PoodleFi

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PoodleFi

@PoodleFi_

Trading on @Polymarket with @ArAIstotle Prediction Market Signals | IRL Product Manager (+4 years)

Base Trencher Katılım Aralık 2024
342 Takip Edilen982 Takipçiler
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PoodleFi
PoodleFi@PoodleFi_·
i just closed a @Polymarket trade with 5x profit “Confirmed case of Hantavirus in the US by May 15?” when I entered the trade: - the crowd priced it at 18.5% YES - @ArAIstotle read the same evidence as 95% YES Truth Terminal analysed 300+ headlines and found: - verified reports confirming 9 Hantavirus cases linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship outbreak - official confirmation from the CDC, which was the primary resolution source so i placed my bet: 14 May: i bought YES at 16¢ 16 May: market resolved, YES at 100¢ --------------------------------------- realised profit: 525% (within 48 hours!) so tell me, still not paying attention to @ArAIstotle prediction market signals?
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「 𝕲𝖔𝖔𝖓」
「 𝕲𝖔𝖔𝖓」@goon_crypto·
The crowd had these @Polymarket Strait of Hormuz markets priced like nothing could change. @ArAIstotle Truth Terminal had a very different read. Two markets. One clear thesis. ➜ Trump announces blockade lifted: crowd 14.5%, Araistotle 48% ➜ 60 ships transiting in a day: crowd 5%, Araistotle 50% That's a 33.5pp and 45pp gap. Both flagged as "DISAGREES" with the crowd. That's the signal. Now the 60 ship market is the bigger payout. But 60 ships in one day is a hard bar. Confirmation data is thin. IMF Portwatch hasn't shown 60+ on record. So I didn't go for the home run. I took the 40 ship version instead. ⇁ Same directional thesis: Hormuz traffic stays elevated ⇁ Lower threshold to resolve YES ⇁ Got in at 10¢ Stacked that with the blockade announcement position at 15¢. Result? ➜ Blockade market: up 357% (15¢ to 68.5¢) ➜ 40 ship market: up 240% (10¢ to 34¢) I moved closer to where a model indexing 300 headlines was pointing, then picked the bet more likely to actually resolve. Do you use tools like Araistotle to build conviction, or are you still going off gut and timeline? The edge is in the delta, not the headline.
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Dennis Yap
Dennis Yap@ye_dennis·
@PoodleFi_ @ArAIstotle What if the premium parts of the solution can only be accessed by payback and burns of $FACY
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ArAIstotle Fact Checker
ArAIstotle Fact Checker@ArAIstotle·
What if you could make money when others are losing it because of faked news?
PoodleFi@PoodleFi_

sharing another successful trade with ArAIstotle just closed this @Polymarket position for +90% profit “Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?” when I entered: • crowd pricing: 67% YES • @ArAIstotle reading the same evidence: 45% YES over the last 2 days, sentiment shifted hard toward optimism around a potential end to the US-Iran conflict why? - on May 23, Trump said a peace deal with Iran had been "largely negotiated" and suggested reopening the Strait of Hormuz could be part of it - but by May 24, the narrative changed: Reuters reported Trump saying there was "no rush" for an Iran deal and that the blockade remained in place. no official lifting announcement, and the resolution window was getting tighter so I took the other side. 24 May → bought NO at 35¢ 25 May → sold NO at 66¢ ------------------------------------- realised profit: +90% (in 21 hours!) still fading @ArAIstotle prediction market analytics?

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All day Astronomy
All day Astronomy@forallcurious·
🚨: Japanese scientists made history by becoming the first nation to successfully generate electricity in space and beam it wirelessly back to Earth
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PoodleFi
PoodleFi@PoodleFi_·
sharing another successful trade with ArAIstotle just closed this @Polymarket position for +90% profit “Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?” when I entered: • crowd pricing: 67% YES • @ArAIstotle reading the same evidence: 45% YES over the last 2 days, sentiment shifted hard toward optimism around a potential end to the US-Iran conflict why? - on May 23, Trump said a peace deal with Iran had been "largely negotiated" and suggested reopening the Strait of Hormuz could be part of it - but by May 24, the narrative changed: Reuters reported Trump saying there was "no rush" for an Iran deal and that the blockade remained in place. no official lifting announcement, and the resolution window was getting tighter so I took the other side. 24 May → bought NO at 35¢ 25 May → sold NO at 66¢ ------------------------------------- realised profit: +90% (in 21 hours!) still fading @ArAIstotle prediction market analytics?
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StarPlatinum
StarPlatinum@StarPlatinum_·
OnlyFans is Hacked 🚨 Apparently OnlyFans has been hacked and they're selling the complete database of 340 million users including data of content creators and consumers. The leaked data includes - Usernames and profile names - Email addresses - Phone numbers - Account creation dates - Follower/subscriber metrics - Creator/fan rankings - Linked social media profiles - Partial payment card metadata (last 4 digits of the card) The result of this is going to be a massive wave of extortion attempts against users
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PoodleFi
PoodleFi@PoodleFi_·
@ye_dennis agree 100% i worked in corporates before, quit my job, moved to another country to do my Masters in Small Business and Entrepreneurship, and been working in startups ever since never going back to corporates
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Dennis Yap
Dennis Yap@ye_dennis·
@PoodleFi_ I know what you mean, its hard to find teammates who are intrinsically motivated and constructive, caring or honest. Thats why I wanted to move from corporates to startups.
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PoodleFi
PoodleFi@PoodleFi_·
ArAIstotle vs The Crowd on @Polymarket after 254 resolved markets: @ArAIstotle accuracy: 72.4% prediction markets don’t reward being right all the time. they reward spotting where the market is mispriced. the Truth Terminal (powered by $FACY) shows you those deltas in real time traders are already turning these signals into wins on Polymarket if you trade prediction markets, you need to test the Truth Terminal, thank me later
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
NEW: Chinese AI pet translating startup claims it can interpret pets' speech with up to 95% accuracy.
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PoodleFi
PoodleFi@PoodleFi_·
ArAIstotle just shipped Prediction Market Alerts 🔔 set up Telegram alerts in a few seconds: 1. connect your TG 2. open (@)araistotle_bot on TG 3. send /alert 4. create your alert rules you can choose between: • overall alerts → get markets matching your criteria • market alerts → track specific markets with rules like delta changes beyond a threshold + more to track a market: open the market → "create alert" done. $FACY I @ArAIstotle
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