Trinity Olmstead

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Trinity Olmstead

Trinity Olmstead

@OlmsteadTrinity

Goodyear, AZ Katılım Ekim 2013
926 Takip Edilen900 Takipçiler
Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@BasedIllinoisan He probably knows that it’s a likely DOA in 2028. Very certain that Kamala is the nominee for Dems again but she gets credit for not having run a full cycle and losing. Had Biden not ran again, and she ran a full campaign and lost, there would be much different convos being had.
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@Hapl3ss_ @BanUnsweetTea Montgomery is another example as well. I think Cherokee gets attention since GA is a swing state and Texas not as much. Miami Dade will probably revert back.
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Hapl3ss
Hapl3ss@Hapl3ss_·
@OlmsteadTrinity @BanUnsweetTea I don’t think that’s true, Montgomery Texas, produced 140k net votes for Republicans Miami-Sade also gave ~120k net votes for Trump as well
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@SimiValleyGuru @Calebej37 In this environment, maybe 2-3 points. Like he would win but it wouldn’t be by a crazy amount like his race in 2022. Even in 2018, he was one of two candidates that got pushed to a runoff that November.
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Ventura County Guru
Ventura County Guru@SimiValleyGuru·
@Calebej37 Genuinely curious what the margin would look like if Raffensperger was the GOP nominee against KLB
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Caleb
Caleb@Calebej37·
Keisha Lance Bottoms literally almost lost an Atlanta mayoral election to a Republican *before* she had a weak mayoral record against her. Like I’m not gonna lie it does not look good for Democrats in the Georgia Gubernatorial election.
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@ed_dems Nevada Gov honestly. A lot of people are writing that race off but I can see it flipping.
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@Papineau_JT23 What sucks is, had Abrams not run in 2022 and ran now, she would’ve won the primary and would be the favorite currently.
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@Alicia_Smith19 @DrewSav Also positions him well for the VP spot if Harris is the nominee again. If Bottoms wins, I’m more than certain she’s choosing him.
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Alicia Smith
Alicia Smith@Alicia_Smith19·
@DrewSav It’s also in Ossoff’s interest to do everything he can to bring KLB across the finish line, would make his decision on 2028 run much easier if she won.
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@RaveenTheDream I think the main issue is he started late gaining traction. He needed to be running ads in the late fall or over the holidays. When most polling has you in the high single digits the entire campaign, something has to give.
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@PoliticsMan46 To an extent. She did more in the general election but attempted to flop a lot on how left she was due to Booker surging at the last minute (only knew this because I spent a lot of May/June 2020 in Kentucky).
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@GeorgeFoster72 @oronike Tbh she shouldn’t have ran in 2022 and waited to run now. I (and others) were excited for her in 2018. Didn’t see/feel that on the ground for her in 2022. I think had she waited it out, she could’ve brought that 2018 excitement back and would be the favorite currently.
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FOST
FOST@GeorgeFoster72·
@oronike I hear you, but two things. 1) If one of them win, it won’t be because of me 2) I think Stacy’s timing was just bad. Just because Kemp had a TON of supporters that these current two guys don’t have. Is it still an uphill battle for her, but a different battle than Stacy’s
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FOST
FOST@GeorgeFoster72·
You folk gonna not like Keisha yourselves into Burt Jones or Rick Jacks. Awesome
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@NilesGApol @616NYY @rewegreatyet @AugustaPatriot I think it’s more of Trump potentially staying neutral in the race (even though he endorsed Jones, he probably won’t robo call and tweet for him like he did Kemp in 2018) and I expect more endorsements for Jackson in the coming weeks.
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Niles Francis
Niles Francis@NilesGApol·
We’ll see how the GOP runoff goes but for now I’m operating under the assumption that #GAGov will be KLB/Jones Definitely would be the most polarizing open gov race in GA since…the last one lol (2018) But if she outperforms Harris by as much as Abrams ran ahead of Clinton…
Niles Francis tweet mediaNiles Francis tweet media
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Niles Francis
Niles Francis@NilesGApol·
If four weeks the GA GOP could very well have a ticket headlined by… Mike Collins Burt Jones Greg Dolezal Vernon Jones
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@NilesGApol Vernon 100% won’t be there. Wouldn’t be surprised if GA GOP steps in behind Fleming, similar to howl GA Dems did for that race four years ago.
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@umichvoter One has to run for re-election in potential Harris/Newsom first term, one does not.
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umichvoter
umichvoter@umichvoter·
Sherrill vs Spanberger governor terms seems like has gone two VERY different paths
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@brushmastery2 Right, it would’ve been 55-29. But there’s no doubt Biden’s endorsement made the difference of KLB getting over 50%. He is still very popular with older black voters who were most of the Dem primary electorate there.
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Brian Burke #brianslist
Brian Burke #brianslist@brushmastery2·
The only thing I'll claim to be right about is that Thurmond should've stepped down & endorsed Esteves, then we wouldn't be having this.
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@Calebej37 Been saying this for a while, Ossoff will have to win by 5+ to carry the ticket. The only other race I think will be on it’s on is the AG, PSC and maybe SOS (if Vernon Jones wins runoff) but besides that, the other candidates will need Ossoff.
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@JonnyFootball44 Yup. I knew when Trump talked him into dropping out earlier this month, that was behind the scenes deal.
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BBJ
BBJ@JonnyFootball44·
Rand Paul is the last true conservative left and Trump will have him primaried out and replaced with Nate Morris in 2028.
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Trinity Olmstead
Trinity Olmstead@OlmsteadTrinity·
@Dontskylertalk @IAPolls2022 It’s over. She’s pulling 60% in Gwinnett alone. She’s likely to pull that same amount in Fulton. Cobb and DeKalb at best will be split by Thurmond and Esteves but she’s crushing it in rural areas.
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skyler
skyler@Dontskylertalk·
@IAPolls2022 VERY premature. We dont know if she will drop below 50%, i mean she very likely won but its still early
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InteractivePolls
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022·
🚨 RACE CALL: Keisha Lance Bottoms wins Georgia Governor Democratic Primary
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@BasedIllinoisan @Hapl3ss_ @BanUnsweetTea @SimiValleyGuru @Calebej37 @ed_dems @Papineau_JT23 @Alicia_Smith19