Robert Struthers

Bloody hell. This is NUTS The ONS say that "in London, the average home was not affordable for any household income decile". Utterly broken....

Exc: the secret plan to rewrite the top of government - that never happened From 🎙️Politics at Sam and Anne’s 🎙️ Listen in full: open.spotify.com/episode/2ReSI7…

Charlie is alive and fighting in hospital. Please join us in praying for him.

Other findings Labour might want to address 77% now say they see this Government as chaotic rather than stable, this was a killer for the last government with people fed up of Tory Drama. Starmer’s new cabinet will want to make “politics that treads more lightly” a reality.

Labour promised change but voters are doubtful after watching Labour in power. 48% think they will make things worse over next few years Just 21% think they’ll make things better.

This mood isn’t confined to Reform voters. 61% of Labour voters 69% of Lib Dems 79% of Greens 84% of Conservatives 92% of Reform voters

New Substack post using new @BMGResearch polling for The i: 77% (!!) of Britons now say the country is “broken.” I argue that single stat is best explanation of Reform’s record 35% vote share in our latest poll. open.substack.com/pub/robertstru…

🚨📊NEW POLL @BMGResearch poll for @theipaper shows that Reform has pushed out its lead over Labour to 9 points, with Nigel Farage's party rising to 32% - its joint highest vote share with BMG. Farage has also recorded his highest satisfaction rating with the pollster.

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 30% (-1) LAB: 27% (+3) CON: 19% (+1) LDM: 12% (-1) GRN: 7% (-2) SNP: 2% (-1) Via @BMGResearch, 24-25 Jun. Changes w/ 28-29 May.

🚨🗳️ EXCLUSIVE Tories take a polling lead - for the first time in 3 years (on Sunak's last day as leader) Con 29% Lab 28% Ref 17% LD 13% Grn 8% Voters think Budget will leave them worse off, @BMGResearch poll finds Story @theipaper: inews.co.uk/news/politics/…

I’m rubbish at football references but I think this means a Europa League Spot? Not bad!

2024 Pollster Scores (Regular Polling, Not MRPs): 🥇 @NorstatUKPolls 🥈 @VerianGroup 🥉 @JLPartnersPolls

Can I thank all the pollsters, focus group convenors, data journalists and political scientists on here for their work over the last few weeks? I’ve learnt so much from you, I don’t take it for granted and I am really grateful.

It’s never “the i wot won it” Only one national newspaper has never supported a political party. That’s why @theipaper readers trust us to tell it straight 🖊️ @olyduff ⬇️ Tap to read

Thursday's front page of @theipaper Labour's lead narrows in final poll - but Starmer still on course for landslide #TomorrowsPapersToday + Why it's never the i wot won it inews.co.uk/news/why-i-won…

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 39% (-3) CON: 22% (+2) RFM: 16% (=) LDM: 11% (-1) GRN: 7% (+1) SNP: 3% (=) Via @BMGResearch, 30 Jun - 2 Jul. Changes w/ 24-26 Jun.

BMG's @RStruthers17 says: "The Conservatives should not take much comfort from the slight narrowing in the Labour lead we have seen in the last week. Unfortunately for Sunak, this is simply too little, too late." inews.co.uk/news/politics/…

📊 Final pre-election VI poll for @theipaper 📊 📉 Gap between Labour and Conservatives narrows but still as high as 17 points. LAB: 39% (-3) CON: 22% (+2) RFM: 16% (=) LDM: 11% (-1) GRN: 7% (+1) SNP: 3% (=) OTH: 3% (+1) 30th June - 2nd July. Changes with 24th-26th June.

The lack of enthusiasm for Labour at this election really is striking. Among those who plan to vote Labour tomorrow, the party is much less well-liked than in 2019, 2017 or 2015 (no data before that). Quite a flimsy voter coalition that could unravel in the absence of results.