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In 2026… Bitcoin will break the four-year cycle, Polymarket open interest will set an all-time high, more than 100 crypto ETFs will launch, and more…
Here are 10 Crypto Predictions for 2026 by the team at @bitwise
🧵👇
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Ryan Rasmussen
6.2K posts
Ryan Rasmussen
@RasterlyRock
Head of Research @Bitwise
Katılım Eylül 2019
1.6K Takip Edilen24.7K Takipçiler
Presented crypto to 700+ financial professionals this week.
We covered:
- Bitcoin
- Ethereum, Solana, XRP, Chainlink
- Stablecoins
- Tokenization
- ETFs, Staking, Vaults
- Regulation (Genius, Clarity)
One thing is clear: We’re just getting started.
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@RasterlyRock @Matt_Hougan The charts you brought were 🔥 looking forward to more RIA content 🤝🏽
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Currently listening to Bitwise @Matt_Hougan & @RasterlyRock presentation on Stablecoins & how crypto reinvents money in 5 years
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Ryan Rasmussen retweetledi
Visualization of the onchain price discovery for WTI Oil futures last weekend that occurred on Hyperliquid
Over the weekend geopolitical chaos spurred in the Middle East, causing oil perps on Hyperliquid (CL-USDC) to spike
On Monday when CME reopened, WTI oil futures opened where prices left off on Hyperliquid - a gap higher from where they landed before the weekend
This is real-life onchain price discovery
Those who wanted to trade oil futures over the weekend were pushed over to Hyperliquid, a 24/7 trading venue where they actually could
Prices seamlessly flowed from crypto to TradFi when CME reopened - showing the mainstream market acknowledging the crypto market
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Ryan Rasmussen retweetledi
It’s hard to overstate stablecoin momentum right now.
In the past 10 days alone:
- USDC supply hit a new all-time high, with $2B+ minted
- The New York Times wrote a 1,500-word article on Tether and stablecoins
- Wells Fargo filed a trademark for WFUSD, hinting at stablecoin ambitions
- HSBC and Standard Chartered reported likely to receive stablecoin licenses in Hong Kong
- Stablecoin market cap hit a new all-time high
- Visa and Stripe/Bridge extended stablecoin card program, plan to reach 100+ countries
- Global insurance broker Aon tested stablecoin payments on Solana
And that was the past few days. Money’s changing fast.
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@RasterlyRock @MilkRoad Keep doing gods work with the institutions ;)
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Ryan Rasmussen retweetledi
@MilkRoad @RasterlyRock when you say "stablecoins and blockchains" you mean dis one? Big blue? 😀
Ethereum 😘
Great pod, @MilkRoad x @RasterlyRock is a combo!
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Ryan Rasmussen retweetledi
Ryan Rasmussen retweetledi
Today, Bitwise is donating $100,000 to support Ethereum open-source developers, who work tirelessly to secure and maintain the network.
When the Bitwise Ethereum ETF $ETHW launched in July 2024, we committed to giving 10% of ETHW’s gross profits back to the Ethereum ecosystem each year. Today, we’re excited to be making our second annual donation.
The funds will go to two non-profit initiatives—@ProtocolGuild and @PBS_Foundation—with critical missions: supporting Ethereum protocol research and development, and helping develop and maintain open-source Ethereum infrastructure.
To the investors who’ve chosen Bitwise and ETHW, thank you. We hope you’re as proud as we are to give back to the developers who make Ethereum better every day. We look forward to making more contributions as ETHW continues to grow.
We believe Ethereum is changing the world, and we will always strive to do our part to be a good steward of this incredible ecosystem alongside you.
From all of us at Bitwise, thank you.
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@RasterlyRock @camerakellly Given the significance of the product in question maybe she understands it better than all of us
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My wife just asked me “are you saying ‘staplecoin’ or ‘stablecoin’” and now I know she tunes me out when I talk about work.
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This is a really great primer on the Ethereum Strawmap: a 3-year plan to accomplish 5 major goals via 7 network upgrades that overhauls the Ethereum network, making it more attractive for builders (including institutions and enterprises) and more competitive with other blockchains.
Everyone should read this, but I’ll summarize below (with all credit to @Snapcrackle for the writeup and the Ethereum researchers and builders like @VitalikButerin, @drakefjustin, others at the @ethereumfndn, and the countless Ethereum contributors for the mission-critical work they do every day).
The Strawmap outlines five goals:
1. Accelerating Speed: Finality (the time it it takes for a transaction to become irreversible, secure, and permanently recorded) goes from minutes to seconds (via redesigned consensus)
2. Increasing Throughput: Transactions per second goes from 30 to 10,000 (via ZK Proofs)
3. Scaling Data: Enabling 10,000,000 transactions per second on L2s (via increased data capacity)
4. Post-Quantum Resilience: Implementing quantum-resistant cryptography
5. Improving Privacy: Adding privacy as a native feature
It proposes seven upgrades; one every six months. All upgrades would be complete over the next three years (by mid-2029).
The result: A faster, more secure, more scalable, privacy-enabled, censorship-resistant network.
Of course, this is highly dependent on several factors, including mathematical and cryptographic breakthroughs. But, the Strawmap notes that "the current draft assumes human-first development” and that “AI-driven development and formal verification could significantly compress schedules."
While the Strawmap is obviously ambitious, it’s hard not to be bullish with this level of clarity and focus on accelerating upgrades and scaling/building Ethereum for a future where hundreds of trillions worth of financial assets move onchain.
James | Snapcrackle@Snapcrackle
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Ryan Rasmussen retweetledi
As part of our annual commitment to support Bitcoin open-source developers, Bitwise is proud to donate $233,000 to support the unsung heroes maintaining and securing the Bitcoin network.
This year marked significant growth for the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF ($BITB), making this milestone even more meaningful. When $BITB first launched, we pledged to contribute 10% of gross profits each year. Today, we’re pleased to deliver on that promise with our second annual donation—reinvesting $BITB’s growth directly back into the ecosystem that powers it.
@bitcoinbrink, @OpenSats, and the @HRF Bitcoin Development Fund, three non-profit organizations whose shared missions are to safeguard and evolve Bitcoin, will allocate the funds.
This contribution is only made possible through investors who chose this journey with us. We are profoundly moved by the trust placed in Bitwise, and we feel immense gratitude to stand alongside our investors in sustaining the open-source heart of Bitcoin.
As $BITB continues to grow, so too does our contribution. Bitcoin is changing the world, and Bitwise will always strive to do our part to be a good steward of this incredible ecosystem.
From all of us at Bitwise, thank you.
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Big if true
Eleanor Terrett@EleanorTerrett
🚨NEW: @krakenfx, the U.S.’s second-largest crypto exchange, has just done something no other crypto firm has done before: secured coveted access to the Federal Reserve. According to a report by the @WSJ released this morning, the exchange’s banking arm, Kraken Financial, has been approved for a Federal Reserve master account by the Kansas City Fed, marking the first time a crypto-native company has gained direct, albeit limited, access to the Fed’s payments system. The approval comes five and a half years after Kraken filed its application with the Kansas City Fed in October 2020. The account gives Kraken a direct line into the Fed’s payments rails, but not access to Federal Reserve lending facilities. Under the limited-purpose, or “skinny,” master account framework floated by Fed Governor Christopher Waller, the firm can hold reserves and settle in central bank money, but it cannot lend, access the Fed’s discount window, or operate as a traditional commercial bank. Governor Waller is seeking to finalize his skinny master account proposal by the end of this year. The Kraken approval, sources tell me, is designed as a “pilot” program to trial the skinny master account concept. The skinny master account is in line with payments-only accounts provided by central banks in the United Kingdom, the European Union and Switzerland. The decision marks a historic shift for an industry long shut out of the traditional banking system and signals a softer tone at the Fed, which critics had previously described as hostile to crypto under the prior administration. The decision also impliedly recognizes that the Fed believes Kraken has sufficient anti-money laundering and sanctions compliance practices to curb illicit finance risk, and that Wyoming’s regulatory framework for special purpose depository institutions (SPDIs) is in line with Federal banking standards. This could kick off a surge of Fed master account applications from other crypto firms. On the horizon: Wyoming’s @custodiabank, which has been chasing access nearly as long as Kraken and has been engaged in litigation against the Fed since 2022. @Anchorage, an OCC-regulated trust bank, and @Ripple's U.S. banking partner have also applied for master accounts. More to come.
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Ryan Rasmussen retweetledi
The Bitwise team is incredible. Here's the Head of Content and Creative at Bitwise predicting the rise of prediction markets in 2008.
Ricky McRoskey@RickyMcR1212
I wasn’t wrong, I was just a tad early.
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