@DaRealDonreal Barcola/Kroupi LOL, if you want to finish 4th maybe yh
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Riddle 🇳🇪
905 posts
@akarlin @prabhavjain85 Another thing to take into account is India infant mortality is elevated and sex ratio skewed. I saw a calculation that meant it's actually similar to 1.8 when adjusting for both factors.
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India's estimated regional TFR for 2024 (SRS survey). (map @prabhavjain85)
Anatoly Karlin 🧲💯@akarlin
ZERO is programmed for India. 💯 map h/t @DrClaytonForre1 ps. below take on fertility was still controversial in 2021.
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@RishiJoeSanu @JesusFerna7026 @prabhavjain85 It's easier to have large families in the US than almost anywhere else. The real estate is cheaper and there's a sense of plenty.
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This map, from @prabhavjain85, is fascinating.
Much of India already has TFRs on par with those of Western Europe or Latin America. Look at West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, or Kerala: 1.3! That is below Brazil’s (1.52) or the United Kingdom’s (1.44) and getting close to Italy’s (1.14).
If you are going to tell me some hypothesis about India’s family structure being “different” (i.e., higher marriage rates) in keeping fertility high, you’d better have a good explanation for West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, and Kerala.
At the same time, you still have Bihar at 2.9 and Uttar Pradesh at 2.6.
So right now, the best way to think about India demographically is as two distinct countries: a region with a high TFR and a region with quite a low TFR. Of course, this will have large consequences for the internal politics of India.
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@Amos12342505 @Shifty_Coffee And everyone despises him. Which shows why the right wing are fairly retarded
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@Shifty_Coffee Starmer is stricter on immigration than 90% of right wing candidates europeans dream about
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UK Net-Migration drops significantly to just +171,000 in FY25.
This is significantly down from a record, +944,000 in the year to March 2023.
The decrease is mainly driven by falling numbers of people coming to the UK from outside the EU.
bbc.co.uk/news/live/cvgz…
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@BirthGauge India, Nigeria, Pakistan the three biggest sources in that order I'm guessing?
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Net migration to the UK amounted to +171K in 2025, down from +331K in 2024. While British (-136K) and EU citizens (-42K) are leaving in large numbers, the amount of non-EU-migration (+350K) is still at a high level.
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@avrilbradley23 I fly with Ryanair to Mecca. I eat my KFC Twister. I drink my Pepsi. After pilgrimage I get a air con cab to the mall. I watch Mission Impossible 433 (sex scene was shortened tho). I waddle outside and watch the Champions League final and make a cheeky Sharia compliant bet.
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"If you want a picture of the future Winston..."
Muslim Bitcoiner ⚡@MBitcoiner
Halal sports betting is already here
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For all its faults the Chinese system is committed to social modernity.
This makes it distinct from Iran, or late Putinist Russia, where private gay parties are raided while priests try to pray the drones away.
𝚊𝚖𝚋𝚎𝚛 ଳ@amber_digit2
中国最高人民法院近日发布文件，首次将「性取向、性别认同、性别表达」明确纳入歧视的法律保护范围。 「法院对性少数群体的合法权益予以平等保护，包括不得侮辱与诽谤他人性倾向、性别认同与性别表达，不得就业中基于性倾向、性别认同与性别表达的歧视，保护不同性倾向、性别认同与性别表达的学生。」
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@razibkhan That would have happened anyway. India grew due to it's demographic transition, same as Bangladesh. You could put Clavicular in charge and it'd grow at 6%.
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who cares what how modi is remembered; he electrified the nation and pushed for the installation of toilets in rural areas. india was a spiritual superpower whose masses dwelt in barbaric squalor for decades. what matter the promise of souls in the midst of material misery?
Shashank Mattoo@MattooShashank
“I told PM Modi that you may have the 5th largest economy in the world but the world respects Gandhi more. The world has not named streets after you like they have for Nehru. I told Modi this and he winced,” says US Congressman Ro Khanna
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It's sad that you can't say "country X want to invade and takeover country/region Y, because it is very important to them in an ideological sense, whether nationalism, religion, philosophy, legitimacy, etc" because that is usually more often the case rather than "actually this is
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@akarlin Im all for "dieing" for a cause(pays substitute) but what I can't support is throwing people at a meat grinder solely to moral fag. I would say maybe a symbolic fight like the Austo Prussian war but I don't think its worth 10k for a statement.
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Trump on Taiwan:
> You know, when you look at the odds, China is a very, very powerful, big country. That’s a very small island. Think of it, it’s 59 miles away. 59 miles. We’re 9,500 miles away. That’s a little bit of a difficult problem.
How is he wrong?
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@teortaxesTex There was a great article in the NYT how the US is basically guaranteed to keep having crises because it keeps becoming more and more maximalist and less and less able to enforce it
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just bizarre chutzpah at this point
An American has no right to talk about aggressive foreign policy, you're on track to start three wars of choice this year alone. No, you don't risk slavery.
Aaron MacLean@AaronBMacLean
Unlike Xi Jinping, I am not a fan of Graham Allison or his notion of a "Thucydides Trap." My column today @TheFP. thefp.com/p/the-myth-of-…
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@AlbuynoRyeno @atlanticesque Nonsense. The vast majority of humans, even in the US and developed world are profoundly ignorant. And older generations that had large families were miserable people
A couple that travels the world is in the top 0.1% in the US terms of enlightenment.
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Much pop-natalism is just denial of death.
You could have 20 children or more and you will still die and be forgotten. Your descendants will all eventually cease to be and you’ll be just as gone forever from this world as that couple.
By all means, have kids! But memento mori.
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@SaladBarFan Ron Unz pointed out Americans basically don't really give a shit about diversity as long as it isn't black. Dems win in minority white states New Mexico/Hawaii vs in like Mississippi where there's like 3rd world level racial voting blocs.
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@SaladBarFan By 2105 the dominant American tribe will probably identify simply as American, biologically mainly White with Eurasian blend of Hispanic, Asian, and Indian ancestry, culturally fully Americanized, with Blacks remaining the country's enduring 'Other' caste.
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America in 2105 will be full of racists: racist whites, racist blacks, racist Asians, racist Hispanics, and even racist mixed race, triracial, or quadracial individuals. Interracial marriage is acting as a selective pressure on whites which raises IQ and ethnocentrism. Outlawing interracial marriage would promote “regression to the mean,” removing the selective pressures which are increasing white racism.
At 20% of the population, whites will still be overrepresented in business, finance, the military, media, and culture. The fastest growing religions (Mormons, Amish, and Orthodox Jews) will still be majority white. Whites with low ethnocentrism will select themselves out of the white gene pool, making the remaining whites much more racist.
Racism will not be eliminated in the 21st century. Instead, the 22nd century will be the most racist century imaginable, especially as gene editing, gene therapy, IVF, and other forms of selective breeding become technologically inevitable.
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@AdrienBoieldieu @hecubian_devil I think it's a bit deeper than that. In the US atleast a large segement is genuinely comfortable with Strongman rule. Someone mentioned the democratic spirit basically being whipped out of them. Hence basically no reaction to the nth Trump outrageous incident
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@hecubian_devil I think this is an overly intellectualised misdiagnosis. Most people are in fact less concerned about anomie than ever before. Liberalism is in retreat because both left and right believe that liberal institutions are oppressing them and preventing them from achieving prosperity.
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A lot of libs lately grappling with the political crisis liberalism presently faces (and that’s basically a good impulse), but I haven’t seen anybody *really* get down to brass tacks about the assumptions baked in.
Much discussion of “we are so vastly wealthier then even our very recent ancestors, so much healthier, so much less subject to the grief of loss from disease or starvation, etc, yet people don’t seem to be crediting liberalism for delivering it,” but not a lot of questioning the basic premise that this glorious increase in material abundance *on a fundamental level* may not optimize for happiness and contentment.
In other words, I see a lot of libs getting halfway there, trying to figure out “how do we get people to appreciate what we’ve accomplished?” but very little serious consideration of whether the project itself is critically flawed, if the things liberalism and capitalism optimize for are *not actually what drives contentment*—at least not on balance.
I don’t think they’ll be able to really address the crisis of liberalism without thinking this through deeply
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@teortaxesTex Maybe this is the future of American politics. Politicians across ideological and party spectrum pledge fealty to the Caesarian President to get their pet projects fulfilled
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@teortaxesTex The most amazing this about this admin is just how it's basically a front for various actors to get their fantasy fulfilled. Rubio wants to take out Cuban regime, Netanyahu wants his war, Miller wants hyperborea
Deadass Trump might just be going along with it and not coherent
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has Trump ever talked about a European leader like this?
Silly question.
…Meloni, Orban, for starters. Mark Levin is "The Great" too.
Trump's notion of greatness is a bit impoverished.
Clash Report@clashreport
Trump to Xi: You are a great leader. I say it to everybody, that you are a great leader. Sometimes people don’t like me saying it, but I say it anyway because it’s true. I only say the truth.
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@DavidLiptonWI @teortaxesTex Birth hegemony would go to Africa not America using that logic. Pakistan and Nigeria in particular
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@teortaxesTex Having a rising share of global births, all while China crashes and burns, simply because fertility in the U.S. doesn’t crash like the rest of the world is indeed, births hegemony
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> births hegemony
mf just saying random shit at this point
Special Providence Poster (GDP Stan)@DavidLiptonWI
An extraordinary week for US hegemony - births hegemony, oil & gas hegemony, AI hegemony, financial hegemony, equities hegemony. It’s all coming together
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@Qatilqatilshoua @EdAsante77 They can still run on African immigration imo
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@EdAsante77 Things would have looked much different today had they taken law and order seriously while also taking an immigration restrictionist stand. Failure to do so is why all is lost now.
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Black leaders’ inability and unwillingness to confront Black America’s cultural problems will see the group fall materially behind other Americans in the decades to come.
Libs of TikTok@libsoftiktok
BREAKING: Walgreens reveals the Chicago South Side store they are shuttering after 20 years, lost $1 million mainly due to theft last year, which is 4x the company average, while they spent $400k a year on security and employees still got assaulted.
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