Sabitlenmiş Tweet
beverages.eth
887 posts

beverages.eth
@PortfolioKings
Short volatility, long crypto
Katılım Nisan 2020
494 Takip Edilen395 Takipçiler
beverages.eth retweetledi

Yes "transitory" and "seasonal" were wrong, but that misses the point. These guys are doves and they will find a reason to cut rates.
#crashup
English
beverages.eth retweetledi
beverages.eth retweetledi

i think this is one of the most brain-breaking things abt investing until you truly internalize it and disavow concentration forever. imagine you were doing cocoa mean-reversion, consistently profitable 1985-2024, then in 2024 you lost all your 2012-2023 p&l in a matter of weeks
cephalopodshop@macrocephalopod
Trend followers are probably pretty happy with the cocoa positions right now, but it's been one of the worst assets for trend following historically. If you'd traded a 5d/65d EMA crossover for the last 40 years, your equity curve would have looked something like this.
English
beverages.eth retweetledi
beverages.eth retweetledi
beverages.eth retweetledi
beverages.eth retweetledi



















