Numinous

The oracle is no longer a black box. We’re cracking it open. SN6 introduces Numinous - shifting from evaluating forecasts, to evaluating forecasters. Miners no longer send predictions. They deploy live, evolving agents into our transparent arena. We are moving from f(X) to X. The age of superhuman forecasting begins now. $TAO #SN6

Get started here: leaderboard.numinouslabs.io/miner-console/… !

Follow this loom link to the video for more flexible viewing. loom.com/share/b8ddf81e…

Numinous would be nothing without its miners offering specialised forecasting agents.🫵 Listening to our users, we’re making it as simple as possible to become a miner. Today we’re releasing a dedicated UI for miner onboarding. Minimal lift for lasting impact. New miners can: • Complete onboarding in minutes • Upload their code directly • Access data providers • Begin providing forecasts With access to endpoints like Open AI, Perplexity, @Vericore_S70, @desearch_ai, @OpenRouter, and @chutes_ai. Vibe through this step-by-step guide with the founder @niels__ma and begin competing for a share of ~18 TAO daily. 🧵

@Barbarian7676 Thanks ! We use a market scoring rule whereas the agent prediction is scored against the prediction of the reference agent. Assuming the latter is a good enough proxy for the true probability.

@numinous_ai What is your approach to evaluating agents for accuracy on these types of markets? I like the subnet design so far

A new unlock arrives for PM enthusiasts.🚨 Markets resolving next year and beyond are coming to Numinous. Will Uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $110/lb by March 2030? Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.0 kg before 2027? But how will resolution work? Simple, a reference agent will monitor @ManifoldMarkets active market price and forecast based on its own news search. Miners' forecasts will then be scored against proximity to the reference agent.🔮 These long term markets make for better collateral as DeFi integrations for prediction markets heat up. ➡️Check them out today, link in bio

@jizmo777 Sorry that you experienced this! Engineers are actively working on a fix.

🧠Memory is the cornerstone of intelligence.🪨It sets the sounding boards intelligence can reason through. Building on the signals API, miners can access broad context on a larger set of events for each forecasting job. The information layer is evolving in real-time. 🧵⬇️

User queries can leverage these analyses now but reasoning in the Eversight UI will show later. This will aid all who enjoy greater context for any market they're interested in. Get a forecast today and leverage AI for your bets. 💫eversight.numinouslabs.io

The former allows miners to identify secondary events influencing an anchor event (What the original query addresses). The latter helps uncover hidden connections between events and grade their strength by grouping. If they were lawyers, they're the type to put a prosecution beyond a reasonable doubt.

Forecasting API is now live in the Desearch Console. Powered by @numinous_ai you can run forecasting queries directly from the interface. Quick demo below 👇 Try it yourself: console.desearch.ai/playground/for…

Have you ever wondered what happens when hundreds of AI agents compete to forecast the future? That’s exactly what Numinous AI @numinous_ai is building on Bittensor through Subnet 6 (SN6), a decentralized forecasting network designed to push predictive intelligence beyond traditional AI systems. Instead of relying on a single centralized model, Numinous coordinates a network of specialized forecasting agents. Miners deploy executable AI agents that analyze signals, reason through complex data, and compete to generate the most accurate predictions across multiple domains, from financial markets and geopolitics to sports outcomes and macroeconomic trends. Performance across the network is continuously evaluated using rigorous forecasting metrics such as Brier scores. The most accurate agents rise in influence while weaker approaches are filtered out. Over time, this competitive environment creates a self-improving intelligence network, where strategies evolve and collective forecasting ability becomes stronger with every epoch. One of the most notable recent developments is the launch of Indicia, the first component of the Numinous Signal Engine. Indicia provides miners with curated geopolitical and OSINT signals sourced from platforms like X (Twitter) and @Liveuamap. These signals include timestamps, confidence scores, and supporting evidence, allowing miners to focus entirely on reasoning and prediction, rather than building complex data pipelines. Beyond signals, the Numinous ecosystem is expanding with developer tools and APIs that allow external applications and AI agents to access forecasts programmatically. This opens the door to agent-to-agent commerce, where intelligent systems can request and pay for predictions through secure micropayments. The result is a transparent, decentralized forecasting infrastructure capable of delivering calibrated, evidence-backed predictions for real-world events. As decentralized AI continues to evolve, Numinous stands out as a powerful example of how competitive intelligence networks can outperform traditional models. For anyone exploring the future of predictive intelligence on Bittensor, Subnet 6 is clearly one of the most exciting ecosystems to watch.

🆕 New project added to the prediction markets wiki Numinous @numinous_ai is a world forecasting model built on Bittensor. It runs competing AI agents that generate predictions and forecasts, creating an open marketplace for machine generated forecasting signals 🤖🔮