Joe Chaparo
6.1K posts

Joe Chaparo retweetledi
Joe Chaparo retweetledi

so the BoJ intervened to prop the yen up... as you can see, the first intervention doesn't work, and if you expand the time horizon to annual periods, the interventions haven't worked as well - so:
- short term, jpy gets weaker despite the first intervention
- medium term, jpy gets stronger as the BoJ continues to inject heroin into the patient
- long term, the patient dies

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@RealStockCats they lose value that bad? how this lose so much value?
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@MKhamenei_ir Another month or two for America stuck in there the devastation for USA consumers and farmers will the gold seal.
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Joe Chaparo retweetledi
Joe Chaparo retweetledi
Joe Chaparo retweetledi
Joe Chaparo retweetledi

Japan's factory output in surprise fall as Iran war takes toll on petroleum-based products reut.rs/4uEkYGD reut.rs/4uEkYGD
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@StealthQE4 Little guys have no voice, no one cares , economy is in coma
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Joe Chaparo retweetledi

$SPY $QQQ 2 girls at a lemonade stand make more money than $META. They also know more about business than these idiot sell side analysts. $AMZN had breakeven cash flow.
zerohedge@zerohedge
META free cash flow now negative in 2026
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Joe Chaparo retweetledi

This is the most OUTRAGEOUS deal I've seen in my 45 years on Wall Street.
SpaceX just disclosed Musk's new compensation package:
He gets up to 200 million super-voting shares if SpaceX hits a $7.5 trillion valuation, establishes a permanent human settlement of at least ONE MILLION people on Mars, and deploys roughly 100 terawatts of space-based computing power.
Let me put the 100 terawatts in perspective:
The entire electricity generation capacity of the United States is around 1.2 terawatts. The comp plan asks Musk to build more than 80x America's entire power grid... in orbit.
This is a science fiction screenplay that somehow landed in front of the SEC.
But here's why it actually matters for your portfolio...
The S-1 reportedly claims a $28.5 trillion total addressable market, with over 90 percent attributed to AI. CapeFearAdvisors flagged this one cleanly: when Palantir went public, it disclosed a $119 billion TAM and the SEC reviewed and accepted it.
SpaceX is claiming a market roughly 240x BIGGER.
Now let's talk about what is actually being sold here:
Reported 2025 revenue is approximately $15.5 billion. Starlink delivers around $11 billion of that with healthy margins, and the launch business is genuinely dominant. The problem is xAI - the AI piece doing all the heavy lifting in the trillion-dollar valuation pitch.
xAI generated just $210 million of revenue in the first 3 quarters of 2025 while burning through $9.5 billion in cash.
Ben Brey and Rupert Mitchell - a former Fidelity portfolio manager and a former head of equity capital markets at Goldman and Citi between them - ran a serious discounted cash flow on the actual operating businesses and arrived at roughly $400 billion. Lawrence Fossi covered their work recently and the math holds up.
The IPO is being marketed at $1.75 TRILLION.
The gap between what these businesses support and what Musk is asking the public to pay is roughly $1.35 trillion of pure narrative.
Then layer on what we just learned last week...
The New York Times investigation revealed Musk personally borrowed $500 million from SpaceX between 2018 and 2020 at rates as low as 1%, while bank prime rates sat around 5%. The same SpaceX has been used to bail out SolarCity, prop up Tesla during cash crunches, and absorb xAI when the AI losses became unmanageable.
This is the same playbook he's run for two decades.
Use a privately controlled entity as a personal piggy bank, and when the bills come due, find new investors to absorb the losses.
The IPO is structured to keep that game going FOREVER.
The Texas reincorporation strips away Delaware's fiduciary protections. Controlled-company status on the Nasdaq eliminates independent board requirements. And retail is being offered up to 30% of the offering (3x the normal allocation) because the institutions who actually do the math are quietly stepping away.
Here is the part that finishes the case for me:
Roughly $40 billion of the IPO proceeds are already spoken for before a single dollar reaches operations. About $23 billion retires SpaceX debt. Another $17 billion retires the high-interest debt sitting on xAI and X.
This raise is not funding the future. It's just plugging existing holes that retail investors will now own.
In my 45 years I've never seen a deal where the comp hurdle is colonizing another planet.
I've never seen a disclosed TAM that exceeds verified comparables by two orders of magnitude.
I've never seen a company asking the public to fund the retirement of debt incurred by separate private entities controlled by the same individual.
Every red flag I've watched precede a major bust over four decades is sitting in this prospectus, in plain sight.
The Tesla mispricing is being repeated on a far larger scale.
And this time the bag is being handed directly to retail.
Don't be the one holding it.
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@Beth_Kindig They are out of free cash flow , they will continue to buy them?
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The new TPU 8i scales to 1,152 chips per pod, up from 256 with Ironwood, offering 331.8 TB of HBM capacity, a nearly 7X increase over Ironwood’s 49.2 TB.
$GOOG $AVGO $NVDA
Beth Kindig@Beth_Kindig
Google $GOOG recently revealed its eighth-gen TPUs, TPU 8t and TPU 8i, purpose-built for AI training and inference. Google says the TPU 8t offers up to a 2.7x performance-per-dollar improvement over the prior generation Ironwood, and both chips offer 2X performance-per-watt as Ironwood. $AVGO $NVDA $AMZN
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@TrumpDailyPosts everyone is corrupt except you and your complete family , you are just a shame for America
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@market_sleuth how can we make money on this market? i really think this is a Waste of time
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Joe Chaparo retweetledi
Joe Chaparo retweetledi

The Fed HELD rates steady. BIG earnings are on tap. Catch @theoptionoracle 2x TODAY for great insight;
4pmE; Midweek Report-LIVE; @StickyTrades/streams" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">youtube.com/@StickyTrades/…
6pmE; AJ fields & forecasts YOUR tickers, LIVE, on RAPIDFIRE.
StickyTrades.com/Cruise Grab 1 of the last cabins & MEET AJ!

GIF
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