Rob Person 🇺🇸🇺🇦

“Why Putin Invaded Ukraine” - In this piece, @McFaul and I argue that a permissive balance of power, Putin’s personalist autocracy, and his anti-democratic & anti-Ukrainian ideology led him to launch his disastrous war - not NATO enlargement. Read it for free here: muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/oa_edite…

As the Iran conflict remains prominent in headlines, Robert Person's analysis reminds us of the spillover effects it's had thus far on the ongoing war in Ukraine. buff.ly/PWQlfs1

Robert Person describes the state of Ukrainian and Russian negotiations during a shift in focus toward the Middle East and lessons from Ukraine's experiences for Washington and Beijing. buff.ly/2Kd4BlB

And you tell me that firing 18 months of Patriot missile production output in 96 hours is not going to reduce the number of interceptors available to Ukraine??? Unless something changes in Patriot supply or demand, our armies and allies will soon compete for breadcrumbs. /end

Now, imagine that the only baker in operation can only bake 50 loaves a month, and that if you put in your bread order today it will be ready for you to pick up in the year 2030. Because of all the other people who ordered bread when they ran out during the snowstorm. 4/

One of the commenters on my @Telegraph interview insisted that the high Patriot interceptor burn rate in the ME would not reduce the supply available to Ukraine because Arab nations' stockpiles had been accumulated over 20 years. Here's my response: 1/

Nikolas Gvosdev explains that we need to reshape our conception of "World War" to understand the present-day situation we find ourselves in with multiple, interconnecting conflicts afflicting the globe. buff.ly/Z1F0Je4

@FrancisDearnley @DomNicholls @Telegraph Also worth checking out this @FPRI report that I reference in the interview: fpri.org/article/2026/0…

Always a pleasure to join @FrancisDearnley and @DomNicholls on @Telegraph's U:TL podcast. Today we discussed the (stalled) negotiations to end the war in Ukraine, as well as how the war in Iran is shaping Moscow's calculations about its own prospects. youtu.be/fnkmpbma6dc?si…

Shared a few thoughts for @csmonitor on how recent developments in Iran are shaping the battlefield in Ukraine and beyond. Take a look here: csmonitor.com/USA/Foreign-Po… @FPRI

From Tehran To Donbas: What The Iran War Means For Russia And Ukraine – Analysis – Eurasia Review eurasiareview.com/07032026-from-…

From Tehran to Donbas: What the Iran War Means for Russia and Ukraine dlvr.it/TRNN42

"The Iran war creates a diplomatic vacuum over Ukraine precisely when the conflict was entering a new, potentially decisive phase. Moscow has every reason to believe that it can afford to wait, while Kyiv struggles for attention as well as territory." More by Robert Person. buff.ly/PWQlfs1

It was true 4 years ago when @McFaul and I published this in @JoDemocracy, and it’s just as true today.

LOL “picked up” by @RCDefense 🤦‍♂️. Damn you, autocorrect!

My latest for @FPRI, bucked up this morning by @RCDefense:

fpri.org/article/2026/0… @FPRI

Some of my thoughts for @TIME on how the war in Iran may be an unintended boon for Russia. Based on my latest article for @FPRI (link in comments)

My latest for @FPRI, via @EurasiaReview: