On-Chain College

If you remove #Bitcoin that hasn't moved in 10+ years, the percent of the supply in profit has recently reached all-time lows. 32.73% of the supply is sitting in profit, lower than all prior bear markets. If bottoms occur during max pain, we are certainly there/close to it.

@lourenco_vs @binance @BinanceResearch I agree

@OnChainCollege @binance @BinanceResearch No.

Bitcoin's price has dropped below the Long-Term Holder Cost Basis during all prior bear markets. Currently, that level is at $48.6K and has not been reached yet. Do you think BTC hits this level before reaching $100K+ again?

@ohmiebull1 @binance @BinanceResearch 🙏🏻

@OnChainCollege @binance @BinanceResearch Thank you sir. Love your work.

@ohmiebull1 @binance @BinanceResearch Very reasonable analysis

@OnChainCollege @binance @BinanceResearch Doubt it. War hasn’t dropped us to that level. Hard to see what will. Massive profit taking from long-term holders has reversed and accumulation starting. I get 58K with quick V shape recovery possible but doubt we see 48K

@Bitcapital_ch @binance @BinanceResearch I’m in the same boat

@OnChainCollege @binance @BinanceResearch I'm a bit skeptical we will hit that level this time around, but you never know

This tight Bitcoin range keeps tightening. We will have an answer soon. $75K - $82K is mostly noise. Movement outside of this range is when the signal comes.

Bitcoin bulls will want price to stay above $78.5K (the STHCB)

Bitcoin's Funding Rates hit positive for a 3rd day in a row on Binance for the first time in over a month. The move out of the $60Ks and into the low $80Ks was during an environment of mostly negative funding.

The longer Bitcoin stays above $78K, the more likely 6 digit BTC becomes... Strong confluence around $78K with the True Market Mean and Short-Term Holder Cost Basis sitting at that level.

@JVDubbz @Sunshine0071234 😂😂

@Sunshine0071234 @OnChainCollege OMG zetarium?! Please AI not what exchange can I 200x long it?

Bitcoin was rejected at the ETF Cost Basis, currently sitting at $82.1K, after being below it since January ‘26.

@SolanaCasinos Petition to remove AI accounts commenting abilities on X, who’s in favor? @elonmusk

@OnChainCollege Still holding that mental bag, huh? The true alpha moves are just getting started 🚀

@BobLoukas 🎯

If more people put the same amount of energy into building their income as they do trying to trade their way to wealth, they would probably reach their financial goals so much faster, and with a much higher likelihood of success. Not to mention becoming far more marketable, self-sufficient, and scalable along the way. Eventually, most people find out the hard way when they don’t strike it, that they need something real and consistent to fall back on or more importantly, to make consistent progress. The market isn’t handing out free lunches. Most of the stories that make it seem otherwise are closer to infomercials than reality for all.

@ajorgenseburner @BitcoinMagPro @binance Yes, during the initial leg out of the bear bottom funding will be largely positive, with negative funding signaling bull market corrections typically

@OnChainCollege @BitcoinMagPro @binance Does funding stay positive during a broader bull market? I seen to recall that being the case in late 2020/2021, but that was a different world.

This rally above the short-term holder cost basis has been impressive and legitimate in my eyes due to funding being negative 🔴on Binance the entire time. Funding has shifted positive 🟢over the last two days. Possible weakness ahead for BTC if funding keeps leaning positive.

@FrankAFetter @EricBalchunas Keep up the great work

@OnChainCollege @EricBalchunas we've been posting about the sth cb for months now lol. yesterday was a big day. it's the only thing i want to post

I don’t think they care but $BTC is nearing the ETF average cost basis at $82,000. These guys sat through massive unrealized losses, unbothered. These are @EricBalchunas’s people.

@MagnetZones @BitcoinMagPro @binance many such cases

@OnChainCollege @BitcoinMagPro @binance That rally has looked real, and positive funding is where late longs usually get tested first. On the 1W map the Central Magnet still sits around 81.7k. If BTC cannot hold above that with funding leaning long, late buyers can get trapped fast.

Understanding the psychology behind this metric is critical. What does the sthcb tell us? What insights do we gain when we see price rejected or hold this level? This is one of the few metrics that is important to me in a vacuum, meaning I can extract a ton of value from this single metric whereas other metrics require more data from elsewhere to balance out the thesis.

@OnChainCollege I don’t think so, look at that metric compared to the true market mean and see what happened last time.

BTC broke above the STHCB after being below it since (!) October 2025. If Bitcoin can hold $78.5K over the next couple of days, then it's ready to rip higher.

@AdithiaKusno 🙌

Always be flexible and do not be dogmatic ✍️ Always follow the data no matter what 👀 Clear thought process without guessing 👇