SJP
10.4K posts

SJP
@STEVETA00544440
love coffee,cycling.keep fit, work in care,x firefighter, small time investor, keen treasure hunter/bottle digger.















OIL - Everyone now knows the Strait of Hormuz, but there's also Bab el-Mandeb. It links the Red Sea to the Indian Ocean. Saudi Arabia's entire Red Sea export route runs through it. Houthi escalation now sharply raises risks. Saudi is ramping up Yanbu exports to ~4–5 million bpd on the Red Sea — and that's now in range of Houthi missiles and drones. The Houthi’s don't even need to close it though. Just maintaining the threat worked in 2023 as Red Sea traffic collapsed, insurance spiked, vessels disappeared. Avoiding Bab el-Mandeb would mean rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope and adding major extra transport costs and transit times. Much higher oil prices are coming if this isn't resolved fast




