One alternative interpretation is that 🇬🇷 will not be able to sweep the vote in the Balkans given the intense competition in the region.
So who's winning?
English
The biggest discrepancy in @Eurovision winner's market at the moment is that punters don't take in consideration how many PV strong entries East/Balkan have.
🇬🇷🇲🇩🇷🇴🇧🇬🇨🇾🇺🇦 ,even 🇦🇱 if in GF, could finish in PV Top-10.
Is there room for all of 🇫🇮🇩🇰🇦🇺🇨🇵 to get pts in that region?
English
@DowdMark I get your point. Indeed everyone is vulnerable this year. However, I think 🇫🇷's televote potential is a little bit underrated. "Love it or hate it" entries are usually doing well in Eurovision. Ofc it won't be top-3 PV but it can get the necessary push from the public to win
English
@gerry_lts Η Φινλανδία δικαίως είναι ψηλά, απλώς δεν αποτελεί το ακλόνητο φαβορί που παρουσιάζεται. Η Δανία έχει επίσης καλό τραγούδι αλλά όταν δεν είσαι φαβορί ούτε στο κοινό, ούτε στις επιτροπές (και έχεις και τον μεγαλύτερο ανταγωνισμό στο ίδιο region), θες συναστρια για να κερδισεις
Ελληνικά
@NikosV34 Συμφωνώ απόλυτα μαζί σου. Θα συμπληρώσω οτι η Δανία είναι εκτός λογικής που βρίσκεται εκεί πάνω (δεν υπερέχει σε καμία κατηγορία - και όχι μόνο) , όπως πιθανότατα και η Φιλανδία. Θεωρώ ότι η Γαλλία εχει το know how πλέον, και την φωνάρα βέβαια monroe , για να κερδίσει
Ελληνικά
@dean_eurovision 🇱🇻 has to Q first from a very difficult semi-final. Juries have a lot of similar entries to reward there. Even if they do qualify, it may be overlooked in the final
English
some predictions i’m very confident about:
#eurovision
🇨🇾top 10
🇧🇪Q
🇱🇺Q
🇱🇻top 5 Jury
🇸🇪8th-12th GF
🇦🇺 1st or 2nd Jury
🇧🇬 top 10
🇸🇲NQ
English
@sotirischaral Μη βλέπεις "αντιπάλους" εκεί που δεν υπάρχουν. Την εκτίμηση μου για το Ferto την έχω γράψει πολλάκις. Στο τελευταίο ποστ μάλιστα έγραψα ότι αναμένω συμπαθητική αντιμετώπιση από τις επιτροπές.Όμως δεν παίζουμε μπάλα μόνοι μας. Ας είμαστε αισιόδοξοι αλλά συγκρατημένοι προς το παρόν
Ελληνικά
@NikosV34 🇬🇷 Η Ελλάδα θα είναι η νικήτρια του φετινού διαγωνισμού όσο και αν έχεις «φαγωθεί» να γράφεις το αντίθετο σε όλα τα tweets σου…
Ελληνικά
Sharing the feedback I got from friends after I had them listen to the songs (Sample size: 30+)
Big winners: 🇫🇮🇫🇷
Lukewarm reactions: 🇩🇰🇷🇴🇮🇱🇸🇪🇨🇾
Everything else:💀
Bonus: No one seems to consider 🇬🇷 a contender to win despite most of them loving the song
#Eurovision #eurovisiongr
English
@AllAboutUMK I consider "Regarde" a significantly better song than "Maman". Monroe seems more gifted, charesmatic and likeable than Louane too. I can see this flopping in the televote, but 50 points is extremely low. I have this at 100-175 atm. We'll wait and see what they bring on stage tho
English
Realistic for now. Agree that it should be a close battle. 🇫🇮 is not priced fairly at 2.86
Main disagreements
-🇩🇰getting more PV than J points
-🇫🇮 is more of a 200+200 entry
-🇬🇷 will score 100+ J points
-Who is getting 200+ from the juries? 🇫🇷 it is..
#Eurovision #eurovisiongr
James Stephenson@JamesMakesStuff
📊🇫🇮 The Model's latest update is here, and Finland has hit the front. 🥇 'Liekinheitin' is now projected as the current favourite to win #Eurovision 2026, followed by France and Denmark. The update includes a tweak that reduces the weight of past results in the methodology 📉
English