PierreLim
215 posts
PierreLim
@PierreLim13
Independent macro trader based in Shanghai, China. Option/Futures/ETFs. On my way to be a pro trader.
Katılım Ağustos 2022
286 Takip Edilen38 Takipçiler
Same actor same playbook ✍️ No spoilers please 😂 The game is not rigged but being rigged is the game 👇
Prof@TheProfInvestor
March 2018: Market corrected March 2020: Market corrected March 2022: Market corrected March 2025: Market corrected March 2026: Market correcting Sell in Jan. Come back in April.
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Markets have been like clockwork with PDL / LAAF sweeps and zone retests
You know when things are this textbook that the manipulation is in full effect
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@koz_pulaski @TheMarketDog Idk but this guy is going insane these days. He seems to love this war.
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@TheMarketDog @drpezeshkian IRGC is in control, not him. They are not losing.😅
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@PrintingTendies Hormuz still closed. No improvement over the weekend.
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@TheMarketDog I think their data is wrong. You should search "Israel Red Alert" on Google. and that website has statistics for how many alerts Israel has had in recent days in the face of Iran's attack, and it didn't show such a significant drop.
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All of this occurring and $SPY is still trading in the same range it's been in for the last 13 weeks
The range break will be glorious
GIF
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中文
@soundsomellow @__Inty__ → 差距：安全性、可靠性
高端设备、模具、结构件，美国人不敢用波动大的。
3. 尺寸公差（非常关键！）
• 中国90：满足国标，但偏松
• 美国150：严1～2个精度等级
厚度、平直度、椭圆度、倒角都更精准
→ 差距：你回去机加工余量、装配
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@PierreLim13 Should we be surprised? 😆😉
x.com/NewLowObserver…
New Low Observer@NewLowObserver
Hedge funds selling Chinese Stocks?
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@NewLowObserver @GarrettGoggin Hi I've paid subscription fee just now through paypal but somehow I still can't access the materials. Could you please DM me and help me with the issue?
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6/6 We're certain that we've overlooked many aspects to these stocks before or after the dates given. However, considering the noted dates and stock performance, EV/FCF requires additional examination before execution of transactions.
Thanks to @GarrettGoggin
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1/6 2015-2025: FCF/Share vs. $GDX
A close examination of this chart is quite revealing. While not definitive, there are many clues for those wishing to discern when to consider/avoid gold stocks.
Starting with the Q4 2020 divergence, we found the following ideas:
Garrett Goggin, CFA & CMT@GarrettGoggin
Miners are selling at big discount to FCF/share. 20% discount has only seen in 2020 and 2015. GDX doubled each time. It's not about straight FCF. It's about how much the market is awarding in EV vs FCF/share. It's not about the Gold price. It's about Gold price vs AISC that generates FCF. You need to take the next step. It's a second derivative.
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@NewLowObserver But I'm just curious why 2007 stock bubble peak instead of 2021 RE bubble peak should be comparable to Japan 1989. After all, Japan's peak in both stock and RE market was at the same time. Is SSEC a good barometer?
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@PierreLim13 If we review non-correlated media sources and compare to the timeline of the Japanese collapse (1989-2009) we see that the strategies employed are still early stage solutions.
Working backwards ( to 2007), the below Barron's piece is a good start.
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Japan 1989, US 1999, China 2007
The Shanghai Composite remains below the 2007 peak. So this is a continuation of the NYT call of the top.
Some rightly argue stocks not main investment but instead RE for LT investment in China, this means the problem is worse than it appears.
Spencer Hakimian@SpencerHakimian
@KobeissiLetter This is China’s 2008. Ever since Evergrande defaulted on their bonds in September 2021. And China has done absolutely nothing to stop the bleeding.
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@NewLowObserver Yes. From what I observed, CCP Politoburo lack either the awareness or the determination to take immediate and decisive actions to boost economy. Therefore the endless downward spiral is almost certain.
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