


Alex Desjardins
32.9K posts

@PrimeTrading_
Professional Trader, 10+ years experience - Founder at https://t.co/oHBJyNQTZd and https://t.co/GEJpgVvdaY.







$LITE We have to revisit some of these points... The numbers and updates they laid out are absolutely wild, and they focus on their roadmap for the massive future growth. 1) They officially closed a deal that very morning at OFC to buy a fully operational compound semiconductor fab from Qorvo in Greensboro, NC. Because NVIDIA just gave them a $2 billion strategic investment (plus a multibillion-dollar purchase commitment) to secure their supply chain. When this new fab ramps up in early 2028, it will add a staggering $5 billion in annual revenue capacity at chip-level margins. 2) They are officially targeting $2 billion in quarterly revenue (an $8 billion annualized run rate). They laid out a timeline to hit $1.25 billion per quarter in the next 9 to 12 months, and then reach that $2 billion quarterly target in another 9 to 12 months (so roughly 18 to 24 months from now). And as they scale, they are targeting operating margins to expand to 38% to 42%. 3) They announced a brand-new multi-year, multi-billion-dollar OCS agreement with a major hyperscaler. They already have a $400 million backlog to ship in the second half of this year, but with this new mega-deal, they project OCS will ramp to a greater than $1 billion run rate in 2027. 4) Lumentum is charging into Optical Scale-Up to replace copper. They noted that the first phase of this scale-up market will be 3X to 4X larger than the current scale-out market. To capture customers who don't have NVIDIA's massive optical engineering teams, they are building turnkey External Light Source (ELS) modules, which will actually double their revenue content compared to just selling bare lasers. 5) They are launching volume shipments of 1.6T transceivers this summer (the June quarter). Management noted they have fixed their engineering execution and are now in the 1.6T era which carries significantly better margins. 6) Management showed a chart projecting the AI optical Total Addressable Market (TAM) exploding from $18 billion today to over $90 billion by 2030. They are currently undershipping customer demand by 25-30% and have customers asking for lasers in the billions of units.























