STRFKRtx

@pham_alam There are human civilizations on this planet that don’t know they are being observed. If there is life that can achieve interstellar travel, it could easily observe us without us knowing.

Even if interstellar travel were impossible (it's not), that wouldn't explain the lack of visible technologically advanced alien civilizations in space. Hell even if space colonization in general never works anywhere, that's *still* not enough to explain the great silence.

@Docquistador wow can you send me a link great work

Just got my slide milled. Window cuts have me feeling pretty high speed. Can’t wait to run this bad boy on the range.

@GreyforgeLabs @Chrisgpt Isn’t it just semantics though? We are arguing over what thinking and discovery mean. Maybe the thinking isn’t on par with a human brain in some ways it’s surpasses it in others. I think you are right either way - I would argue it already is

In some senses, he is right - for now. It appears these new internal models they're working with are much better at creativity and thinking up new solutions and ideas on their own. It isn't long now until his assertions will be demonstrably and unequivocably wrong. Another month, probably.

I’m so sick of Luddites talking about LLMs like they have any serious understanding of what is happening. Riddle me this, what search engine constructs a new infinite family in discrete geometry and refutes Erdős’s unit distance conjecture. How do these people still exist

@Nicky_Bonez @jimstewartson yes and I am saying that a LLM is also much more than just database. There is clearly much more to the context of how to retrieve info and how concepts can be connected. This is thinking in my opinion. How does this relate and what does that mean for other relations.

@STRFKRtx @jimstewartson Nope. You are the one saying that. Brains have a database, of course, because you can use that word to refer to any store of knowledge. But they have more than just a database.

I’m getting tired of “experts” like this misunderstanding what they’re looking at. LLMs are giant databases of stuff HUMAN BEINGS have done. They are the EXHAUST of humanity. Prompts are database queries into EXISTING DATA. It’s a fuzzy search engine, not intelligence.

@jimstewartson @mathelirium Your brain is just neural connections not magic.

@STRFKRtx @mathelirium I don’t fucking need to look anything up. All of that is baked into the weights. It’s math, not magic.

@milan_elm @jimstewartson How does a human do forward thinking? You think through outcomes in sequence and build out scenarios. Isn’t this pattern matching of existing data? The only difference is AI doesn’t have the grounding of the human experience.

@jimstewartson @mathelirium Look up salience and attention mechanisms.

@mathelirium No. You can literally query LLMs. They are literally a database. You are talking out of your ass. youtu.be/8Ppw8254nLI?si…

@rationalaussie In this world you describe it would be agents building and selling agents to agents. Robotics and manufacturing scaling is not a 2-3 year horizon.

@rationalaussie Help me to understand your thoughts here: 1. We can retool everything while scaling compute without severe political and resource constraints 2. Every business model must completely change you cannot just slap AGI into a human role. 3. Who is consuming product? B2B dies, B2C?

Many people ask the question 'what field should I retrain into after AI takes my job'? The question makes no sense. If you believe in AGI, the AGI will do that job too. All the economists get this very basic proposition wrong. They will launch into all sorts of complex sounding arguments to make themselves sound smart but it's actually very simple: The increase in demand for existing/new jobs will be outweighed by the increase in supply of AGI capable of doing those jobs. Yeah, sure, some humans will do some percentage of those jobs. A very small percentage. And the rest will go to AGI. Because no rational economic actor is going to employ a human that is extraordinarily expensive, slow and bad at their job compared to an AGI. The exceptions to this argument are in professions where the human element of the job is what gives it a premium to the consumer who is paying. This is a sliver of all jobs. Not everyone is going to retrain as a retreat leader, therapist, entertainer, etc. It makes no sense. And besides, the people unemployed will not have enough money to spend on those industries to boost demand enough to create enough jobs in those sectors. Even if you somehow, magically, believe it will ('Jevon's Paradox') you still have to explain how that all happens within the timespan of a few years. It is totally illogical. I have been thinking deeply about AI for over a decade. I've read basically all the AI researchers views on this, and I've read the other side - the economists who think it's all rubbish, Jevon's Paradox, yada yada yada. Not a single one of these people can articulate a future where the majority of humans remain employed. And you might quip 'well yeah RA, no one can predict the future. The Industrial Revolution also changed jobs - more jobs were created.' It's a terribly dumb and lazy argument. The Industrial Revolution happened over decades. And it was still a revolution. We are talking about a compressed period of an intelligence explosion that is going to happen over the next 3 years. All knowledge workers become dumber, slower and more costly than just using capital to get an AGI to achieve your goal. And the incentives drive every single participant in the economy, on both the demand and supply side, to use AI. Consumers use it because it's better, faster, cheaper. Producers use it for the same reason - and because the increased in AI-generated demand forces them to supply an AI-generated solution just to keep up with the workload. Just stop and think about that for a moment. You are kidding yourself if you think a 4-5% unemployment rate is what that world looks like. In the limit, the number of humans employed post-AGI looks like the number of humans currently unemployed today. 95% unemployment. All your models are destroyed. The future looks nothing like the past.

@Jsenoxai looks amazing damn I’m jealous

My gf said this is equivalent to Indian street food. 😱😭

@NoahKingJr Pee

TELL ME SOMETHING YOU CAN DO THAT CLAUDE CANNOT

@ZeusSarkcess @Breaking911 Justice is a win

@Breaking911 A 7 year-old lost her life. He’s been sentenced to death. Nothing about this feels like a win. It’s simply the legal consequence of a horrific act.

BREAKING: Tanner Horner, the FedEx driver who kidnapped and murdered 7-year-old Athena Strand in Texas, has been sentenced to death.

@TheeDarkCircle If I had bear hands of course I could

6% Americans believe they can defeat a bear barehanded

@DivinelyDesined RNA self replicates. RNA codes protein. This doesn’t prove anything. Why can’t people just believe the we can discover gods plan and how he made it come to be, instead of that it instantly poofed into existence?

Proof Life was Created. DNA Replication requires 9 complex nano-machines working together. Without them, DNA can't replicate. If DNA can't replicate, Life can't evolve.

@PatrickHayslip True but long term? I love his game but how long does he got?

Anyone that says the Stars need to get rid of Tyler Seguin or his money did not watch the Dallas Stars this season

@DallasStarsDDH I like going downtown, but why is Plano worse than Arlington? Just the corporate vibe?

Lauren Przybyl - “Hearing from 3 reliable sources that the Stars will soon announce that the team will build a new stadium at “The Shops at Willow Bend” in Plano” #TexasHockey

@roninburntorng @DallasStarsDDH It’s a boring suburb. so you lose all the downtown vibe and cool restaurants big skyscrapers etc. On that note the cowboys and rangers play in Arlington which is also….boring and not downtown. People are worried it kills the vibe

@DallasStarsDDH How bad is it? This isn’t a parody, right? I’m not from the U.S., I genuinely don’t understand.

@MarkPLevy @oldwaver Carolina

@oldwaver Who am I supposed to root for now? Vegas? Buffalo? Pittsburgh?

welp, the obviously better team won. sucked to not have Roope, but doubt it makes a difference. thanks for your service, Jamie. need to get younger, faster and grimier. I like Gully and our core. let’s do it again next season. good luck against the Avs, you turds.

@moosetanen We need speed and physical presence. Being a tactical set piece driven team loses to speed and bruisers every year

dallas stars postseason to dos: - let jamie retire gracefully - put mikko rantanen in those dog hydrotherapy chambers until he recovers - sign robo 12 x 8 - trade for a top six winger - we give up our draft picks to offload lybushkin - shoot myers to the moon - get a good rhd