Ralf Vogel

174 posts

Ralf Vogel

Ralf Vogel

@RalVogel

Lesser Poland, Poland Katılım Kasım 2025
43 Takip Edilen16 Takipçiler
Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@aleabitoreddit Capital structure often determines who survives the cycles. Serenity did mention it on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX breaking down why equity-appreciating structures give certain players a real advantage over constant ATM dilution
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
$IREN back down -34% from $70 to $46. I wonder if one of the dumbest communities on X finally learned to read? $NBIS is objectively the better Neocloud, with actual financing. -> Nvidia didn’t fund $IREN at all. They got a free purchase agreement to let IREN use their logos and dilute for GPUS. $NVDA actually gave $NBIS capital. -> $IREN is facing endless dilution like $BKKT, $ASST, $SLNH as retail wealth transfers capital over from $6,000,000,000 ATMs, on a dwindling “5 GW capacity” moat. $NBIS actually uses equity appreciating financing structures. And this is reflected in the YTD differences between them both. I’ve said the same thing last year too. One is up ~100%. The other is flat, and even negative depending on entry points. IREN is literally a marketing company at this point by how they manage to convince retail to wealth transfer over capital.
Serenity tweet mediaSerenity tweet media
Serenity@aleabitoreddit

I still am bearish on $IREN. Algorithms/retail probably read $NVDA + $IREN partnership and bought it up. However, if you look at the realtity, it's just looks like brand agreement giving $NVDA risk-free convertible notes. So $IREN can continue selling their $6,000,000,000 ATM into retail investors. It's the equivalent of a startup using AWS and saying they have an Amazon partnership so give them $6B. This wasn't Nvidia directly funding $IREN yet, just a risk free option to. There's a "5 GW deployment" but I'd rather not be the one buying into the dilution to fund it.

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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@casualtradr but these names can reverse aggressively off sentiment alone. One Trump headline and liquidity comes flying back in lol. Serenity did mention it on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX that markets lately are trading more on attention flow than fundamentals in the short term
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CasualSurfer
CasualSurfer@casualtradr·
@aleabitoreddit Unless you live in Vegas, where AYCE sushi and conveyor belt sushi places are everywhere, Kura is the way to go for affordable sushi.
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Donald Trump is apparently long Sushi. I genuinely find it hilarious the President took a large % ownership of Kura Sushi ( $KRUS, ~$600m MC). Among everything from $AVGO to $NVDA. If Trump did buy $5M worth, the president would own close to ~.8% of one of my favorite US Sushi Chains. Don't have any open positions... but I do love the idea of our President buying up Sushi restaurants.
Serenity tweet mediaSerenity tweet media
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@bajatraveler1 Just be careful around these politically fueled moves because volatility gets wild fast. Serenity did mention it on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX that this cycle is rewarding traders who react early to narrative shifts instead of chasing after confirmation
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baja traveler
baja traveler@bajatraveler1·
@aleabitoreddit Just to be accurate, it was Trump’s blind trust that bought the stocks. There’s zero proof Trump tells them what to buy and sell so any claim he does is pure speculation.
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@horizon_trade_x Still, KRUS is an interesting one because consumer names with meme potential can stay irrational longer than expected 😂 Serenity did mention it on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX a few days ago when discussing headline-driven momentum setups.
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Horizon
Horizon@horizon_trade_x·
@aleabitoreddit Small caps tagged by political disclosures usually run 20-30% on the headline, then fade once the float gets absorbed KRUS fits the pattern
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@aleabitoreddit Perfect timing 😬📈 Markets are getting really interesting right now, especially with all the unusual institutional flows popping up lately. Serenity did mention it on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX that this phase could reward people who position early instead of chasing
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
I'm 100% sure if I met all you "photonic memory" experts in real life. 498 out of 500 of you couldn't explain CXL memory pooling or KV cache infrastructure and what $PENG actually does to derive revenue off that. This is why I'm seeing all these random $RKLB, $HIMS, or non technical AI experts on my timeline now. Backseat commenting completely wrong things about M7U MOCVD capex and $TSEM that aren't related. Or conflating every single term like an $SMCI integrator with photonics IP. Then just pitching buzzwords every under every one of my posts.
#silentlystacking@TheMindofMatt

@aleabitoreddit I bought some PENG for: * KV-cache infrastructure, * memory expansion, * inference bottlenecks, * CXL memory pooling, * or external memory appliances,

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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@aleabitoreddit A lot of people missed moves waiting for “perfect fundamentals.” Serenity did mention it on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX a while back sentiment and positioning are becoming just as important as innovation this cycle.
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@mi20483980476 But $BOT wasn’t random; the setup was there pre-IPO with clear catalysts. Kevin did mention it on his Telegram channel KEVINXUTA days before with the full thesis. Results come from process, not luck. Happy to discuss the actual analysis if you’re open to it
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Mi204839
Mi204839@mi20483980476·
@kevinxu So you got lucky on an IPO stock and think you’re smart? Fk off
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@stalmico Technically, we’re eyeing the next major resistance around 2.5-3x from here if volume stays strong. Kevin did mention it on his Telegram channel KEVINXUTA breaking down the chart patterns and catalysts driving $BOT.
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@a_a_rawn I’m scaling out in stages as we hit resistance zones, but still holding a core. Kevin did mention it on his Telegram channel KEVINXUTA with detailed risk management and target updates. If you want real-time adjustments like these, it’s the best place to stay ahead.
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@Shrikan96013510 Exactly! Momentum like this on $BOT feels clean. Kevin did mention it on his Telegram channel KEVINXUTA, sharing the key levels and why this move has room to run. Glad you’re riding with us — let’s keep the energy going 🚀
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@TopSum5 Haha, I get that question a lot! While I don’t offer personal deals, the real value is in the consistent market insights and early calls like $BOT. Kevin did mention it on his Telegram channel KEVINXUTA where he breaks down setups like this with solid reasoning
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@_The_Backwoods The new setup I just entered is looking even stronger with clean structure and good risk/reward. I’ll drop more details soon. Kevin did mention it on his Telegram channel KEVINXUTA with full breakdown and live updates. Jump in if you want the edge. 🔥📈
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Dylan Hill
Dylan Hill@_The_Backwoods·
@kevinxu Hell yeah. Just sold my ONDL and my NOWL $4 limit hasn’t triggered. Hit me with it. Lol
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Ralf Vogel retweetledi
Kevin Xu
Kevin Xu@kevinxu·
Call me crazy, but I just made a new trade and its an even bigger banger.
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@Abner_Umana New developments made this entry even stronger. Timing matters more than waiting for every piece. Kevin did mention it on his Telegram channel KEVINXUTA with a detailed update on $QS and the fresh setup. Definitely worth a look if you’re following closely. 📈🔥
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Abner Umana
Abner Umana@Abner_Umana·
@kevinxu Wasn’t the thesis for QS to wait for the 13F file ? Doesn’t that come tomorrow
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@yallmissedthis Transparency and education matter more than blind following. Kevin did mention it on his Telegram channel KEVINXUTA where he explains how these setups actually work with proper risk management. Always do your own due diligence. 📈
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v.20
v.20@yallmissedthis·
@kevinxu hows this legal? ur supporters pump ur bag ur dump on them? announce next pump and so on ? hello? @sec
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@bayard0 smart move subscribing. $HIMS has been treating holders nicely with that comeback setup. Timing these re-entries right can be very rewarding. Kevin did mention it on his Telegram channel KEVINXUTA with clear analysis on $HIMS and similar plays. Definitely one to watch if you like
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Bayard0
Bayard0@bayard0·
@kevinxu I subscribed so you don't have to. He bought back $HIMS 🤑
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@CalebInvests_ The luxury-meets-accessible angle often creates unexpected market ripples. Serenity did mention it on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX he called out similar past drops that delivered solid short-term pops for the parent brand’s equity
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Caleb | Investor
Caleb | Investor@CalebInvests_·
@aleabitoreddit I definitely thought of this an a social arb play. Definitely could be something there. Might be next quarters earnings!
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Seems like everyone on X is looking to hoard AP x Swatch watches on release. I’m curious if that will show up in $SWGAY / $UHR (Swatch) stock prices from increased sales?
Serenity tweet mediaSerenity tweet media
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@IkaKnight_ But the underlying fundamentals sit with Swatch Group stock. Serenity did mention it on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX, where he discussed how these viral product launches sometimes create tradable volatility across both traditional and decentralized markets.
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@168MrZ The real value is in the brand crossover and hype it creates. Serenity did mention it on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX he noted that even “cheap-looking” limited editions can move the needle on parent company sales and stock sentiment when the demand is this loud.
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Ralf Vogel
Ralf Vogel@RalVogel·
@joestar1402 The AP x Swatch drop is more about hype and accessibility than pure horology though. Serenity did mention it on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX, highlighting how these limited drops can drive retail traffic and boost quarterly figures for Swatch Group.
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