Star Spangled Gamblers

10 days before the Texas Republican Senate primary Still no endorsement yet from President Trump for either Cornyn or Paxton.

#YyX45hj" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/event/india-st… @Polymarket

"I'll say this about Pakistan. It's obviously a much smaller country than India, and it has about one-seventh the population of India. But it's not willing to let the matter go. It can decide tomorrow that it wants to have a normal relationship with India. It'll settle the border. The de facto border will become the official de jour international border. It'll have normal diplomatic relations. It'll have normal economic relations. But I think it's very much wedded to this idea that it was founded as this nation-state for the Muslims of South Asia, and it won't be complete until it gets Kashmir, even though that's highly unlikely. What does it do? It has this doctrine called the Bleed India with a Thousand Cuts Doctrine. It's this military geostrategic doctrine it has pursued for over 50 years. The idea is just to slowly weaken, slowly harass India with asymmetric attacks, terrorist attacks, shelling. It knows it can't win a conventional war. But it hopes to just constantly weaken India, drains its energy, keep it from fully focusing on economic growth, keep it from focusing on China, which is obviously a bigger threat for India. In that sense, it just hopes to draw energy away from India." — @AkhiPill

The first case of Hantavirus just got confirmed in the US Its happening

The clash of titans. Featuring @Domahhhh & @polyint

Here is the final part of my series of my recent trip to India. akhipill.substack.com/p/hyderabad-an…

Now from bizzaro world, tune in Sunday to see me on @60Minutes discussing prediction markets, insider trading, and the @CFTC

There are now 7 prediction market appeals pending in the Ninth Circuit: - Kalshi v. NV (PI dissolution) - Kalshi v. NV (remand) - Robinhood v. NV (PI denial) - Crypto v. NV (PI denial) - CA Tribes v. Kalshi (PI denial) - Kalshi v. AZ (PI denial) - WA v. Kalshi (remand)

This by-election taking place on Royal Ascot Thursday is perhaps the worst news of my natural life so far but you may also see me reporting in tops and tails so who knows if it’s bad or not

Marc Andressen on his "barbell strategy" for reading habits. - real-time news on X or books older than 50 years. - He ignores newspapers and magazines. - He finds practitioner-led newsletters to be a superior, underrated resource.

NEW: Trump discourages Taiwan from going “independent” — says he’s “not looking to travel 9,500 miles to fight a war.”

The China visit was really disappointing. Even now I feel like I missed something. But the reality is that nothing of substance happened. No big deal on tariffs. No progress on the Iran war. Nothing. It's quite strange as usually these summits are organized to showcase success.

A @shayne_coplan mention on a Drake album was not on my bingo card. Insane motion.

I agree! We economists are lucky to have Nicholas Decker @captgouda24, especially since so few us (myself included!) take so little time to communicate outside the ivory tower.

Great to join @BenKentish on @LBC last night to discuss the markets after an extraordinary day. Support for Burnham in the next PM market, but he’s got a big battle in Makersfield first - expect more market moves soon!

Semafor: AOC is taking her time ahead of 2028 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is familiar with her every move getting analyzed for possible clues to her future. Her approach to this election year, however, sends a clear signal: She’s genuinely unsure what’s next. The 36-year-old New York Democratic socialist is being choosy in which candidates she campaigns for, a shift from past uses of her star power that’s less likely to cause intraparty friction than some other potential presidential hopefuls. She’s also broaching 2028 with palpable caution when asked in public. semafor.com/article/05/14/…

NOTUS: The Former Republican Senator Who Wants the GOP to Turn on Trump In a new book, Lamar Alexander (R-TN) hopes to chart a post-Trump world for his party. notus.org/analysis/lamar…

PredictionJobs job board has 100+ listings. Vast majority in NYC for Kalshi/Poly/Novig, but a dozen in London and one from SIG in Philly.