Rob Zuazua
201 posts







This chart is nuts. Software developer jobs down 70% from peak. People will blame the end of free money. But something way more interesting is happening. The middle class engineer is dying. And it's dying because they're not needed anymore. One good dev with Github Copilot ships what entire teams did five years ago. Microsoft just reported the highest revenue per employee in history. The "entry-level engineer" doesn't exist anymore. Instead, we have product builders who happen to code. Armed with AI, they ship entire products in days. Meanwhile, the truly elite engineers are making more money than ever. And they've shifted to working mostly on frontier tech. I mean the stuff that's really hard. AGI at OpenAI. Designing rockets at SpaceX. Self-driving car tech at Tesla. Product builders are becoming solopreneurs and creators Frontier engineers are making hedge fund money In 2025, "software engineer" doesn't mean what it meant in 2020. And that's what this chart really shows. The middle is gone. The top is elite status. And everyone else is becoming a builder.

It’s unpopular to say, but it’s true: You can’t vibe anything useful rn. You can barely vibe a working product. And there are still virtually zero examples of anything even moderately useful/successful that was vibed - especially considering how much money has been spent so far on LLM calls to try and do so. This won’t be true forever but is true today. As with other tech cycles, a trough of disillusionment may soon come as folks get frustrated and give up. In the meantime, trying a more team oriented approach to building may result in better outcomes. Our Software Factory was extracted from our work making useful software for large, demanding enterprises. It’s built for teams to be able to build production software together. Alpha users rolling through now. Beta in Sep and GA in October. 8090.ai/waitlist




Why are women becoming increasingly woke, and men increasingly conservative? I have some theories, but I'd like to hear what you think.






