Prediction Hunt

it doesn't make ANY sense to buy a contract for $.51 on Kalshi when you can get it for $.48 on Polymarket. that's huge ROI that's being left on the table our API aggregates markets together so you can easily find the best price for a bet you want to make DM us for a test key

@moothefarmer that annualized APY is crazy. cross platform arbs are pretty cool too - apy isn’t as high but they last long enough for human traders to bet on them

Despite the many ways that Elemental is now able to generate yield for our community, this is (and probably will always be) my favorite way: arbitrage. It is risk free, and instant. The only downside is you can't consistently rely on it as a stable stream since it is chance based, but it does help to augment returns and allow @elementaldefi to give top yields to our depositors. For today's operations: -> $200k capital -> $360 in gains -> ~2h Annualized: 788% APR IN THIS ECONOMY?!

The launch of more prediction markets (FanDuel, Crypto.com, Opinion, etc) is great for the average trader It means you can shop around for the best price and even make some risk free arbitrage bets

A few things can be true: 1. On average, sportsbooks offer better odds than prediction markets 2. Sportsbooks are more incentivized to make their customers lose because their profits correlate 1:1 with losses 3. #1 is less true for prediction markets that don't have fees (i.e. Polymarket)

the only guaranteed way to make returns in prediction markets is through arbitrage betting and it's 100% free on our site

💰 Arbitrage on Western Conference Champion - Oklahoma City Thunder Buy YES on Opinion: 46¢ Buy NO on Kalshi: 48¢ Total cost after fees: 96¢ Profit: 4¢ (18.1% APY) All arbs are free in bio

With all the prediction markets out there, it's more important than ever to shop around for the best price Why pay more when you can pay less?

Here's the breaking news for today - as told by prediction market movements

Looks like Pam might be next? Kalshi and Polymarket seem to disagree though, which means there's an opportunity for arbitrage

@MoonDevOnYT claude is powerful for sure, but im gonna leave this here for people who prefer to manually trade

The $10 Coding Arbitrage: How To Run Elite AI Agents At 20x Lower Cost Than Claude Opus stop paying two hundred dollars every single month for a coding assistant that is probably being outpaced by a ten dollar alternative from across the world. most people are stuck in the anthropic ecosystem thinking they have to bleed cash to get elite performance but there is a massive shift happening right now that nobody is talking about if you have ever felt the sting of a liquidation or the frustration of over trading you know that code is the only way out for us. i am moon dev and i learned this the hard way after spending hundreds of thousands on developers before realizing that i could just build these systems myself there is a specific configuration file sitting on your machine right now that holds the key to slashing your development costs by twenty times without losing the reasoning power you need to build profitable bots. you are about to see exactly how to flip the switch on this setup and why your loyalty to specific ai companies might actually be holding your trading back the secret is a framework called minimax which is currently sitting at a price point that makes claude opus look like a luxury car you do not need. while opus is charging five dollars for input and twenty five dollars for output minimax is coming in at thirty cents and one dollar and twenty cents respectively when i first started learning to code live on youtube i realized that the elite tools are often gatekept by high price tags or complex setups. but i found that you can actually point your existing terminal tools at these cheaper endpoints and get the same level of code quality for the price of a couple coffees to get this running you need to start by installing the standard claude code package through your terminal using the npm install command. once you have that in place the real magic happens inside the settings json file which most developers never even bother to look at before we dive into the actual lines of code you need to change there is a deeper strategy at play here that i call the rbi system. this stands for research backtest and implement and it is the only way i have found to consistently win in the pvp world of finance most traders fail because they are looking for a magic button or a plug and play bot that doesn't exist. the rbi system starts with research where you are basically looking to steal the best ideas from the smartest people in the game this brings us to a concept from a book called steal like an artist by austin cleon which i believe is essential reading for any quant. the idea is that nothing is truly original and every great creator builds on what came before them by emulating the masters if you find a strategy on a podcast or in a phd paper you should not feel bad about taking it. your job as a developer is to take those raw concepts and remix them until they become a unique edge that works for your specific instrument and timeframe now to actually link this philosophy to your tech stack you need to grab an api key from the minimax platform. i recommend starting with the ten dollar coding plan because it gives you a massive amount of prompts that you will likely never even hit in a single session once you have that key you are going to open up your settings folder and find the file named settings json. inside this file you are going to swap out the base url to the minimax endpoint and drop in your new secret key while disabling non essential traffic to keep things fast this simple swap is what allowed me to run five different autonomous agents at the same time without worrying about a massive bill at the end of the month. it is about being efficient with your resources so you can spend more time iterating on your trading logic there is a common worry about where your data goes when you use these alternative models but honestly i do not care. i have androids all over my house and i know the world is listening so i might as well get the cheapest and fastest intelligence available to build my wealth the reason i share all of this for free instead of hiding it in a course is because i believe in abundance. if i give you the tools to win i know the community will keep providing value back to me and we all grow together instead of fighting over crumbs if you ever feel like the model is not performing or you want to jump back to the official anthropic servers it is just as easy to reverse. you just need to keep a backup of your original json configuration so you can toggle between them depending on the task at hand one of the biggest hurdles i faced when i was losing money manual trading was the emotional bias that comes with every candle move. automating your trading is not just about the money it is about the freedom to sleep while your systems are hunting for alpha in the markets the road to a fully automated system is not a straight line and it requires you to be the most persistent person in the room. i am not the smartest coder but i am the one who shows up every day to build baby build and that is why i am not getting liquidated anymore you should check out the roadmap i put together because it contains all of my personal notes from the hundreds of books and papers i have read. it is better than any single book because it is the distilled logic of a system that actually trades real money every single day the goal is to move from a manual trader who is exit liquidity for the whales to a systematic dev who understands the math. with this ten dollar setup you have no more excuses about the cost of entry so it is time to get into the terminal and start building your future once you have your environment variables cleared out with the unset command you can launch your new assistant and watch it cook. it is a beautiful thing when you realize you are using a top tier model for a fraction of the cost and the only thing left is your own creativity stay focused and keep your head down while you work through the backtesting phase. remember that every failed backtest is just a lesson that brings you one step closer to a strategy that actually prints money while you are away from the screen the great equalizer is finally here and it is available to anyone with a laptop and the willingness to learn. i will keep showing up live to show you every step of the journey because i want to see you win in this game just as much as i want to win myself

arbitrage is pretty straightforward to do which is why we make it 100% free on our site and discord

@moneyfet1sh you're 100% right. this is especially true with political markets which seem to have long resolution windows.. but ya, you can always cash out earlier

gm mates Just because there’s arbitrage and the market ends in 2028, it doesn’t mean you’ll have to wait until the end The odds can even out at any time, and you’ll be able to sell your shares for a profit I did it that way

@0xPhilanthrop bots like these are super powerful. if you're a human trader though, it's best to stick to arbitrage betting

This trader turned $2,366 into $226,000 in 30 days on Polymarket — all with a bot Here’s how he did it: • Executes 876 trades per hour (≈14.6/min) • Focused on high-frequency scalping + arbitrage • Targets 5m & 15m Bitcoin markets Strategy: Only uses limit orders (never pays spread) Farms ~7.27% edge on 5m arbitrage Builds directional bets on 15m when order book imbalance hits Copytrade → t.me/KreoPolyBot?st… profile:@BoshBashBish" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@BoshBashBish No guessing. No emotions. Just execution. Limit order arbitrage + scalping = asymmetric edge

looking for traders to fade? our fadefinder bot finds the bets that losing traders make - along with the profitable traders making the opposite bet

big arbitrage between kalshi and opinion

huge arbitrage opportunity for the IN-07 House race - 17% APY and decent liquidity

@smarts_ai bots are super powerful for capture arbitrage. humans can find them too though - as long as you know which markets to look at

Execution is where most trading strategies fail 🥲 The #SMARTS Atomic Arbitrage Bot removes that risk — purpose-built for high-throughput trading environments 🔥 It captures real-time price discrepancies and executes trades atomically, ensuring precision every time 🦾 No partial fills. No market exposure. Just consistent, precise execution. Activate your bot now - xmev.ai

@bored2boar the paper's right - arbitrage is out there, ready for the taking.. especially cross-platform arbitrage

$40M on Polymarket arbitrage is REAL. This paper proved it: arxiv.org/pdf/2508.03474 Study combinatorial arb + vibe coding. This is a real life cheat code for money.

ya backtesting and strategy is important.. but how about buying an event contract at the cheapest price? too many people just look at polymarket for prices when you can use our free API to instantly look at prices on 4 other markets

@usuches @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketDevs these bots are gonna leave SO much ROI on the table by only looking at polymarket prices they really should be using our free API to window shop for the best price across all markets

AI agents are about to change prediction markets forever @Polymarket already has API and MCP integration. This means any data scientist or developer can now build algorithmic strategies for arbitrage, probability modeling, and structured trading Imagine a firm with hired engineers and PhDs running probability models across thousands of markets. Daily yield. Risk management. Money management. Real financial volume flowing in These aren't degens. These are institutional grade betting machines running 24/7 The agents are both the bettor and the oracle

with all the polymarket bots out there, it's almost impossible to make consistent returns as a human trader unless you're arbitrage betting, that is