ST_PYI
10K posts

ST_PYI
@ST_PYI
Trend Follower. Investor. Teacher. Proud Indian. Student of Market, William O’Neil, Stan Weinstein and Peter Lynch.
Katılım Mart 2012
61 Takip Edilen75.1K Takipçiler

@Beyond_Gudness At Human Level - Critical thinking, Communication, Ability to make decisions when data is thin, Emotional intelligence and Leadership.
AI Proficiency - Prompt Eng & AI Workflow design, Data Literacy, Domain specific AI expertise.
English

So many stocks have rallied 50-100% since March last week.
Yet you see so many Influencers asking Indians to invest abroad.
Focus on our stocks. Massive opportunities in the broader market.
Especially in the Newly listed space.
Have repeated this point so many times in Videos when correction was going on.
You’ll never understand any other market as well as you understand Indian markets.
Believe in yourself. Believe in your ability to understand simple businesses you use on day to day basis.
English

@pankajmishra_kr @TradeSensei07 Everyone’s body is different.. hire a good trainer for a month, learn the exercises and get it validated through a physiotherapist to avoid injuries…
Then, commit for life.
English

None of the World leaders have the spine to stand up, unite and call BS of the U.S.
If Worlds leaders unite, this entire hegimony of the U.S. would collapse.
Yes consequences would be felt. But at least a new world order will emerge.
But all are cowards. Hypocrites. Including ours.
Bitter pill to swallow. But it is how it is …
English

Any leader who calls Munir and Shahbaz extraordinary men cannot be in the right state of mind.
Feel sad for the U.S.
Once a Beacon of democracy has now turned itself into a laughing stock.
Keep your money here. Invest in cos you understand.
Don’t underestimate your common sense in understanding some local businesses.
Yes, returns will take time.
English

Market notes. Will do Video update next week.
1. Crude above $100 is not just psychological — even 1 quarter of sustained elevated prices can compress earnings globally and trigger multi-sector impact.
2. Energy is the root variable right now. Higher crude → higher input cost ↑ lower margins ↓ lower demand ↓ earnings compression → market correction.
3. Breadth remains extremely weak: Only 20–22% stocks above 200 DMA
4. Median correction across broader markets 35–40% already —but history shows this alone does NOT define a bottom.
5. Market structure remains LH LL: Until this changes, rallies are sell-on-rise, not trend reversal.
6. Geopolitics is driving volatility — not fundamentals.
Markets are reacting to tweets, statements, and narrative shifts, not data.
7. Clear signs of short-term manipulation / information asymmetry —massive moves triggered within minutes on unverified news flows. Crude / Gold / Silver.
8. Currency weakness adds another layer: Foreign investors face instant mark-to-market losses, reducing inflows. Why would they return ?
9. Intermarket signal to track: Crude ↑ Equities ↓. Bond yields 30 Y near 5–6% equals Policy pressure builds on Trump.
10. Lesson from 2008 — Hope is Dangerous. In 2008, markets gave "hope rallies" multiple times before Lehman. Each one broke investors back. COVID was a vertical crash + V recovery. 2008 left psychological scars that lasted years. Know the difference. Wait for definitive signs before calling a bottom.
11. Don't wait for good news to start researching. Identify sectors you understand. Mark your pivots. When the market turns, it moves FAST — and most investors are left standing on the platform. Research today, Be prepared for tomorrow.
12. India VIX was at 20 recently. A spike to 27-38 (another 15-20% up in VIX) is entirely possible. Higher VIX = higher volatility = more shakeouts ahead.
13. Hope for the best. Plan for the worst. Use TIME and VOLATILITY as allies, not enemies. Avoid big F&O bets in a falling market. Cut 50% if trade goes 2-3% against you. Survive first, then thrive.
14. Bottom line: Crude, breadth, bond yields & VIX are your 4 real-time dashboards. Trust these instead of News flow.
15. Crude tells you about War. Breadth about Market internals. Yields about U.S. Administrations tolerance of Pain and VIX about fear.
Focus on long-term allocations / ETFs. Wait for structure shift (HH-HL) before getting aggressive in Position sizing.
Not everything is weak — pockets of strength exist. Therefore, gradual accumulation is more sensible as a strategy for the time being.
English





