

@levelsio
173.9K posts

@levelsio
📸https://t.co/lAyoqmSBRX $100K/m 🛰https://t.co/ZHSvI2wjyW $44K/m 🎮https://t.co/jFirUbDgtZ $39K/m 🏡https://t.co/1oqUgfD6CZ $35K/m 👙https://t.co/RyXpqGuFM3 + @X $14K/m 🌍https://t.co/UXK5AFqCaQ $10K/m 💾https://t.co/T74ZwJ1F0C $0/m





LIVE NOW - The $200 Billion Shadow Market Behind Anthropic's Stock | Dio Casares Anthropic's secondary market is tens of billions of dollars deep, stacked with SPVs on top of SPVs charging 10% fees plus carry, and almost entirely opaque. @diogenes of @patagon breaks down how it actually works: - which deals Anthropic blesses and which get cease-and-desists, - why fake share certificates show up in 10-20% of executed deals, - what tokenized equities and pre-IPO perps actually represent, - and the mess of lawsuits and stuck shares coming when Anthropic finally IPOs. Enjoy. -------------- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 0:40 What is Going on in Secondary Markets? 7:03 How Anthropic Secondary Markets Unfold 14:51 Anthropic’s Secondaries Social Elite 19:00 Emerging SPV Structure 21:51 Accidental Frauds? 27:04 After IPO Consequences 35:13 Private Market Lessons 38:21 Patagon Markets 43:54 Tokenized Perps 44:57 Closing Thoughts



i realized this year that there is infinite money and its not silly at all to think you can make as much money as you want and have fun doing it in your own way. $30,000/month used to make my stomach crawl with how unattainable it seemed but its not at all untainable.



There are very few true luxury experiences anymore. Most are just hyper-commoditized slop in an uncanny wrapper. Lounges, clubs, restaurants, hotels, travel. Its all one big racket. The only reason these exist is because the most insecure person you know still buys into the fake status these services conjure. Cheap and authentic is better than faux luxury.

You invested $100K via a 3-layer Anthropic SPV at $380B valuation. Third layer takes 15% management/set up fees and no carry Second layer takes 10/20 First layer takes 10/20 So your real investment is 100*0.85*0.9*0.9=$68.85K. Given nobody scammed anyone in the matryoshka An exit at $1.4T IPO gets you a MOIC of ~2.8x after dilution. That’s $192K on the first layer. The first layer takes 20% carry, you have $167K left The second layer takes 20% carry ($36.4k), you have $130.6k left So you have made a $30K return on a $100K investment in a year. So layered SPV investment got you a 68% Anthropic exposure. Buying Google stock gets you 14% and Amazon - 18%. AND a multiple on all the money Anthropic spends on compute (most of their money). AND exposure to a money-printing business with a strong AI component that rivals Anthropic. AND no scam risk. While the 32% lost in SPV fees just fund someone’s coke habit in Miami. Same $100K put in AMZN and GOOG over the same time period would also get you the 30% return. You’re welcome.



The only 2 places where I felt ambition like this are the US and China Nomad hubs like Bali and Thailand are nice but often people there get stuck coasting at $5K MRR because it's just cheaper to live there, so that puts kind of a natural limit on ambition, very quickly you already make "enough" SF/NYC are so ridiculously expensive to live, so you HAVE to make a lot of money, and the high cost of living is a natural filter that keeps only broke but super ambitious or already successful people (and of course nepo babies esp NYC) China is not so much expensive to live, but there's some natural cultural ambition to become #1 in everything that's very infectious



@levelsio USVC seems the right path to me



@levelsio I wish society can mature to the point everyone realizes taxation's unethical/theft, state's a gang of bureaucrooks & specially europeans have been funding their own extinction specially since Angela Merkel's debut that said, you should NOT🐂 do whatever is possible to avoid it



@levelsio Should not be that hard for companies to provide a pull function. Just that. So you can pull stuff after you've gotten a token from them. I don't see how that is negatively impacting anyone. If I hack your password for your login to download your invoices, that's the same thing.