Ryan Bohl

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷President Trump asked for several amendments to the deal his envoys reached with their Iranian counterparts during a Situation Room meeting on Friday, according to a senior U.S. official & second source familiar. @MarcACaputo and I write for @axios axios.com/2026/05/31/tru…

@Sid15533078 @Kathleen_Tyson_ He does not want to occupy Gulf Arab territory.

@Ryan_Bohl @Kathleen_Tyson_ Trump does not want money?

It wouldn’t surprise me if US invaded and occupied the Oman side of the Strait of Hormuz for control of maritime passage from Musandam Peninsula. UAE could block any Omani military reinforcements from engaging with US occupation forces to retake the remote peninsula. It would be just like Trump to set up a company in UAE to ‘share’ revenues collected by Iran for ‘providing security and safe passage’!

The U.S. F-15E Strike Eagle shot down over southwestern Iran in April was likely struck by a Chinese-made shoulder-launched missile, three people familiar with the matter said. — NBC News

Hourly Hezbollah rocket and drone attacks targeting northern Israel.

Three global crises are hitting America's food supply. War has disrupted sulfur producers. China is hoarding exports. Farmers face the highest fertilizer costs in decades. Less fertilizer this spring. Lower yields this fall. Less food this winter. Read more in RealClearMarkets.

Oman detects suspected naval mine in Hormuz Strait Maritime Security Center calls on 'all seafarers, fishermen, and vessels to exercise utmost caution while navigating' #oott aa.com.tr/en/middle-east…

Maybe they won't even formally extend the ceasefire. Just let everything linger in limbo with no one wanting to return to full-scale war.

"The blockade is very much still in place," @SecWar Hegseth says of Iran

An Iranian ballistic missile strike on a Kuwaiti air base within the past 24 hours caused minor injuries to several Americans and seriously damaged two MQ-9 Reaper strike drones bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Iran signals it is sticking to its original position in nuclear talks, with no major concessions expected, continuing to reject key US demands, including handing over highly enriched uranium stockpiles and changes to its core nuclear policy - NYT

Negotiations may pause, but not end, the 47-year U.S.-Iran conflict. A zero-trust, zero-sum confrontation where neither side can afford a deal the other might accept. Trump needs a resolution; Iran is committed to its revolution. My @TheAtlantic essay. theatlantic.com/international/…

Qatar opposes permanent legal fees for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, but a temporary toll is negotiable and could help restore normal passage through the key waterway, a top official said bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Report: Iran missile debris injures Americans, damages US drones at Kuwait base Follow the latest on i24NEWS 👇 i24news.tv/en/news/middle…

That is, in fact, how not reaching a deal to lift the blockade works.

@shraddhs I certainly don't think they lack agency; but their risk appetite is something else, and imperils their economic model, which is their core imperative.

Whether you agree with UAE’s morality or not - have to give them high marks on statecraft. They converted what seemed like a war that would finish them to check mate - responding in their own way showing military strength, furthering their economic interests (OPEC, US swap lines), forming new alliances (Turkey & South Korea is a notable example) all the while maintaining domestic cohesion & actually increasing patriotism in a country that has never had it. They are an Israeli colony, they are driven by US - to me now seems very biased and lazy analysis.

The UAE hitting Iran early and hard in the war both is and is not surprising -- it is not because the UAE has prepared for this war for decades. But the unilateralism of it, against Saudi protests, against even domestic opinion by doing so alongside Israel, is remarkable.

Iran says that the U.S. has not lifted its blockade as of Saturday morning. In a Truth Social post on Friday, President Donald Trump said the US would lift the naval blockade.

@ryan_landay There is not. Majlis Bedouin politics still takes into account public opinion, even if Westerners can't see it.

@Ryan_Bohl > against even domestic opinion There seems to be some confusion about how their government is structured

@JoumannaTV Congrats Joumanna! Well deserved!

🎀 Personal news: today was my last day at work before maternity leave While we almost got an Iran breakthrough on my last day (!) as Ferro pointed out - it certainly does appear as though some form of a framework deal is imminent. I will be watching of course from afar. Broadcasting daily from Dubai from Asian shows to New York, we have sought to bring you the latest on the news, analysis and context from the region over the last 3+months since the war broke out. There have been some dark moments (“end of civilization” post comes to mind) and challenges (home schooling while home broadcasting!) but throughout it all, I am very proud to have worked with our tireless team of journalists covering all aspects of this war: from energy to geopolitics to shipping to finance & economics. Thanks to everyone who has engaged and tuned in. I will be back on your screens at the end of the year to pick up the conversations. Until then, I am going to have my hands full in a different way. 🩷 إلى اللقاء (Last photo at Bloomberg London office and for some reason that is JPY pricing behind me, sadly not Brent!)

Trump's Oman outburst throws 'Switzerland of the Middle East' into the spotlight @CNBC cnbc.com/2026/05/29/oma…