NWS

This is an absolutely crazy stat. Someone asked about factoring in oil, bonds, and Japan into the current tech selloff. So I pulled the data for every single time oil surged 10%+ in a month while bonds AND Japan were both negative. There's been 29 times this has happened since 2000. Here's what $QQQ did next: • 1 month: +0.9% median (61% win rate) • 3 months: +4.5% median (75% win rate) • 6 months: +9.8% median (78% win rate) • 1 year: +9.7% median (67% win rate) Also for $SPY: • 1 month: +0.8% median (64% win rate) • 3 months: +2.5% median (75% win rate) • 6 months: +7.3% median (70% win rate) • 1 year: +7.2% median (67% win rate) The near term is choppy. 1 month is basically a coin flip. But 3 months out, 75% win rate for both QQQ and SPY. 6 months out, QQQ averages nearly 10%. You have a 75% chance of being green in 3-months and a year's time.

This is insane. Every single time the S&P 500 was within 3% of all time highs while the Nasdaq was down 8% or more, the market rallied. This has only happened 10 times since 2000. We're in one right now. QQQ forward returns after this divergence: • 1 month: +4.5% median (78% win rate) • 3 months: +8.0% median (89% win rate) • 6 months: +11.1% median (89% win rate) • 1 year: +13.3% median (100% win rate) SPY forward returns: • 3 months: +6.0% median (100% win rate) • 6 months: +7.4% median (100% win rate) • 1 year: +14.3% median (100% win rate) SPY has never been lower 3 months, 6 months, or 1 year after this signal. Not once in 26 years. When the broad market is near highs but tech is selling off, that's rotation, not recession. Tech always catches up. So what should you do? Buy low when people are scared.

These are how bottoms are formed. 2025 Tariff 1. Huge volume at the lows 2. 12% rally in one day 3. Higher-low 4. Gap up and follow-through 2022 Banking Crisis 1. Huge volume at the lows 2. Gap up and follow-through 3. Higher-low established 2020 COVID Crash 1. Huge volume 2. Gap up and follow-through 3. 2nd gap up and follow-through We need huge volume, we need gap-ups and follow through days. No bullshit. Only strength.

Leopold Aschenbrenner’s fund fell 67% in July but remains up 80% YTD and will keep investing in public equities. Calling the losses “very expensive scars” he said fund will stop using bank leverage so it can “fight another day.” $TE, $SNDK, $NBIS, $BE, $CRWV, $IREN, $SHAZ

EVERY BULL MARKET HAS CORRECTIONS What do you do? Listen and FOLLOW. AI is no different. There is no need to Panic. We are starting to see signs of another BULL RUN trying to form. IN $XLK $QQQ AND $SMH $DRAM 1990–2000 • +417% • 5 corrections 2009–2020 • +400% • 6 corrections 2022–Present AI Bull Market Correction #1 Correction #2 Correction #3? <— The biggest money is made by corrections. We are watching closely for this to place out before getting aggressive again.

The S&P 500 $SPY has declined in just seven midterm years since World War II. My friends there is HOPE. This is for those asking what to do. Stay patient green can be coming soon. What happened next? Every single time, the following year returned at least +23%. Average return: +29%. Our focus is on surviving midterm-year volatility. The bigger opportunity has often come after November. This is why I spend more time studying market cycles than political headlines. I will keep updating you through this.

Here's exactly my game plan, and which sectors I'm planning to buy and hold: So far since the start: • Our core portfolio is up +1.77% • $SPY is down -1.10% • $QQQ is down -6.40% • $XLK is down -7.85% • $SMH is down -14.65% Stocks I've bought: 1. I added to my Mag 7 position 2. I bought stocks in the insurance and retail grocery sector - historical compounders that stay strong 3. I bought a few technology stocks like $ARM for the long-term, they are the toll-both of technology Current portfolio: 1. I am staying balanced with Mag 7's, financials, healthcare, software and AI infrastructure stocks 2. I will start to become overweight in technology once a full-low is confirmed on ETFs like SMH, DRAM, and XLK. Let's continue to outperform and rotate into names at lows.

BREAKING: The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) fell -3.8 million barrels last week, to 308 million barrels, the lowest since March 1983. This marks the 18th consecutive weekly decline, the longest since 2023, per Zerohedge. During this period, US oil reserves in the SPR have fallen -108 million barrels, or -26%. Meanwhile, commercial crude oil stocks excluding the SPR dropped -7.2 million barrels, to 405 million barrels, the lowest since October 2018. This is also ~7% below the 5-year average for this time of the year. America's oil buffer is evaporating.

🇺🇸 EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX 0.9% VS 0.8%

$MGA Q2 2026 earnings: Strong Execution Powers Margin Beat While Divestitures Reshape the Top Line Magna delivered a highly impressive quarter, shrugging off a 2% decline in global light vehicle production to post 3% sales growth. More importantly, the company proved its operational excellence initiatives are structurally sticky. Adjusted EBIT grew 16% YoY, pushing margins up 70 basis points to 6.2%. Magna heavily capitalized on this cash generation ($617M FCF) by aggressively buying back $465M in stock, shrinking the share count and helping drive Adjusted EPS up 29% to a Q2 record of $1.86. Management's confidence is reflected in their upward revision of FY26 margin, EPS, and Free Cash Flow guidance, confirming that internal cost discipline is outpacing macro sluggishness. Full article with charts - link in bio 🐂 𝐁𝐮𝐥𝐥 𝐂𝐚𝐬𝐞 • 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐠𝐢𝐧 𝐄𝐱𝐩𝐚𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐢𝐬 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐥 — The 70 bps expansion in Adjusted EBIT margin proves that 'operational excellence' and restructuring actions from late 2024/2025 are structurally embedded, allowing Magna to grow profits even in a shrinking LVP environment. • 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐑𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐬 𝐄𝐧𝐠𝐢𝐧𝐞 — With free cash flow up 105% YoY to $617M, Magna is aggressively shrinking its float. The $465M spent on buybacks in Q2, following $440M in Q1, provides a massive mechanical tailwind to EPS growth. 🐻 𝐁𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐂𝐚𝐬𝐞 • 𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐚 𝐒𝐨𝐟𝐭𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐃𝐞𝐞𝐩𝐞𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 — Magna cut its FY26 China Light Vehicle Production assumption to 31.2M from 32.0M units. With Q2 actual China LVP down 3%, the world's largest automotive market is transitioning from a growth engine to a headwind. • 𝐃𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐂𝐨𝐬𝐭𝐬 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐌𝐢𝐱 𝐈𝐬𝐬𝐮𝐞𝐬 — The disposal of the Lighting and Rooftop businesses is margin accretive but forced a painful $498M impairment in H1 2026. Furthermore, Magna had to effectively pay the buyer $18M to take the European Lighting business off its hands. ⚖️ 𝐕𝐞𝐫𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐭: 🟢 Bullish. Management is executing flawlessly on the things they can control. Upgrading full-year margin and cash flow guidance in the face of declining global production is a testament to Magna's pricing power and operational discipline. 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐓𝐡𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐬 🟢🟢 𝐏𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫 & 𝐕𝐢𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐞𝐠𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐃𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐲 Accelerating. The P&V segment was the undisputed star of the quarter. While sales grew a healthy 6% to $4.09B, Adjusted EBIT skyrocketed 51% YoY to $245M. This translated to a massive 180 basis points of margin expansion (from 4.2% to 6.0%). The beat was driven by productivity gains, tariff recoveries, and a highly favorable shift in commercial items. This segment is validating Magna's prior restructuring pain. 🟢 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞 𝐕𝐞𝐡𝐢𝐜𝐥𝐞𝐬: 𝐕𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞-𝐀𝐝𝐝 𝐏𝐢𝐯𝐨𝐭 𝐀𝐥𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐥𝐞 Reversing. A fascinating divergence is happening in the Complete Vehicles segment. Assembly volumes surged 77% YoY (to 28.9K units), yet segment sales actually declined 5% to $1.16B. Why? A deliberate shift from full-cost contractual arrangements to 'value-added' assembly deals (specifically with Chinese OEMs like XPeng and GAC in Europe). While this shrinks the top line, it is highly accretive to margins: Adjusted EBIT for the segment jumped 32% and margins expanded 90 bps to 3.2%. 🟢🟢 𝐔𝐧𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐒𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐑𝐞𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐬𝐞𝐬 Accelerating. Magna has thrown its Free Cash Flow machine into overdrive to buy back stock. After pausing buybacks in mid-2025 due to macro uncertainty, the company resumed aggressively in 2026. Following $440M in Q1, Magna repurchased another $465M in Q2 (7.4M shares). This rapid reduction in float is supercharging EPS (up 29% YoY) and clearly signals management believes the equity is undervalued. 🔴 𝐔𝐒𝐌𝐂𝐀 𝐑𝐞𝐯𝐢𝐞𝐰 𝐈𝐧𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐬 𝐋𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐔𝐧𝐜𝐞𝐫𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐲 [NEW] Stable. The recent non-renewal of the USMCA agreement (which forced an annual joint review process until 2036) was explicitly cited by Magna as a new industry risk factor. While the agreement remains in force, the lack of a clean extension threatens North American supply chain predictability and could force preemptive capital allocation shifts to shield against potential future tariff volatility. 🔴 𝐃𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐄𝐱𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐏𝐚𝐢𝐧 [NEW] Decelerating. Magna's strategic pruning of its Lighting and Rooftop Systems is logically sound but financially bruising in the short term. The company recorded a $498M total impairment on these assets in H1 2026. Furthermore, to offload the European Lighting business to Mutares, Magna actually had to provide $18M in cash funding to the buyer. Investors must monitor what offloading the 'Rest of World' Lighting assets will ultimately cost. 𝐎𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫 𝐊𝐏𝐈𝐬 𝐅𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐂𝐚𝐬𝐡 𝐅𝐥𝐨𝐰: $617 million Accelerating. Free Cash Flow surged 105% from $301M in Q2 2025. This was driven by a $327M increase in cash from operations, benefitting from improved net income, reduced cash taxes, and strong working capital management. Capital expenditures ($269M) were held virtually flat YoY, showcasing tight capital discipline. 𝐁𝐨𝐝𝐲 𝐄𝐱𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐨𝐫𝐬 & 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐬 𝐀𝐝𝐣 𝐄𝐁𝐈𝐓 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐠𝐢𝐧: 8.1% Stable. As Magna's largest segment, BES posted solid 4% revenue growth ($4.42B), but Adjusted EBIT margins compressed by a slight 10 basis points YoY. The decline highlights persistent product mix headwinds and raw material/commodity costs that outweighed organic sales leverage. 𝐆𝐮𝐢𝐝𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐅𝐘𝟐𝟔 𝐀𝐝𝐣𝐮𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐄𝐁𝐈𝐓 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐠𝐢𝐧: 6.3% - 6.6% Accelerating. Management raised the floor from their previous 6.0% - 6.6% range. This implies strong confidence that operational excellence and efficiency gains are securely locked in, despite the trimming of global vehicle production assumptions. 𝐅𝐘𝟐𝟔 𝐀𝐝𝐣𝐮𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐄𝐏𝐒: $6.70 - $7.30 Accelerating. A significant upgrade from the previous $6.25 - $7.25 range. The hike is heavily supported by the aggressive $905M H1 execution of the share repurchase program and structurally improved operating margins. 𝐅𝐘𝟐𝟔 𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐒𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐬: $41.3 - $42.5 billion Decelerating. Lowered from the previous $41.5 - $43.1B range. Management explicitly attributes this to a stronger U. S. dollar translation effect and the earlier-than-expected completion of the Lighting and Rooftop Systems divestitures, rather than fundamental market erosion. 𝐅𝐘𝟐𝟔 𝐅𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐂𝐚𝐬𝐡 𝐅𝐥𝐨𝐰: $1.75 - $1.85 billion Accelerating. Raised from the previous $1.6 - $1.8 billion range. This upgrade secures the foundation for Magna's continued capital return program, easily covering the ~$500M+ annual dividend commitment and leaving ample room to finish out the NCIB. 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐐𝐮𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞 𝐕𝐞𝐡𝐢𝐜𝐥𝐞𝐬 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐠𝐢𝐧 𝐂𝐞𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 With the successful shift toward value-added contractual arrangements for Chinese OEMs pushing Q2 assembly volumes up 77% while compressing top-line revenue, what is the new normalized margin ceiling for the Complete Vehicles segment? 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐖𝐨𝐫𝐥𝐝 𝐃𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐂𝐨𝐬𝐭𝐬 Given that the disposition of the European Lighting business required Magna to provide $18M in funding to the buyer, should investors expect further cash outflows to close the sale of the remaining Rest of World Lighting and Rooftop assets in H2? 𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐚 𝐄𝐱𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐓𝐚𝐫𝐠𝐞𝐭 𝐑𝐞𝐯𝐢𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 You revised your FY26 China light vehicle production assumption down by 800,000 units to 31.2 million. How does this deteriorating macro backdrop impact the profitability ramp of your joint ventures and Seating footprint in the region? 𝐔𝐒𝐌𝐂𝐀 𝐒𝐮𝐩𝐩𝐥𝐲 𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐢𝐧 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐬 With the USMCA entering an annual joint review period, what preemptive supply chain or footprint adjustments is Magna considering to insulate against the 'additional uncertainty' flagged in the MD&A?

AI stocks and software stocks might finally go up together again. Both $QQQ and $XLK (pure tech ETF), are forming wedges, typically a breakout candidate for the future. $IGV (software ETF) is trying to put in a low. Still no confirmation, but off to a strong start. Now we need follow-through on both sectors together. Let's see over the next sessions how things play out or if this is all fake.

The drone industry is trying to find a low. Larger volume coming in last few weeks, specifically for Ondas. Looks like some institutions are buying drone stocks / military defense ETF around these areas. $ONDS, $UMAC, $AVAV, $KTOS Still no confirmation yet, could take a few months for accumulation. But these are the levels you start becoming interested again.

All eyes on $CYCU in Early Pre Market! This is a top gainer looking for the $3 Break!

@DekmarTrades I have some in my nephew's portfolio. I was wondering what's going on with this stock.

You did good lil' bro, you did good.

JUST IN 🚨: South Korean Stocks soar 15%, on track for their biggest gain in history 📈 📈