

Razan Hilal, CMT
812 posts

@RH_Waves
Market Analyst محللة للأسواق العالمية Personal viewpoints, not financial advice وجهات نظر شخصية، وليست نصائح استثمارية








Intermarket Analysis: Solving the Puzzle of the Market The market is a puzzle and it cannot be solved with isolating its variables. As a collective, the market tells a larger story. A story of regime, risk, and positioning that is constantly rapidly responding to new information. It’s a discounting mechanism, and ultimately, the world’s best fundamental analyst. Currently, this discounting mechanism is sitting at a crossroads. Across intermarkets, prices are hovering at key levels, patiently waiting for the next piece of information that will inform it on how to react. Currency markets: - $DXY - hovering just above a key polarity zone ~100 - $EUR/ $USD - hasn’t confirmed the long-term breakout in DXY as it quietly waits beneath its polarity level ~1.14 Rates & Fixed Income: - $TNX - sitting at resistance of its broadening formation, an indication of increasing volatility - $Bonds - waiting at long-term support Commodities: - $CrudeOil - trading just beneath a heavy key ceiling at the Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) from yearly lows ~82 Equities: - $RUT - small caps hovering at short-term support with a volatility squeeze, a sign of building tension under the surface - $DJT - transports testing the Golden Ratio after repairing itself from a corrective phase from all-time highs - $SOX - the largest group of the technology sector, holding in at crucial support ~12k Due to the proximity of prices to their key zones as well as volatility levels of these various markets, time is ticking for the world’s best fundamental analyst to make its move. And once it does, its decision is going to have cascading ripple effects across the intermarkets. *Not a recommendation @SchwabNetwork @SchwabTrading @SchwabResearch

مثلثات الأسبوع: #الين و #ناسداك #الدولار_ين - مخاطر الاختراق الإيجابي فوق 162.50 - 163.00 - مخاطر التراجع دون 161.80 - 161.50 #ناسداك - مخاطر الاختراق الصاعد فوق 29,800 - 30,400 - 30,600 - مخاطر التراجع دون 28,800 - 28,600 التحليل الكامل: tinyurl.com/vdxkujv9


Triangles of the Week: USDJPY and Nasdaq $USDJPY: - upside risks > 162.50 - 163 - downside risks < 161.80 - 161.50 - BOJ? $NDAQ - upside risks > 29800 - 30400 - 30600 - downside risks < 28800 - 28600 Full analysis: forex.com/en/news-and-an…






















تجدد المخاطر في مضيق هرمز واستمرار الهجمات على البنية التحتية للطاقة في روسيا يعيدان علاوة المخاطر الجيوسياسية إلى أسواق #النفط. ومع اختبار $WTI لمنطقة دعم تاريخية قرب 66.50، يلتقي التحليل الأساسي مع التحليل الفني... لنشهد ارتداداً صاعداً قصير الأجل؟



Renewed Strait of Hormuz risks and continued attacks on Russia's energy infrastructure are bringing geopolitical risk back into the $oil market. With $WTI testing a major long-term support near 66.50, this is where fundamentals and technicals meet... for a short-term bullish rebound?