Cryptopherus

$vet #Vechain $0,04 🚀

@filbfilb So do you think that we can be in a positive mood again from here when it comes to crypto?

This time is different. Previous cycles saw significant retail participation but the last one was far more muted. It ended on a similar time basis to previous cycles as OGs / early investors reached the 100k milestone. Coins were passed from the old to the new as usual on the same time regime. A lot of these participants exited stage left. This time - no major direct short term poorly managed retail participation yielded less unrealised losses to force capitulation - no parabolic advance above all time highs. Meanwhile - ETFs + Saylor buy at a rate faster than new supply arrives & SPX hits all time highs. Time focus ended with the short term fast money cycles ending. There is less time required to recover after a less of a major blow out - think of it like a hangover. Less euphoria at the bar, less of a hangover.

@BobLoukas So you think alt bear market mostly done?

Bought some more $XMR today (for the HODL account). The only thing I HODL in this space is BTC, with a little ETH, XMR and digital art.

@Truecrypto Denial

$BTC OK, Crypto Twitter! You know the drill, this is a great time to gauge what everyone is currently thinking. Where are we on this chart? Be very specific in your answers.

@Megatron_ron And so it starts....

🇪🇺Ursula von der Leyen regarding the energy crises in Europe: “The cheapest energy is the one you don't use. Stay home, don't drive, don't use electricity.”

@filbfilb What about Bitcoin? Did your position change?

I’m getting the vibe that the bottom is in on equities. Failing that we all getting rekt in ww3 and it’s all irrelevant. Onward to 30k Nasdaq (or doom)

@Schuldensuehner Unexpectedly?

Good Morning from Germany, where industrial production unexpectedly declined in Feb, even before the Iran war started, casting doubt on hopes for a rapid recovery. Output fell 0.3% MoM, dragged down mainly by construction and consumer goods. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

@TechCharts Thanks!

@Rob30La No. Not yet. 72-76.5 area resistance. Above that area I will expect higher.

In few days we will understand if the pattern is repeating or not. $BTCUSD

@decentrader I don't have a FOMO. It was just options that stand in the way of your opinion (which is also mine) and I wanted to address. @Truecrypto pointed out that there was no monthly closing below a last ATH ever. All information must be taken into account. Thanks for your update!

No blow-off top → no extreme downside? Top was fine, expectations were higher (HYPE). Drawdown is already adjusted relative to prior cycles, just not in the way people expected. No capitulation yet. Sub 50k is value. 10k difference vs a 100k+ move doesn’t matter. And what you say now it’s FOMO (that is why we are in hope) . All tools are good and have to be used as long as they work. You can also easy check fib levels

$BTC is ~715 days after the halving. This is not the end of the cycle, it’s the middle of it. We’re sitting in the “Hope” zone (NUPL ~0.24), which means there’s still profit in the system and no real capitulation yet. Previous cycles bottomed after 75–85% drawdowns. This one only pushed around 50% so far. The real flush hasn’t happened. From here, the market usually moves through distribution and then into a final capitulation. If that structure holds, the $35k–$40k area is still in play. What you’ll likely see before that: fake strength, sharp rejections, and a lot of chop that traps both sides. The final move doesn’t come with hope. It comes with panic. decentrader.com/alpha-bitcoin-…

Another birthday today. More than anything, it is another reason to thank God. Thankful for life. Thankful for this community. Thankful for another year to grow, serve, and keep seeking what matters most. A few things worth holding onto: God first. Temptation resisted. Money kept in its place. Generosity as a habit. And the truth that the best things in life are free.

@TechCharts Thx!

@Rob30La Next technical support around 52K. If wedge breaks down like the previous one with a black candle.

No better time to highlight the importance of long-term averages as a trend filter. After breaking down the year-long average around 100K, the first rising bearish wedge found resistance at the average. The second possible bearish wedge is having difficulty to breach the resistance area between 72K-76.5K. Conclusion: once you establish a trend below long-term average, chances are high you are sitting on a weak price action that is exposed to more surprises on the downside. $BTCUSD

I know this might sound crazy but I think we're being lied to.

You all ready for 50k Bitcoin?

@TXWestCapital With this post you are definitely in the right place in all outcomes

Very few are truly prepared for what happens next.

@PositiveCrypto I argue against it (Germany) - population growth and migration - already severe housing shortage - New construction for years under the number of homes required (no foreseeable end) - permanent inflation

I think exact timing will vary by country, but it increasingly feels like real estate will soon enter terminal decline. Main drivers: preference for liquid & portable assets, population decline, affordability crisis.

@filbfilb Please don't use Arni for downside, it's definitely an up only meme 😄

Sensing volatility ahead.

@filbfilb Thanks mate. Your last analyzes have been on point!

@Rob30La Close above the yellow line, currently about £72k. Emphasis on close.

#BTCUSD In every instance since inception, a weekly close below the yellow band has resulted in a c.40-50% correction. Levels c. $40-45k for the bands at the moment. A bounce off around $50k is not impossible, but ultimately, the price has met the lower band. Enjoy.