
OnChainMind
2.4K posts

OnChainMind
@OnChainMindd
Trading crypto is like playing poker. Success comes from strategy, patience, and managing emotions.


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After months of hard work, late nights and peer reviews-- it's finally here The most complete (meme)coin guide ever made 100% free, you can find the link below (中文版也已上线!) Enjoy 🫶

I want to be honest about where we're at. most crypto companies have trended to zero. most of the names you saw at the top last cycle aren't even building anymore. we've taken our share of hits too - endless FUD, a hack, numerous market pullbacks. and yet pump fun is still here. still profitable. still building. still the most-used onchain trading platform in the space. some people already think pump fun is a success. I don't. the mission is to bring token launching and trading to the rest of the world, and to grow within the decades to come. To do that we have to survive multiple cycles, build a product so good that non-crypto natives use it without thinking, and turn pump fun from just a memecoin launchpad into the default place anything tokenizable gets launched and traded onchain. bear case: we lose PMF while trying over the course of many many years. we don’t fulfil our vision. bull case: we hit PMF again and become a generational consumer platform.





69-70k is a key level to watch for BTC.





I think btc / crypto is due for a bigger bounce here. We are closing the 5th red monthly candle in a row. Last time that happened was 2018. We bottomed shortly after. This kind of extended downside on htf usually doesn’t continue much longer without at least a strong bounce. To me it looks like we’re kinda transitioning from that full nuke fud phase into something more stable. Most money is usually made when the market shifts from complete panic to just weak or neutral conditions. And the same works in reverse. Open interest is low. Funding is flat to slightly negative. Leverage has clearly been flushed. When OI is cleaned out like this and sentiment is still negative, that’s usually when short squeezes can happen. Shorts have been enjoying free rides for a while now. We also had a huge Coinbase discount during the selloff and now it’s slowly turning positive again, so US spot demand is finally coming back in. You don’t really see that at the start of major breakdowns. Onchain you can see that the established old holders are not selling like before. We had heavy long term holder distribution into the highs, especially around 90k to 110k. But now LTH net spent supply has slowed down a lot. The aggressive phase looks mostly done for now. When old wallets slow down, marginal sell pressure usually drops. We probably also had a bunch of market makers or whales pushing all the short term holders out from the 80s to current price range. Orderbooks show insane liquidity stacked below 60k. There’s clearly some size there that wont be easy to absorb. March is generally bullish for equities in mid election years. Iran falling is also net positive. A lot of geopolitical fear already got priced during the drop. Crypto is absolutely overhated and underowned right now. We’ve had wars, endless fudding, Epstein insiders early btc adopters, CIA btc narrative, everything thrown at this market. What bearish catalyst is left? AI developments should generally be supportive for crypto longer term. When AI agents actually become real infrastructure, they will need rails for payments and settlement. Crypto might be a good usecase for that. So we have 5 red monthly candles, OI reset, funding neutral, coinbase premium turning up, long term holder selling slowing down and insane demand below 60k. My plan: If we rally into 85k to 90k, I am out of the market again. On a time scale I’m planning to sell end of April to front run typical May sellers. Then I’ll look to buy lower again. If we go lower from here, I’m just going to keep dcaing

$BTC range Double deviation below range low Range high should be next Still flat Difficult to have a solid bias here Leaning more to range high




67k area is definitely a key level to watch. Bounce here and we go higher. Fading it would bring us back into February range and it’s very likely that we are going to test the 60k area


$BTC No change since last update, $BTC is holding strong just above my main accumulation area. I have already bought once in the area noted in the pic, and im waiting for more wicks in that area to load up more. Though, the weekly PA around 200EMA here is BEAUTIFUL: I think a bounce from here is very likely 1W RSI is close to the most oversold in history. Either way, buying in this area is going to be a generational opportunity in a few years time. Play it safe, play it patient. Don't wait for 30k-40k to do your first buys, but rather DCA slowly because markets DON'T WAIT FOR ANYBODY!












