PredictEngine.ai

We just made it even easier to make Polymarket bots You can now make your first bot in 30 seconds This is exactly how

@mustafap0ly Bro had to say this lol

who's the best in the world at building tokenomic models? DM me

They will limit the number of winning users at the end of the day. If they don't, market makers will stop making their markets. Kalshi and Polymarket may not profit off you losing money but a market maker that makes the whole market possible does. Some one has to take the losing side of a bet

@onchainmo You should’ve just invested in us

i invested $30k into these 3 angel rounds. my total allocation across all of them is now worth $92.10 (−99,69%). did i cook?

@0xSlyth @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Everything’s at 100 lol

july markets are LIVE on @Polymarket the most entertaining market is back will Trump publicly insult someone every single day in July? 31 days 31 chances what is your prediction next $POLY

@linkmaxxi Just built this and its live on our site

I think this feature would help a lot. Let’s say Group Outcome Allocator – “Guaranteed Profit on Subsets” Tool Description: Add a simple but powerful tool that lets users bet on a group of outcomes in multi-outcome (or even multiple related) markets while guaranteeing the same profit percentage no matter which one inside the group wins. The Use Case Many traders (including me) frequently want to do this: I’m very confident that one of A, B, or C will win (combined probability much higher than the market’s 80%), but I don’t care which one. I want to allocate money across them separately so that if any single one wins, I make exactly +25% on my total capital.” Right now this requires manual math every time: • Decide total capital I • Decide desired payout R = 1.25 \times I • Buy exactly R shares of each selected outcome • Calculate how much to spend on each one based on current prices It’s doable but annoying and easy to mess up, especially with more than 3 outcomes or when prices change. Proposed Feature A clean interface called something like: • Group Allocator • Subset Profit Guarantee Tool • Portfolio on Group of Outcomes How it would work: 1. User selects any number of outcomes from a market (e.g. picks France, Argentina, and Spain in World Cup Winner, or any custom group). 2. User inputs either: • Total capital they want to deploy, or • Desired profit percentage (e.g. +25%) 3. Tool instantly shows: • Exact number of shares to buy for each outcome (all the same payout amount) • Dollar amount to spend on each outcome • Total capital required • Guaranteed profit if any selected outcome wins • What happens if none of them win (full loss) • Current implied probability of the group vs user’s estimated probability (optional EV calculator) 4. Bonus features (nice-to-have): • One-click “Execute Group Buy” that places all the separate buy orders at once • Save templates (“My Top 3 World Cup picks”) • Integration with existing Portfolio / Bots section • Ability to set it as a recurring or conditional bot Why This Would Be Valuable • Extremely useful for sophisticated Polymarket users • Removes calculation friction • Encourages more volume on multi-outcome markets FYI Took AI help to Elaborate

@0xd1namit @nursexxl If everyone has an edge prediction markets wouldn’t exist You need losers for these markets to exist

If you come to Polymarket to place the same bets you would place on sportsbooks, casinos and so on, don’t be surprised when you lose money Today I saw @nursexxl lose $10k on World Cup markets. I don’t know exactly which markets he traded, but I guess it was match markets I genuinely don’t understand how people can be surprised that they lost everything on sports betting. It’s literally obvious And there are an insane number of people like this My personal opinion is that you can only come to Polymarket to make money if you have some kind of strategy, an edge, good research and so on But if you deposited money and placed bets on sports or crypto just because you “felt like it,” then treat it as entertainment

@redhairshanks86 Polymarket still uses their infra All wallets were gnosis safes up until a few months ago

most of you won’t know what i am talking about but in 2017 there was already a top 20 project that was building a prediction market it was gnosis. they raised $12.5 million in ine of the earliest icos and spent a good 2 years before they pivoted to gnosis safe and other stuff today, i watch this ad by polymarket, that is widely known as the company that made prediction markets mainstream and i am sitting here and trying to figure out why it worked for polymarket but completely failed for gnosis was it shayne’s execution? was it timing and people just weren’t ready in 2017? or did polymarket just get lucky and got a small, loud initial community that made it viral? the identical idea failed in 2017 and became one of the biggest trends in 2024. as a founder, this observation is a lesson it’s probably just a handful of factors that determine whether your company fails or succeeds. these factors include timing, quality of founding team, ability to identify and correctly target and convert your initial community, market conditions and a bunch more. you just gotta increase your odds of making it by trying to win as many of these factors as you can

polymarket builder volume is near all-time highs the apps built on top of polymarket just did $1.01B in volume, $708K in fees, and 25.7M trades we still have a lot coming. time to cook

@TheGreekTrader @PolymarketTrade @aenews How do we sponsor this

BIG ANNOUNCEMENT: "The Secrets of Polymarket Legends" is coming soon! I'm launching a new series where I interview top Polymarket traders. Each interview will have a short intro, followed by their best tips, alpha, lessons and insights. These interviews will have so much value so stay tuned! Which traders should I interview first? Drop your suggestions below.

Today is the 6 year anniversary of when I launched Polymarket. I’m truly grateful to be able to work on something that means so much to me. It’s been awe-inspiring to see the world catch up with this crazy idea called “information markets”. Yet there still remains a long ways to go For those curious about my headspace when starting the company, this thread is a nostalgic artifact.

FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 53 YEARS, THE KNICKS ARE NBA CHAMPIONS 🏆 New York defeats San Antonio 4-1 in the NBA Finals, capturing their third championship in franchise history!

@DidiTrading @predictdotfun @hyperbeat @jup_predict @MyriadMarkets @MEXC_Predict We are doing one too

Day 533: The World Cup starts today and there are plenty of opportunities to make money through campaigns. @predictdotfun — $2M campaign @hyperbeat — $50K campaign (free entry) @jup_predict — $125K campaign (free entry) @MyriadMarkets — $100K campaign @MEXC_Predict — $1.36M campaign @fliplymarket — $100K campaign (free entry) @xomarket — $50K campaign @Outcomexyz — $60K campaign @predofficial — $200K campaign (first win gets doubled up to $100 profit) The World Cup lasts 39 days and during this period we'll likely see some of the best opportunities to earn rewards while simultaneously farming airdrops. There will also be plenty of arbitrage opportunities between different prediction markets. Position yourself well.

@variance_lover @Polymarket @shayne_coplan It’s worse being a dev

Open letter to @Polymarket and especially @shayne_coplan: I've been trading on Polymarket for a long time. I am one of the biggest traders on the entire platform and I interact with it on a daily basis. And at this point I'm seriously questioning whether the team has simply given up. I'm not even trying to be dramatic. Wtf is actually going on? Has everyone made enough money that nobody cares anymore? Is the team completely overwhelmed? Are priorities completely broken? Is there no leadership? Is it incompetence? Because the current state of the platform is honestly embarrassing. Every maintenance seems to follow the exact same script: announce 10 minutes of downtime start 20 minutes late stay down for an hour deploy changes that break multiple existing systems leave the bugs in production for weeks And somehow nobody seems concerned. Example: ~1.5 weeks ago an update broke tick sizes. The matching engine started rejecting orders that matched the correct tick size after a tick size change was published. This was immediately visible after deployment. It's still broken. Nobody seems to care. Then for the last two days Polymarket's own RTDS feed, the feed used for all crypto markets, has been broken. The issue was marked "resolved" 10 hours ago. It still isn't resolved! Did anyone spend literally 5 seconds checking whether data was actually being published before closing the incident? Because it sure doesn't feel like it. Communication is somehow even worse than the bugs. Half the changes never get announced. The other half are hidden in random Discord side conversations. Major trading-impacting changes get silently rolled out with zero documentation. You ask support. They say they'll ask the team. Then you never hear back. Or you get the same canned response you've already received three times. The team keeps saying communication will improve. It never does. Then there's the rebate and fee situation. Taker tiers were supposed to launch on May 28. A week later they still weren't live. Nobody acknowledged the delay. The docs still said May 28. To this day there still hasn't been a single taker rebate payment. And the official position is apparently that missed rebates won't be back-paid. How is that acceptable? How are traders supposed to adjust strategies, thresholds, and risk when nobody knows what fees they are actually paying, what rebates they are actually earning, or how much of the promised rewards the platform simply decides not to distribute? That isn't transparency and it is clearly destroying trust. The craziest part is that every update creates fresh opportunities for exploiters. Just in the last couple weeks we've had: queue position jump exploits taker delay bypass exploits ghost fill exploits various matching and infrastructure bugs order spam exploits Millions of dollars have been extracted from legitimate users through platform failures. The response? Increase rate limits. Seriously. A huge amount of latency issues today are caused by order spam that is directly incentivized by broken infrastructure and exploitable mechanics. Fixing the root causes would help. Instead we get band-aids. Which raises another question: Does Polymarket have a testing environment? Does it have staging? Can updates be rolled back? Because from the outside it honestly looks like production is the testing environment. Every maintenance introduces new failures. Every maintenance gets partially reverted. Every maintenance creates more issues than it solves. This shouldn't be happening at a company valued in the billions. Meanwhile manipulation that has been repeatedly reported for months continues largely unchecked while manipulators keep extracting money from normal users. And surprise: Volume is declining. Prediction markets as a whole are growing. Yet Polymarket just posted its second consecutive month of declining volume. Meanwhile Kalshi has become the clear market leader in many categories and is now outperforming Polymarket by large multiples in areas where Polymarket used to dominate. Honestly? It's not hard to see why. Every serious trader I've spoken to says the same thing: Kalshi feels stable. Polymarket feels like you're one deployment away from disaster. I know multiple people who would happily trade Polymarket full-time if they trusted the platform. They don't. Not because of competition. Because they don't trust Polymarket itself. My trust in this platform is at an all-time low. And I genuinely don't understand what is happening internally. Maybe the response will be that the team is busy with the World Cup or other initiatives. Fine. Then stop shipping half-finished features. Stop deploying untested fixes. Stop breaking live trading. Slow down. Focus on fewer things. Do them properly. The most concerning part is that so many decisions feel like they were made by people with no actual trading experience. The product decisions show it. The infrastructure decisions show it. The market structure decisions show it. Building the future of prediction markets requires understanding how markets actually function. Right now it often feels like nobody is steering the ship. I want Polymarket to succeed. But from the perspective of someone who uses the platform every day, this is bordering on unusable. @Polymarket @shayne_coplan What is going on?

@SuhailKakar Working on that right now. Will be live soon

polymarket should have native ai agents. connect gpt or claude, let it research, predict, and trade autonomously. way more powerful than a "bot"

POV: You run polymarket bots

@Payne_1337 @PolymarketSport @Polymarket Hate to break it to you

Building my position on the Spurs to win NBA Finals Just bought 5,360 shares Let’s see how Game 2 goes. Hoping they don’t let me down

@se_margl The data shows that we are so far out that these odds don’t matter

Tucker Carlson has sharply jumped to 3rd place! Imagine if he.. Race2028 - the 2028 U.S. presidential election race in November 2028. The Polymarket platform has raised Tucker Carlson’s chances of winning the Republican presidential nomination - to 7%. Currently in 1st place is Vice President J.D. Vance with 30% (he has lost 26 percentage points in the last six months). 2nd place - Secretary of State Marco Rubio with 26%. 3rd place - Tucker Carlson has surged in, gaining 6% in just two months. How do you like Tucker as president?

@appledog_xyz @Polymarket @mustafap0ly It’s a massive platform chill out

.@Polymarket Update and maintain every day, yet nothing significantly improves overall. @mustafap0ly please hire a real dev, not a vibe coder. We just want to see the best of the platform

@mahera777 @PolymarketTrade It means your about to go on a run

after coming back to trading on Polymarket this morning I saw my PnL 111.11$ does this mean anything?

@therealsherra @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade You’re airdrop will be massive

Well I am top 32 by volume in the last 30 days on @Polymarket and I got Silver rank by Taker Tier Rebates. What should I do to be Obsidian rank than? lol I know I traded not only by market, but bro...