Quanty ❋
72 posts

Quanty ❋
@QuantyX_
❋ in math we trust ❋ predict the future ❋ @polymarket
Polymarket Katılım Ekim 2023
97 Takip Edilen364 Takipçiler
Quanty ❋ retweetledi
Quanty ❋ retweetledi

Chance is among @PolymarketBuild!
We’re part of the official Polymarket Builders Program, working closely within the ecosystem.
Trade on @Polymarket using Chance, and have an edge that others don't have!
Check builders here: builders.polymarket.com

English

Volumes on the 3 Prediction Market platforms are basically running side by side:
@Kalshi - 37.9%
@OpinionLabsXYZ - 36.4%
@Polymarket - 24.3%
Which one is your fav?
Cool to see tools popping up that let you trade all 3 from one terminal, @chance_ is the one I watch.

English
Quanty ❋ retweetledi

As of December 29, @Kalshi has recorded approximately 5.7B Contracts Traded, averaging 195M Contracts Traded per day.
If this pace holds, @Kalshi is on track to close December 2025 with around 6B Contracts Traded.
For context, as of December 14, @Kalshi had logged roughly 2.25B Contracts Traded, with an average of 160M Contracts Traded per day.

English

Calibration > Accuracy
Across 540k+ resolved markets, both @Kalshi and @Polymarket show strong calibration: predicted probabilities closely match realized outcomes. When markets price an event at 70%, it resolves ~70% of the time.
The near-diagonal alignment in the calibration plot indicates minimal systemic bias and proportional accuracy.
This is a sign of maturing prediction markets.
Source: @Dune x @Keyrock

English

Joining the Builders Program by @opinionlabsxyz !
We’re proudly building infrastructure that makes trading on prediction markets smoother, smarter, and faster, delivering a real edge to you!
The platform is currently in closed beta, more access codes will be shared next week!
English
Quanty ❋ retweetledi
Quanty ❋ retweetledi

1/ Every Friday, we ship to make building on Privy better.
Today: a guide for integrating @Polymarket Builder Codes with Privy so you can embed markets anywhere – from trading terminals to bots, and more.
Start building to get access to @PolymarketBuild’s $2.5M grant program.

English
Quanty ❋ retweetledi
Quanty ❋ retweetledi

Prediction Markets Super Cycle?
Join myself and @banditxbt as we delve into the topic of prediction markets with none other than @PredMTrader who has turned $10k into $80k across hundreds of trades
twitter.com/i/spaces/1YqGo…
English
Quanty ❋ retweetledi

Trump announced a surprise $1,776 dividend to be paid to over 1 million active service members before Christmas.
Immediately after the announcement, odds on Tariff checks distributed before EOY surged from 1% → 50%
The first trader to react bought 50,000+ shares at just $0.03
Since then, odds have fallen back to ~20% as traders debate whether the checks will actually be distributed, and more importantly, whether they’ll be directly attributable to tariff revenue, as required by the market.


English
Quanty ❋ retweetledi
Quanty ❋ retweetledi
Quanty ❋ retweetledi

@lorexx_xx @Polymarket @PolymarketSport @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketMoney they should be afraid, more is yet to come
English

Stake (x7) vs @Polymarket (x9.8) for the same bet.
Think I know why the casinos are afraid of PM...


English










