Royce Webb

Ranks in defensive xRAPM (among eligible) Wemby, #1 Gobert, #2 Holmgren, #3 Ausar, #5 White, #6 Wallace, #9 Bam, #11 Daniels, #13 Barnes, #14 OG, #17 x.com/ShamsCharania/…

Excited about wingspan? I took a deep dive into historical data to determine which combine stats actually help predicting NBA impact. Plus, which prospects helped and hurt their stock the most with their test results roycewebb.com/p/nba-combine-…

Here are percentile ranks in combine test results for players of the 2026 NBA draft class (compared to all drafted players since 2010) Michigan's Morez Johnson ranks in the 74th percentile, or better, across the board 👀 docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d… x.com/JerryEngelmann…

Blocks and Fouls aren't the end-all-be-all when it comes to projecting NBA impact from NCAA stats. But shouldn't we be worried about Dybantsa's defensive intensity? (red: prospects from 2010-2025, blue: 2026 prospects) x.com/JerryEngelmann…

NBA Draft Combine: Which tests & measurements *actually* mean something? New article from @JerryEngelmann:

That lottery put some NBA teams in a weird spot. @JerryEngelmann puts together 3 trades that match up teams and draft prospects a whole lot better — including a swap of the top 2 picks. open.substack.com/pub/5x5basketb…

That lottery put some NBA teams in a weird spot. @JerryEngelmann puts together 3 trades that match up teams and draft prospects a whole lot better — including a swap of the top 2 picks. open.substack.com/pub/5x5basketb…

Is the Utah<->AJ Dybantsa connection strong enough for the Jazz to try trading up? How much should it take for Washington to give up the #1 pick? Why the Nets have to trade down, and why a Bulls - Grizzlies swap could be a win-win roycewebb.com/p/predicting-3…

AJ Dybantsa might go No. 1 in the NBA draft … but should he? @JerryEngelmann reveals the stats and tendencies that make Dybantsa the highest-risk prospect at the top of the draft. open.substack.com/pub/5x5basketb…

Bust or Boom? History hasn't been kind to prospects with AJ Dybantsa's statistical profile. Why Dybantsa is the riskiest pick in this NBA Draft’s Top 3 roycewebb.com/p/aj-dybantsa-…

Boozer over Dybantsa and Peterson? 3 Michigan bigs in the lottery? Ament in the second round? And where should all the tiny PGs go? My 2026 NBA Draft Big Board roycewebb.com/p/my-2026-nba-…

@JerryEngelmann sees Dybantsa as a big risk. The *lack* of fouls committed, the lack of non-scoring category stats - tend to suggest more downside than people see. He says 60+% bust chance. Whoo, that's high for me, though I agree with real risk. roycewebb.com/p/aj-dybantsa-…

Warning: AJ Dybantsa scores in the 99th percentile for one of the most *damaging* predictors for NBA success. @JerryEngelmann reveals what makes Dybantsa the riskiest pick in this NBA draft's top 3. open.substack.com/pub/5x5basketb…

.@JerryEngelmann presents his first-round NBA draft board, based on video and advanced stats: Top 30 NBA Prospects, Ranked open.substack.com/pub/5x5basketb…

Part 6 of our (free) analytics series: How to build an NBA box-score metric roycewebb.com/p/how-to-build…