@EventWavesIO of course we are pumped to see it ! We will make a new announcement when the V2 is out
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PM.WIKI
136 posts
PM.WIKI
@PredMarketWiki
The Wiki for the Prediction Market Space Independent, community-curated knowledge base for prediction market platforms, terminals, tools, and infrastructure
Prediction Markets Katılım Ağustos 2023
50 Takip Edilen1.5K Takipçiler
@PredMarketWiki Also, you might want to check in again next week
Im totally changing the direction of the site to something more interesting. Just putting the finishing touches on it now
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🆕 New project added to the prediction markets wiki
EventWaves
@EventWavesIO is an analytics platform for identifying high edge opportunities on Polymarket.
It analyzes trader skill and market momentum to surface trades with strong expected value 🌊📊
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🤖 While you’re reading this, a Chinese AI named Mirofish is quietly printing money on Polymarket right now.
The guy behind it is a 19 years old student from China. He doesn’t watch sports. He doesn’t even really understand NBA, NHL, or CS.
Instead, he built Mirofish his own predictive AI model.
In just two months, the "vibebettor" account made $282,490 from $17,000.
Look at his results:
-> Net Profit: +$282,490
-> Predictions Made: 1,772
-> Positions Value: $76.5K
-> Profile Views: ...only 52. We were among the first to find him.
Do you really believe that an ordinary teenager can generate a 100% win rate SIMULTANEOUSLY on Arsenal, the NHL, CS:GO matches, and League of Legends? No. It's a machine at work, and it detects odds biases faster than market makers.
His profitability graph is a straight line into space.
🔗 Follow his profile here: @vibebettor?via=all" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@vibebettor?vi…
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@probaaron On PM*WIKI you can actually dynamically compare all prediction market products
pm.wiki/compare/kalshi…
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the best discourse on prediction markets is not happening on X
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🆕 New project added to the prediction markets wiki
Fireplace
@fireplacegg is a social news app built on top of Polymarket and Kalshi.
It turns news headlines into tradable prediction markets, letting users swipe through stories and place bets directly from a feed🔥📰
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🆕 New project added to the prediction markets wiki
Signals Protocol
@signalswtf is a range based prediction market focused on Bitcoin price forecasting.
Traders pick price intervals instead of yes or no outcomes, with all liquidity unified into a single probability curve 📈🧩
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🆕 New project added to the prediction markets wiki
Inframarkets
@Inframarkets is an onchain prediction market focused on energy, commodities, and climate.
It lets traders take positions on electricity prices and generation metrics using fast settlement on Solana ⚡🌍
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🆕 New project added to the prediction markets wiki
Numinous
@numinous_ai is a world forecasting model built on Bittensor.
It runs competing AI agents that generate predictions and forecasts, creating an open marketplace for machine generated forecasting signals 🤖🔮
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PM.WIKI retweetledi
New accuracy stats just dropped !
They are better all over the board :
4h : 95.2% -> 97% ✅
12h : 90% -> 96.6% ✅
1 day : 89.2% -> 96.2% ✅ ( +6%, biggest point increase)
1 week : 89.4% -> 94% ✅
1 month : 91% -> 91.2% (weakest increase, +0.2%)
The slouch were accuracy was weaker on the [1 month - 4h ] than at -1 month has disappeared.
The game is getting harder every day, print while you still can
Quant Chad@Autonomous_Chad
91% accuracy on Polymarket's predictions -1 month But how is it computed ? I dug into it and turns out it's share of markets that resolved to the MAJORITY prediction at the time of polling So if YES is at 51%, 65% or 99% at -1 months and it resolves to YES it all counts as a 100% precision sample in the stats Markets at -1 months are rarely sitting at 91/9 odds. Which means betting on the majority opinion historically provides outsized returns Lesson : don't blow your capital on contrarian moonshots, allocate to safer bets over multiple markets and it will be almost impossible to not win over the long time + you can farm spread rewards and airdrop with bigger size if you adopt a safer strategy
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@bravadotrade learn more about it on the Wiki
pm.wiki/projects/brava…
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🆕 New project added to the prediction markets wiki
Bravado
@bravadotrade is a social trading layer for prediction markets.
It lets traders follow, copy, and learn from top performing wallets, turning successful forecasters into transparent onchain track records 🧠📈
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🆕 New project added to the prediction markets wiki
Fortuna
@tradeonfortuna is a Telegram trading bot for Polymarket.
It provides charting, order entry, and watchlists directly inside Telegram, making it faster and easier to trade prediction markets on mobile ⚡📱
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