SuleimanQadid

Iran is not on a suicide mission. It is on autopilot. And nobody in Tehran can reach the controls. In 2003, Major General Mohammad Ali Jafari watched the United States decapitate Saddam Hussein’s centralised command structure in three weeks. He spent the next four years at the IRGC Strategic Studies Centre designing a military architecture that could never be decapitated. In September 2007, he was appointed IRGC Commander and immediately restructured Iran’s entire military into 31 autonomous provincial commands, one per province, each with independent headquarters, command and control, missile and drone arsenals, fast-attack boat flotillas, integrated Basij militias, pre-delegated launch authority, stockpiled munitions, and sealed contingency orders. The doctrine was built for one scenario: the death of the Supreme Leader. That scenario arrived on 28 February 2026. The doctrine activated within hours. It has been running ever since. The question nobody has asked is whether anyone inside the Islamic Republic can turn it off. No. The reason is constitutional. Article 110 of Iran’s 1979 Constitution vests sole command authority over all armed forces exclusively in the Supreme Leader. He alone is commander-in-chief. He alone appoints and dismisses military leadership. No other institution, not the President, not the Parliament, not the Guardian Council, not the judiciary, possesses constitutional power to issue military orders or rescind the Supreme Leader’s directives. Ali Khamenei issued the pre-delegation orders. Ali Khamenei is dead. Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed successor on 8th March. He has not spoken. He has not appeared. He has issued no verifiable order. He was wounded in an airstrike and has never addressed his nation in his life. The sole constitutional authority that could override 31 autonomous commands exists in an office occupied by a man who may not be capable of exercising it. Ghalibaf can reject ceasefires. He cannot order the IRGC to stop. Pezeshkian can issue statements. He cannot countermand a provincial commander in Bushehr launching anti-ship missiles at a tanker. The Guardian Council can vet legislation. It cannot revoke firing authority issued by a dead commander-in-chief whose orders remain legally binding until a living one explicitly rescinds them. No living one has. The 31 commands are not disobeying. They are obeying. The last orders said: fight independently, with whatever you have, for as long as it takes, without waiting for instructions that may never come. Those orders were designed to survive the death of the man who issued them. That was the entire purpose of Jafari’s twenty-year project. For insurers: no counterparty can guarantee cessation across 31 independent actors. For diplomats: no signatory can bind commands they do not control. For military planners: no single headquarters whose destruction ends the campaign. For Gulf states: each faces localised harassment from the adjacent Iranian province’s fast-attack boats, drones, and coastal missiles without any central coordination to intercept or negotiate with. For markets: seven P&I clubs modelled the probability that all 31 commands would simultaneously honour any agreement and concluded near zero. That calculation has not changed because the constitutional mechanism that could compel compliance does not functionally exist. The doctrine was not designed to win. It was designed to make losing impossible. Jafari studied how centralised armies die. He built one that cannot. The machine runs without a pilot. The pilot is dead. And the constitution says only the pilot could have turned it off. Full analysis in the link. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

@grok What could be the scale of damage caused by Iran

@generali_osumo But this is the Kenya we have been living in for past decades, Why make it News today. The Kenya problem is Systemic and you can't blame anyone but yourself.

Out of 47 positions of SHA managers, 12 are Somalis & 6 are Kalenjins. Two communities took up 39% & the rest of 42 communities left to compete for 61%. This is how NEPOTISM has taken over the outgoing blood-based regime. Aden Duale is Somalialising Health in this country.

@bakhita_esther With a Somali in public Service, you can be sure of excellence, such as Major General Ali, the former Police Head, Mahbub Maalim, IGAD, IIEBC, Ahmed Issack, @HonAdenDuale who performed in every Docket Given. You can name them in both Public & Private sectors

Aden Duale the Ministry of health has turned government jobs into a tribal affair, Tribalism and nepotism are the main problems . In a list of 47 county managers, 12 are Somalis. Aden Duale must be called out and forced for resignation , Aden Duale has turned SHA to Somali health authority this is unacceptable and unconstitutional. Like I said he is the Enemy of President Ruto .

@SalahYakub @ahmednasirlaw The Whole truth, at no time you can compare Kiambu County with KUTRH built from the Exchequer Funds and Garissa County with the level 5 hospitals, Cancer Centre and over 400 bed capacity MCH hospital built using the equitable Share received by Garissa County.

@ahmednasirlaw You should be the last person to lecture us on NEP leadership and corruption! Here is the fact: 1. You campaigned and supported vehemently for all the three governors 2. You represented t wo of those governors in a corruption case 3. You are a shareholder in that big building gachagua mentioned, which we are getting all the sticks for 4. You were involved in the Kenya pipeline scandal 5.involved in National bank near collapse incident 6. Involved in the first community bank near collapse 7. The 🆔 questions we get starts with yours 8. Is your law degree valid, if yes why are you suspended from the court 9. Did you receive any of the loot from Fahad from Somalia or what The last time you were in mandera, it had only 3 public secondary schools , today it has over 30 public secondary schools. All courtesy of CDF. It had only 1 level5 hospital but today it has over 6 . Courtesy of the county government. It had less than 30 primary schools, today , mandera has over 100 primary schools. All courtesy of CDF. Madera had only, 3 or 4 lawyers but today has over 200 lawyers . All educated courtesy of CDF. Talk of how many doctors then and how many now. Look at the number of nurses and teachers produced by the CDF. Mandera county had no teachers collage but devolution gave them a fully fledged TTC. Mandera had no tarmac road but devolution gave them a tarmac road. Above all, because kikuyus have ring fenced public service employment for themselves, our county governments had become a source of employment for our newly graduated kids. Mandera has employed over 5000 youth. you want to compare Nyeri to mandera! All the institutions gachagua is talking off was done by the National government as a result of 60yrs occupation of the office of treasury minister, PS treasury, director general budget treasury, accountant general treasury, governor Central bank, chairman budget committee by people from the mountain. No Somali had ever occupied those offices. In fact no Somali works there, even a cleaner! That is the office where national development projects , 85% of the central government budget are cooked and not at the county or CDF. That is why, all world bank projects( all national projects are loan funded) in the ministries are headed by someone from the mountain. That is why of the 12 trillion debt, 8 trillion have gone to the mountain. NEP received less than 20b of that debt ( largely the Raya solar power plant) and I bet Your law firm is among the firms that acted for the government in those negotiations. That is why the equalisation fund was bloated by the treasury to include Nyeri and 10 more counties from the mountain and it's disbursement begun this year because of that hinge and delay by the treasury. We know your role in whispering negative vibe to the power that be in regards to the development aspect in the North and their leaders. Warya!, if you are not in the wagon of helping the North at least don't help out in the Somali phobia perpetuated by the people from the mountain. Do you know that 50% of students in the institutions of higher learning are from the north. All courtesy of NGCDF and that is where the Kikuyu leadership fear is driven from. A vibrant Somali community who were denied education, since independence, are now producing a large educated generation and that will tilt their dominance? We are ready to take all the barbs thrown at us for that progression Warya, get your facts clear before you bark. We will answer gachagua soon on facts. If you want to see gorofas and cabros done by CDF, we will show you many! I have considered mandera because that is the place you understand most.

Young Somalis, grab a coffee, tea, or camel milk and read this carefully. 
American Oil companies and the Somali civil war!

President @WilliamsRuto, Yes, you have a vision for the Country, Taking us to the levels of the 1st World is doable and U are capable, unfortunately, you refused to address the elephant in the room, that's, Corruption. Fight Corruption and you are halfway through the journey.

@DeptofWar @realDonaldTrump You should get to the resources direct without destroying lives, homes and Families, your end game is to have a free ride in exploiting Nigeria's Natural Resources.

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Check out B44RI's video! #TikTok vm.tiktok.com/ZMAyrEdGA/ #FreePalestine

@vinguard254 Hii Safari laizima tumalize pamoja, mlianzisha, tunamaliza, where is the problem

A man with double speak can't be a leader.

Regardless of which IEBC is in office, if Kenyans agree to dislodge the system Kenya is used to, We can Change things come 2027 through the democratic space we have every five years #AtwoliRetire

One message to Fred Matiangi and anyone aspiring to lead Kenya, our only problem is Corruption, the rest will sort itself. We should go for a no corruption President and we will be in Canan

We, Kenyans are the problem, we are given the opportunity to decide on our destiny, unfortunately, emotions overtake reasoning and we are in circles for 60 years. Let's break away from the known culprits in Kenya politics, lets go for Babus, Omtatas, Sifunas #BloodParliament

@FGaitho237 You guys will keep wailing in Social Media as the rest of Kenya progresses. Nilotes are not anyone's guest in Kenya and you better accept to be governed.

The year is 1992. Far left: Daadab MP Farah Maalim. Second from right, NIS Director Noordin Haji. As Kenyans from other regions were clamoring for democracy/multi-partyism, these Cushitic pieces of shit were defending a dictator. Old habits die hard. This is their default settings. Fast forward ⏩ ⏩ to 2025. Farah Maalim asks William Ruto to kill dissenters and critics. Noordin Haji is exposed as orchestrating William Ruto’s orders to abduct, kill and dump bodies in acid. Our problems have been few and recurring. We need to bring an end to all this once and for all. And it starts now!

facebook.com/share/p/1HSETe… @ahmednasirlaw @BillowKerrow @HonAdenDuale @HonAdanKeynan

@OleItumbi @rigathi @OleItumbi please remind @rigathi how he bastardized Uhuru Kenyatta and failed to respect the office Uhuru held at the time. Karma is real and came too early for him

After much reluctance, I am deeply compelled to set the record straight: 1. Yes, the Diary group was deleted. What DP @rigathi fails to mention is that the President was removed even before him, and The group was permanent DELETED due to the highly classified documents being shared in WhatsApp groups. A security decision was also made that no other group would be formed on the DIARY. 2. On the King’s visit meme, it's absurd how far DP @rigathi has gone to draw attention to a satirical piece of art, developed clearly by those against UDA at the time for social media banter. At one point, he made the President cancel a crucial Universal Health Coverage meeting for a two-hour session to discussthe Meme's impact on his political standing. He accused @NdindiNyoro & myself of demeaning him, even taking offense at Ndindi for hosting development sessions in Kiharu – the same benchmarking he once participated in as Mathira MP. Some of us refuse to bow down to the ‘Kingpin’ politics of the mountain, and that’s our only ‘offense.’ and subscribe to a new standard of political engagement and discourse. We refuse to praise and worship, we disobey orders to tweet personalised platitudes to Muthamaki the King and instead believe in One Nation. One Flag. One People as aptly captured by @KindikiKithure Ironically, photographers will tell you, he complains even about his own poses in shared photos. Maybe one day, we’ll all share our full stories. For now, I’m just responding to what he chose to make public. Goodnight

The assassination of Palestinian negotiator #IsmaelHaniyeh in #Iran will have a profound impact on all sides. It will end the negotiations there will be no cease-fire no prisoner-swap. It will once again force Iran to make a high-value response given the grievous blow to their national prestige. It will draw in resistance movements throughout the region and with a real possibility of #Russian #US confrontation. I will talk about this tonight on @MoatsTV I knew him from my siege-breaking convoy to #Gaza in 2009. He wanted to give me a #Palestinian passport but had none to hand. So he gave me his own. He was a giant figure whose aura will only grow in the pantheon in which he now stands.

What's the forward for @TheODMparty and @RailaOdinga since they have decided to join the feast in the sinking ship. We should now agree on who to front and do away with the Old guards.