SCS Probing Initiative

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SCS Probing Initiative

SCS Probing Initiative

@SCS_PI

Dedicate to the transparency & development of the #SouthChinaSea, providing data & analysis, helping all parties mitigate competition and promote cooperation.

Katılım Mart 2019
481 Takip Edilen25.3K Takipçiler
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Haitao Bian
Haitao Bian@bian_haitao·
Encouraging to see restraint and dialogue still on the table at the Boao South China Sea forum. Unilateral moves help no one. I hope the talk turns into real cooperation before tensions get worse. chinadaily.com.cn/a/202603/29/WS…
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#Statistics: In March 2026, 120 sorties of US military land-based reconnaissance aircraft were spotted over the #SouthChinaSea according to ADS-B data, significantly increasing compared with the number in the last month. Cases: USN P-8As operated on Mar. 10 and 11.
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SCS Probing Initiative
SCS Probing Initiative@SCS_PI·
AMTI may be overthinking this matter. The location of Antelope Reef, central-southern part of the Paracel Islands and within the baseline of the territorial sea, dictates that it holds little military value for China, which is quite different from the features of the Spratly Islands. Rational speculation suggests that land reclamation here is more geared towards serving the civil affairs of Sansha City and regional public goods including navigation. amti.csis.org/antelope-reef-…
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In March 2026, a total of 17585 Vietnamese fishing vessels with 233099 tracking points were recorded by the AIS in the whole #SouthChinaSea,significantly increasing compared with 15333 in last month. BTW, many ships did not operate AIS all the time.
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This is the most important reason why cooperation between China and the Philippines has been delayed in many projects. Instead of complaining about the sincerity of China's investment and aid, it is better for the Philippine government to improve its domestic investment environment.
The Philippine Star@PhilippineStar

Corruption continues to be a major hindrance to trade and investments in the Philippines, according to the United States Trade Representative (USTR). “Corruption is a pervasive and longstanding problem in both the private and public sector in the Philippines,” the USTR said in the 2026 National Trade Estimate (NTE) report released on March 31, 2026. tinyurl.com/ydrde3wb

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Apart from frequently referring to UNCLOS and the South China Sea arbitration case, the Philippine military has no understanding of international law or freedom of navigation.Please provide specific reasons why Chinese warships and government vessels cannot operate in these waters. gmanetwork.com/news/topstorie… via @gmanews
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USS George H.W. Bush is departing Norfolk and may head toward the Middle East with its CSG members USS Mason, USS Donald Cook and USS Ross.
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SCS Comment
SCS Comment@SCSHuayang·
This policy only exposes how ignorant and ahistorical the Philippine government is on the history of the South China Sea. Perhaps the Philippine ought to take a history lesson about the Chinese fishermen's Sailing Route Logs? Here's a free online historical class of the Chinese people's fishing and trading activities in the South China Sea: en.huayangexhibition.com Geng Lu Bu (更路簿, The Sailing Route Logs), is a collection of handwritten booklets compiled by Chinese fishermen over the course of several centuries as they voyaged to the South China Sea islands for fishing, transport, and other activities. These booklets recorded maritime routes in the South China Sea, the names of islands and reefs, ocean currents, and other navigational knowledge. In Shichuan Gengliu Bu (驶船更流簿, p2-4), the sea routes are recorded in individual entries, written vertically in neat small regular script with a brush. Each entry records the compass bearing and the number of “geng” between two locations. p1: a visualized map based on the Geng Lu Bu. p2-4: original text excerpt from Shichuan Gengliu Bu, a type of Geng Lu Bu.
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Inquirer@inquirerdotnet

President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. has ordered all of the more than 100 features in the Kalayaan Island Group (KIG) in the West Philippine Sea to bear local names in government documents and official maps of the country. Under Executive Order (EO) No. 111 issued on March 26, President Marcos ordered the adoption of the standard set of Philippine names for the 131 features of the KIG, which is part of the Kalayaan municipality in Palawan province. EO 111 directs the National Mapping and Resource Information Authority (Namria) to produce and publish updated charts and maps that reflect the local names. | @dexcabalzaINQ /PDI READ MORE: inqnews.net/LocalNamesKala…

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Bloomberg
Bloomberg@business·
China has exported cargoes of diesel and other fuels to energy-starved countries across Southeast Asia over the weekend, in what appears to be a signal of support despite export curbs imposed earlier this month bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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The Philippines makes claims on #Scarborough shoal that neither the Spanish nor American colonists had ever made.
ChineseEmbassyManila@Chinaembmanila

Deputy Spokesperson of the Chinese Embassy Guo Wei: Mr. Jay Tarriela claims that the 1875 Carta General is one of the most complete and detailed official Spanish maps that clearly depicts philippine territories including Nansha Qundao (Spratly islands) and Huangyan Dao (Scarborough Shoal). He also claims that this map strengthens the historical basis for the Philippine position over these features. HE IS WRONG. First, the 1875 “Carta General del Archipiélago Filipino” is merely a geographical map of the Philippine archipelago. It contains no markings indicating sovereignty and therefore cannot substantiate claims that Huangyan Dao and the Nansha Qundao belong to the Philippines. Second, in the 1928 Island of Palmas Case, the United States presented a 1902 reproduction of this map by the U.S. War Department as evidence in an attempt to claim the island for the Philippines. However, the arbitrator, Max Huber—former President of the Permanent Court of International Justice—explicitly rejected the map on the grounds that it contained “no indication of political boundary.” Third, Panacot ≠ Huangyan Dao (Scarborough Shoal). Panacot refers to Marsingola, located between Galit and Lumbay. In the 1794 map drawn by Robert Laurie and James Whittle, Panacot is clearly identified as Marsingola, while the actual Huangyan Dao lies to the west of Panacot. This suggests that equating the two is based on a misreading of historical sources. Apparently, Mr. Tarriela has uncritically repeated the false narrative that “Panacot = Huangyan Dao” without even examining the original sources. At a time when both sides have agreed to pursue dialogue, distorting history and dismissing established legal reasoning serves no constructive purpose. It changes nothing on the ground. It only calls into question whether those doing so are truly invested in diplomacy, or simply determined to keep tensions alive.

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Stars and Stripes
Stars and Stripes@starsandstripes·
U.S. drone speedboats capable of surveillance and military strikes are patrolling Middle East waters as part of Operation Epic Fury, according to a news agency report. Read more at: stripes.com/branches/navy/…
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On March 29, China's Southern Theater Command organized naval and air forces to conduct combat readiness patrols in the territorial waters and airspace of #Scarborough Shoal,as well as the surrounding areas.
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A video released by China's Southern Theater Command corrects two points of information on recent CN-PH encounter: 1. The encounter took place near Subi Reef, not Thitu Island; 2. It was the Philippine vessel that unusually approached the Chinese vessel, rather than the other way around.
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China Military Bugle
China Military Bugle@ChinaMilBugle·
We sternly urge the Philippine side to strictly control operations of its maritime and air troops, immediately cease all provocative and risky acts, as well as its smear campaigns and propaganda, stated Senior Captain Zhai Shichen, spokesperson for the Chinese PLA Southern Theater Command, on Friday. On March 25, Chinese PLA naval ship 532 was conducting a routine patrol in the waters under China’s jurisdiction near Zhubi Jiao of China’s Nansha Qundao. Upon detecting a Philippine Navy ship, PLANS 532 initiated radio communications to remind the Philippine ship. Ignoring repeated radio reminders from the Chinese side, the Philippine ship 507,  navigating on the port side of PLANS 532, adjusted its course to the starboard side before making a deliberate turn to the same direction, dangerously approaching PLANS 532 and disrupting its navigation. PLANS 532 then took professional and standardized moves, successfully avoiding an accident. The operation of the Philippine Navy ship was unsafe and unprofessional, which could have easily led to a maritime accident. Worse still, the Philippine side made a false accusation, claiming that the Chinese ship made a “dangerous approach”. The troops of the Southern Theater Command remain on high alert at all times and will resolutely defend China’s territorial sovereignty, security, and peace and stability in the South China Sea, stressed the spokesperson.
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SCS Probing Initiative@SCS_PI·
USS Comstock (LSD-45), member of the #Boxer amphibious ready group, is just approaching Hawaii. At this rate, the #Boxer ARG will take at least 20 more days to reach the Middle East.
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