Rohan Gupta

439 posts

Rohan Gupta

Rohan Gupta

@Rog_G63

Katılım Ağustos 2023
179 Takip Edilen93 Takipçiler
Just a Dude Who Invests
Just a Dude Who Invests@DudeWhoInvests·
Memory stocks like SanDisk $SNDK are getting pummeled overnight right now… Someone explain to me like I am a golden retriever why this is?? If they fall further the leveraged longs will get wiped causing them to fall more and the cycle will repeat.
Just a Dude Who Invests tweet media
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amit
amit@amitisinvesting·
@StockMKTNewz we are literally buying 2-3x of an already leveraged and volatile stock retail is just a different breed 💀
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amit
amit@amitisinvesting·
A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. $NVDA Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang joined President Trump’s China trip after receiving a last-minute invitation, increasing attention on the stalled H200 chip sales to China. Reuters reported that Trump called Huang after seeing reports that he had not been invited, and Huang later boarded Air Force One in Alaska. Nvidia hit an all time high today. 2. $NBIS Nebius reported Q1 revenue of $399M, ahead of the $388.6M estimate and up 684% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $129.5M, beating expectations of $90.5M, while ARR reached $1.92B, up 674% year-over-year and 54% quarter-over-quarter. For 2026, the company reaffirmed its target for year-end ARR of roughly $7B-$9B and raised its contracted power capacity outlook from more than 3GW to more than 4GW. 3. April PPI came in much hotter than expected, with headline producer prices rising 6% versus estimates of 4.9%. Core PPI also beat expectations, increasing 5.2% compared to the 4.3% forecast. This marks the highest producer inflation reading since March 2022. 4. Consumer credit stress is rising across major debt categories. In the U.S., 13.1% of credit card balances are now 90+ days delinquent, the highest level since 2011. Student loan delinquencies have climbed to 10.3%, the highest since 2020, while auto loan delinquencies reached 5.6%, the highest level on record. 5. Kevin Warsh has been confirmed as the 17th Chair of the Federal Reserve, taking over at a time when inflation is rising again, Americans remain frustrated with the economy, and the Fed’s independence is facing intense political pressure. The Senate confirmed Warsh to a four-year term on Wednesday in a 54-45 vote, with unanimous Republican support and only one Democratic vote in favor, from Pennsylvania Senator John Fetterman. 6. Bank of America raised its AI data center systems forecast to $1.7T by 2030, up from its prior estimate of $1.4T, implying a 45% compound annual growth rate. The firm now expects AI accelerators to represent roughly $1.2T of that market, with AI networking reaching $316B as custom chips like Google’s TPUs and Amazon’s Trainium continue to scale. 7. $F Ford shares moved higher after Morgan Stanley said the company may announce energy storage supply agreements with large commercial customers, potentially including hyperscalers, within the next few months. Morgan Stanley estimates Ford Energy could be worth around $10B. 8. $HOOD Robinhood released its April 2026 monthly metrics, showing continued growth across the platform. Funded customers rose to 27.6M, up 1.65M year-over-year, total platform assets increased 49% to $345B, and April net deposits reached $6.0B, implying a 29% annual growth rate. Trading activity also remained strong, with equity trading volume up 57% year-over-year to $249B, while the margin book more than doubled from $8.4B a year ago to $18.0B, showing customers are borrowing more to invest. Crypto was the weaker area, with volumes down 33% from March and Bitstamp volumes falling 46% month-over-month. 9. U.S. data center construction spending rose 34% year-over-year in March to a record annualized pace of $50B. Spending has now increased 437% since the start of 2021, when the annualized run rate was about $9B, and 688% since 2018, when it was roughly $6B. At the same time, office construction continues to weaken, falling 9% year-over-year to $46B, its lowest level since 2015. 10. $CSCO Cisco reported Q3 revenue of $15.8B, above estimates of $15.54B and up 12% year-over-year. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.06 versus estimates of $1.04, up 10% year-over-year. Product orders rose 35%, networking product orders were up more than 50%, data center switching orders increased more than 40%, and campus networking orders rose more than 25%. Cisco also raised its FY26 AI infrastructure order outlook to $9B from $5B and lifted expected AI infrastructure revenue to $4B from $3B. 11. U.S. leveraged ETF assets have climbed to a record $177B, up $45B since the March market bottom. Tech remains the dominant category, representing about 69% of total leveraged ETF AUM. Within that, technology-focused funds hold $65B, semiconductor funds hold $32B, and Magnificent 7 funds hold $25B, while S&P 500-linked leveraged ETFs account for another $24B. 12. Anduril raised $5B at a $60B valuation in the private markets. Anthropic raised $30B at a $900B valuation. The street now awaits Cerebras going public tomorrow, with estimates assuming a $40-$50B valuation and SpaceX this summer at $2T. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: US data center construction spending jumped +34% YoY in March, to a record $50 billion annualized rate. Spending on data centers is up +437% since the beginning of 2021, when the annualized rate stood at ~$9 billion. This is also up +688% since the start of 2018, when the annualized rate was just ~$6 billion. Meanwhile, office building construction spending fell -9% YoY in March, to $46 billion, the lowest since 2015. This means that spending on data centers now exceeds office building construction by $4 billion, or +9%. To put this into perspective, office construction spending exceeded data center spending by $65 billion, or +650%, in 2020. AI is fundamentally transforming the US economy.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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Rohan Gupta
Rohan Gupta@Rog_G63·
@KobeissiLetter You continue to believe the market is underestimating the outcome? Market hasn’t even opened for a trading day since the full list of who’s going got released
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: The White House has published a full list of business leaders who are joining President Trump on his trip to China: 1. Elon Musk, Tesla and SpaceX CEO 2. Tim Cook, Apple CEO 3. Larry Fink, BlackRock CEO 4. Stephen Schwarzman, Blackstone CEO 5. David Solomon, Goldman Sachs CEO 6. Jane Fraser, Citigroup CEO 7. Kelly Ortberg, Boeing CEO 8. Michael Miebach, Mastercard CEO 9. Ryan McInerney, Visa CEO 10. Larry Culp, GE CEO 11. Sanjay Mehrotra, Micron CEO 12. Cristiano Amon, Qualcomm CEO 13. Brian Sikes, Cargill CEO 14. Dina Powell McCormick, Meta Executive 15. Jacob Thaysen, Illumina CEO 16. Jim Anderson, Coherent CEO There may be additional CEOs who join the trip that are not yet named. We continue to believe the market is underestimating the potential outcomes of the US-China summit.
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Cole Grinde
Cole Grinde@GrindeOptions·
We drastically need to get the price of oil down. Above $100 and sustained is something we do not want.
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Shay Boloor
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay·
$ASTS is down over 12% because the market still struggles to value what the company is trying to build in the new space economy. They're trying to turn satellites into cell towers in space by letting normal phones connect directly to coverage without a dish, special hardware or new SIM card. Instead of selling directly to consumers, it sells satellite capacity to carriers meaning AST essentially provides the sky and carriers provide the customer relationship. The upside is a global coverage layer built on top of the existing mobile ecosystem.
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay

Full $ASTS video can be found here: @FuturumEquities/videos" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">youtube.com/@FuturumEquiti

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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
Futes:
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Cole Grinde
Cole Grinde@GrindeOptions·
Kobe is still better than LeBron James.
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amit
amit@amitisinvesting·
$RKLB ROCKETLAB PARTNERS WITH ANDURIL. I've invested in Rocketlab since early 2025, but I *just* invested in Anduril 2 weeks ago privately. I definitely paid a premium in the private markets but it seems inevitable that Anduril will be one of the largest defense companies on the planet and their diversity of partnerships, now with companies like Rocketlab, continues to reinforce that thesis. "The partnership brings together two defense industry leaders to advance one of the Department of War's most critical technology areas: scaled hypersonics that deliver Mach 5 and beyond capabilities for future defense missions." Rocketlab is one of the most exciting companies on Planet Earth. Incredible to see them & Anduril work together 🚀
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Rohan Gupta
Rohan Gupta@Rog_G63·
@Mr_Derivatives Will AMD acquire NVIDIA half-cash half-stock? My pet chimpanzee is asking me
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
Futes early: CNBC in turmoil
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amit
amit@amitisinvesting·
$MU
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Rohan Gupta
Rohan Gupta@Rog_G63·
@GrindeOptions It’s going to $400 this year sometime for sure, no doubt. $500 might be a stretch, unless the macro + sector performs well
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Cole Grinde
Cole Grinde@GrindeOptions·
How high is $AMD going? 🤔 Some say it’s $500 and others say it’s $1,500. One thing is for sure, the DEMAND is there.
Cole Grinde tweet media
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Nate Glass
Nate Glass@NateWGlass·
Interesting to see the hysteria over $HOOD earnings miss. I’m buying the dip, as usual. Here’s my take: Missed earnings is good. Retail had a rough quarter and so should $hood. They are aligned with their customers and the company does well when their customers do well. I invest in RobinHood because I believe they will be the go to brokerage for future generations, and that investing will become a more ubiquitous and crucial way of generating wealth. Was there anything in this earnings that suggested that wouldn’t be the case? No. Customers are demanding features like dividend trackers, international expansion, API and agentic trading. That’s great. The roadmap is clear. Most businesses are trying to figure out what “innovation” they can throw at users to drive growth. It’s much better when they tell you. The most important thing @vladtenev said in yesterday‘s earnings call is that they’re doing three more events this year. Can’t wait. Long $hood 🚀
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amit
amit@amitisinvesting·
$HOOD ROBINHOOD Q1 2026 EARNINGS: - Revenue $1.07B +15% YoY - EPS $0.38 +3% YoY - Adjusted EBITDA $534M +14% YoY - Total Platform Assets $307B +39% YoY - Robinhood Gold Subscribers 4.3M +36% YoY - ARPU $157 +8% YoY Overall, it was a strong quarter but fell short of expectations due to lower take rates across all assets. Trading volumes were strong and are improving in April, but the take rates lowered which led to a double miss. I think the broader story so far in earnings has been around expectations vs reality and specifically if a company can decisively beat those expectations. The chip names, memory names, energy names, datacenter names are absolutely putting up beats of 50-100%, which was something Robinhood did last year. Without those types of beats, which fintech and software haven't been able to give, it's just much harder for the street to rotate into those positions. $HOOD -9%
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Rohan Gupta
Rohan Gupta@Rog_G63·
@Mr_Derivatives And FOMC. Even if market has diarrhea after FOMC, hopefully these companies crush and we rally like crazy on Thursday
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
I’m gonna cry for MAMA tomorrow. Cause we got earnings in: Microsoft Amazon Meta Alphabet Like, who decided who it was a good thing to bunch $12 trillion dollars worth of market capitalization into a 30 minute window?!
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
Futes: Gween again.
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amit
amit@amitisinvesting·
alright $IREN time to announce the Anthropic deal
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
🚨 Just in today. Tom Lee who accurately called for ATH’s this month, reiterates we will see 7,300 on the $SPX in the near term then we might see a 15-20% drawdown after, before a Q4 rally back to ATH’s at 7,700 to close the year. So timeline looks something like this: 7,300 (Q2) ➡️ 5,840-6,205 (Q3) ➡️ 7,700 (Q4)
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