Rob

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Rob

Rob

@RobLorge

Fantasy football is a math equation. Writer for @RotoBaller.

Wisconsin, USA Katılım Ekim 2020
409 Takip Edilen1.1K Takipçiler
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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
2025 Fantasy Football Rankings Quarterbacks 1. Josh Allen 2. Lamar Jackson 3. Jalen Hurts 4. Jayden Daniels 5. Joe Burrow 6. Baker Mayfield 7. Patrick Mahomes 8. Jared Goff 10. Bo Nix 11. Kyler Murray 12. Trevor Lawrence 13. Brock Purdy 14. Justin Herbert 15. Caleb Williams
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Jeremy Fowler
Jeremy Fowler@JFowlerESPN·
Playing GM: Four hypothetical trades *Keon Coleman to Baltimore for a 5th *Cole Kmet to Carolina for a 3rd, late-round swaps *Anthony Richardson to GB for a 5th *Kayvon Thibodeaux to Saints for a 3rd espn.com/nfl/story/_/id…
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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
The best trade target at running back for the Packers right now is Jaylen Wright of the Dolphins. They just extended DeVon Achane. They drafted Ollie Gordon last year. The new Miami front office is basically old Green Bay front office so there’s a strong relationship there.
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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
Can Kraft continue averaging 11 YPT w/a 4.5 adot? Kraft played Weeks 1-9. He had just 5.5 targets per game. Watson had 8 targets. Golden had 29. Reed had 5. Watson & Reed are healthy. Golden ain’t a rookie. 20% of Kraft’s catches were TDs. Kraft is coming off a torn ACL.
Hayden Winks@HaydenWinks

Tucker Kraft is a total mad man.

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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
Literally everyone: Dude, just draft a quarterback! Omar Khan:
GIF
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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
So Pittsburgh traded for DK Metcalf & gave him $30 a year. Then they traded for Michael Pittman & gave him $20 a year. Then they were gonna draft a first round WR. Now, reports say they’ll be aggressive about adding a WR in round 2. And their QB plan is…
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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
Big if I know, but if Geno Smith doesn’t suck a big one, the Jets offense looks kinda fun. - Garrett Wilson - ⁠Breece Hall - ⁠Kenyon Sadiq - ⁠Omar Cooper - ⁠Adonai Mitchell - ⁠Mason Taylor Plus two first round tackles.
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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
@YZR_Fantasy Vontae Mack isn’t a middle linebacker. Vontae Mack is Arvell Reese. He’s Micah Parsons.
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Akash
Akash@YZR_Fantasy·
Possibly controversial: I don’t understand the people who watch draft day every year. I watched it before the draft a couple of years ago but there’s no part of me that wants to see a GM trade 3 1sts for a middle linebacker every year
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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
When teams say “best player available…”, what does this mean? Is it a strict “best player available” period? Is it best player available for our team? Is it best player available with consideration for positional value? What does it mean?
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Rob@RobLorge·
@FAmmiranteTFJ I’ll take Smitty without AJB over Olave. I’d put him below Nico, but pretty much on the same level as London. Crazy considering the public perception, but give me Hurts over Shough, Stroud & Tua/Penix.
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Rob@RobLorge·
@AdamKoffler @SmolaDS Yeah, it’ll be interesting. If they avoid a round 1 WR, I think we’ll be ranking Smitty as a top-12 WR with upside come August.
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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
@AdamKoffler @SmolaDS They kinda already did. Adding Hollywood, trading for Wicks & bringing back Goedert, definitely gives them the flexibility to go OL & DL/edge in round one. But I’d bet they’d add WR in rounds 2 or 3, but maybe still not a big threat to Smitty’s 2026 volume.
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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
@GuruFantasyWrld Yeah… that’s not the point he’s making. He’s not saying, “it’s a bad thing to have huge games against inferior opponents.” He saying, “he only had 638 yards in his other 13 games against D1 athletes. That’s a red flag.”
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David J. Gautieri
David J. Gautieri@GuruFantasyWrld·
I’m here to argue that getting 10 receptions for 200+ yards & 4 total TD’s in a single game against an FCS opponent is actually a good thing. You should want him to have gone berserk in those games.
Ethan Kreager@EthanKreagerFF

I'm not sure this has been discussed enough with regards to Omar Cooper Jr. While Cooper only played 3 of his 38 career college games against FCS opposition (7.9%), an unusually large amount of his career production came in those 3 games. In those 3 games, he totaled 439 of his 1,798 career receiving yards (24.4%) 5 of his 22 career receiving TDs (22.7%) This is extremely uncommon among recent 1st round WRs. Since 2024, there will have been 17 WRs taken in the 1st round (assuming there are 6 in this year's draft). Cooper's 24.4% share of career receiving yards coming against FCS teams is easily the highest total of those 17 (ignoring Travis Hunter's season playing at Jackson State). KC Concepcion has the 2nd highest share at 10.1%, and no one else is higher than 7.4%. The full top 5: 1. Omar Cooper Jr. (24.4%) 2. KC Concepcion (10.1%) 3. Xavier Legette (7.4%) 4. Ricky Pearsall (7.1%) 5. Brian Thomas Jr. (7.0%) Cooper's career YPRR is 2.47, but if you remove the 3 FCS games it drops all the way to 2.01. No other recent first rounder has such a drop anywhere near as extreme as Cooper's. I currently have Cooper as my WR5 and I do like him as a prospect, but I also think it's fair to ding him to a certain extent for such a large amount of his production coming against FCS teams, and also for not producing at a higher level against FBS opposition. What do you think?

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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
@GuruFantasyWrld @RecepPerception Antonio Williams is a capable YAC player with 5.3 YAC/reception. Elijah Sarratt does nothing with the ball in his hands with a 5.1 YAC/reception. 60% and lower = F 61% = D 62% = C 63% = B Tough grading scale.
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David J. Gautieri
David J. Gautieri@GuruFantasyWrld·
Do not ignore the red flags with Elijah Sarratt. He struggles to get open (17th percentile success-rate vs Man, via @RecepPerception); 28% contested-target rate 2nd highest in this class. He does nothing with the ball in his hands (career 5.1 YAC/reception; .125 MTF/reception). Productive collegiate player. Good luck against NFL corners.
David J. Gautieri tweet media
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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
@FFSnoog Don’t get the Ertz comparison? Ertz was a lackluster athlete who played in-line. Stowers is an elite athlete who is a move TE. Love Stowers, but his game & strengths are far more similar with Kyle Pitts or Dalton Kincaid.
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FFSnoog | Fantasy Football
Eli Stowers is a worth the hype: - 11'3" Broad Jump - 4.50 40-yard dash - 45.5" Vertical Jump - 2.34 career YPRR numbers Natural receiver with high upside PPR traits - projects to be a Zach Ertz prototype and 1st round NFL pick. 1st round rookie pick in dynasty drafts.
FFSnoog | Fantasy Football tweet media
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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
@GuruFantasyWrld @ffdataroma I agree with Data here. I think Cooper’s 1st round hype is overboard. Which isn’t to say he’s a bad player or not interesting (he is). I just think he’s more of a 2nd round prospect, but one fantasy managers should be interested in, especially if the landing spot is right.
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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
@GuruFantasyWrld @ffdataroma Knowing how predicative early declare status is, I think it’s fair to acknowledge that he didn’t get on the field early. I think y’all are getting stuck on the semantics of “didn’t produce”. David, pointing out he was efficient. Data, pointing out he didn’t play really.
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David J. Gautieri
David J. Gautieri@GuruFantasyWrld·
CAREER YPRR Matthew Golden – 1.85 Omar Cooper Jr. – 2.47 CAREER TPRR Matthew Golden – .187 Omar Cooper Jr. – .234 BEST PFF RECEIVING GRADE Matthew Golden – 75.6 Omar Cooper Jr. – 86.0 CAREER SLOT-RATE Matthew Golden – 20% Omar Cooper Jr. – 48.2% CAREER YAC/RECEPTION Matthew Golden – 5.6 Omar Cooper Jr. – 6.6 CAREER MTF/RECEPTION Matthew Golden – .185 Omar Cooper Jr. – .313 CAREER CONTESTED SUCCESS-RATE Matthew Golden – 47.2% Omar Cooper Jr. – 54.3% PASSER RATING WHEN TARGETED Matthew Golden – 120.7 Omar Cooper Jr. – 134.2 I do not get those vibes.
Dataroma@ffdataroma

Omar Cooper Jr. is fine enough and still way too cheap in best ball, but Round 1 capital is giving Matthew Golden vibes. Those vibes are referring to pulling up a non-R1 profile with major red flags, due to some individually strong traits and a massive hype train. Golden was a good bit less efficient per route in college, but at least had the early career production and early declare status on his side. Omar Cooper had 267 yards in his true freshman and sophomore seasons (combined) 🚩

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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
@RotoStreetWolf I think Achane’s value has to go down. The environment is getting super gross. Boxes will be stacked. No WR to threaten deep. Fewer scoring opportunities. Volume, even pre-Waddle wasn’t gonna be an issue, but now efficiency & scoring definitely will be.
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Wolf of Roto Street
Wolf of Roto Street@RotoStreetWolf·
Jaylen Waddle to Broncos Fantasy Stock Watch Bo Nix📈 Jaylen Waddle📈 Courtland Sutton📉 Pat Bryant📉📉 Troy Franklin📉📉 Marvin Mims📉 Evan Engram📉📉 Malik Willis📉 De'Von Achane📈 Malik Washington📈📈 Greg Dulcich?! 📈📈😴 Who else?
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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
@RotoStreetWolf In fact, I think it could help him. Plenty of volume & lack of any other pass catching talent for Sutton & Waddle to co-exist. Team was 4th in pass attempts. Sutton has never been a volume guy, but having Waddle could actually increase his efficiency (less defensive attention).
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Rob
Rob@RobLorge·
@RotoStreetWolf Don’t think this hurts Sutton at all. In 2025, Denver had: - 349 targets - ⁠233 catches - ⁠2,453 yards - ⁠14 TDs From: - T, Franklin - ⁠M, Mims - ⁠P, Bryant - ⁠L, Humphrey - ⁠M, Bandy - ⁠T, Sherfield - ⁠E, Engram - ⁠A, Trautman - ⁠L, Kroll - ⁠N, Adkins
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