Piyanuch Chanphet

Arriving at #burningman #burner

@ShaykhSulaiman How is the US going to put boots on the ground do they intend to sail up the straits and along the Iran coast. Brave people, sure what could possibly go wrong 🫣

@MalcolmNance They intend to sail up the straits and along the Iran coast. Brave people, sure what could possibly go wrong 🫣

It’s official. They’re fucking winging this. Yes this MEU was scheduled for an April deployment to INDOPACOM but it will take: - 22 days to get to the PG at max speed sustained (which means no port visits or stops) - 30 days to get there at average cruising speed. So clean up or backup for an unplanned amphibious campaign? No one knows. They’re winging it. At this point prepare for mobilization of the 82nd airborne, 75th Rangers, 10th Mountain and all the SOF in the world. Trump needs and offramp or this war will go on for the next year after he declares victory.

@HustleBitch_ She is pregnant, and her baby will be born into a tumultuous period in history. It’s heartbreaking that the Trump administration has become a cancer on our world.

🚨 PEOPLE ARE STARTING TO NOTICE SOMETHING OFF ABOUT KAROLINE LEAVITT… AND IT’S NOT NORMAL. What do you see?

@BrianSozzi My niece, who’s in first grade, could analyze this better.

🤔Citi's "two scenarios" for the US war on Iran: First Scenario "Over the next several weeks, the Administration’s appetite for the conflict diminishes and the United States pulls out, declaring the operations a resounding success.  As the US pulls out, the Iranian regime takes the opportunity to step back, take stock, consolidate, and rebuild.  In tandem, Iran reduces pressures in the Strait of Hormuz, and the flow of shipping gradually resumes. Notably, this scenario would also prevail if heavy US military operations rapidly clear Iranian resistance in the Strait. In this scenario, the brent oil price would continue to cycle at roughly $90-110/barrel for the next month or so.  But pressures would gradually ease, and oil prices would retreat to around $85/barrel on average through the second quarter, and then back to $70/barrel through the second half of the year." Second Scenario "The US ceases military operations over roughly the same timeline. However, in this case, the Iranians say, “You’re done, but we’re not”—and they continue to block traffic in the Strait.  The upshot would be a very messy—and uncertain—three to six months, as the United States and its allies took steps to clear the Strait.  This would perhaps require boots on the ground.  It would also threaten more extensive damage to oil production infrastructure in the Middle East. In this scenario, brent prices would remain at or above $100/barrel through much of this year.  Whether that would mean $100/barrel or $140/barrel would depend on a range of specifics—including the success of governments in deploying strategic reserves, the ability of the Saudis and the Emiratis to use ports in the Red Sea, the extent of damage to the underlying oil production infrastructure in the Middle East, and the ability of emerging laser-based technologies to blunt the threat from drones."

@McFaul There will be no peace because Israel is creating more radicals in the areas they are removing others.

The mighty militaries of the United States and Israel are disarming Iran with great effectiveness. After the war is over, how much peace will this disarmament campaign provide? 1,2,3, 5 years? Genuine question. Post links to the best experts.

@Osint613 And Yemen will close the Red Sea

I have a feeling we are about to see Saudi jets over Tehran in the coming days…

@Osint613 The Yemen will invade Saudi Arabia and take control of about 1/4 of the country

@Ostrov_A Well what do you expect??

🚨 It's just after 3am in Israel, and people are forced to again run to bomb shelter, including in Tel Aviv. The attacks from Iran are just relentless, against entire civilian population areas.

@WhiteHouse @EdwadSouth Well what did you expect you orange fool

Statement from President Trump on South Pars Gas Field:

@DeptofWar @OldPrague Did you win again?

ANNOUNCEMENT:

@DeptofWar @OldPrague They boys are ready

@SwankDaddyOG @FirstSquawk All grand so start sailing the ships straight away 🫣🫣

@Piyanuch @FirstSquawk There's something that's not in the arrows we have complete air superiority

US PREPARING TO TAKE CONTROL OF STRAIT OF HORMUZ; OPERATION COULD EXTEND WAR BY WEEKS - KANN NEWS

@MarioNawfal Just the beginning of a full-scale war that is already underway. We’re looking at spending between 1 and 2 trillion dollars, and the world, and particularly the US economy, will be devastated. It’s not just about oil and gas at this stage.

🇺🇸 The Department of War asked for over $200 billion to fund the Iran war, a massive request that's already getting pushback inside the White House. Some senior officials think Congress has zero chance of approving anything close to that number, especially with growing opposition to the conflict. Source: Washington Post

@krassenstein Never ever did I ever think I would see the PRESIDENT of the USA begging

BREAKING: President Trump wants no more strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure after he realized how much he had screwed up the US economy.

JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 President Trump wants no more strikes on Iranian energy facilities after Israel attacked a key gas field, WSJ reports.

@KobeissiLetter Trump had no say he just does what he is told

BREAKING: President Trump wants no more strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure after today’s Israeli strikes on a vital Iranian gas field, per WSJ.

@spectatorindex Great idea 🫣

BREAKING: Israel's Kann News reports that the US is building up forces to take control of the Strait of Hormuz by force

@WarMonitor3 Another great idea 💡🫣

BREAKING: The US is gathering forces to prepare to take control of the strait of Hormuz in a multi week campaign-KAN

@MarioNawfal For the record, the president of the United States is now simultaneously claiming that he has won the war, is currently winning the war, needs help to win the war, and needs no help to win the war. All to destroy the nuclear program he claims to have already destroyed last year.

🇮🇷 Iran attacked 9 countries today Strikes and threats hit Israel, Qatar, UAE, Saudi Arabia, and more, with key energy sites directly targeted. Qatar’s Ras Laffan hub was hit, while multiple Gulf facilities are now evacuating ahead of expected strikes. This is a direct escalation aimed at the global energy system. Why it matters: oil, gas, and global markets are now in the line of fire, and this can spiral fast. What this does is put immense pressure on all the Gulf states and the West, leading more countries to refuse to take part in this war. Source: @rami_hashimi