Scroll&Troll

@_HenryBolton Given that peace talks failed and Trump is not going to just walk away, Trump should announce that he intends to retake the strait of hormouz and if any Iranian rockets or mines hit US ships, he will both blowup power plants and much much more, maybe ground invasion

With the Islamabad peace talks having broken down, as I predicted and for the reasons I predicted, the US now has a huge and twofold problem. It is this… The White House can go to the huge expense of bombing the country “back to the Stone Age”, but no amount of military firepower will change geography. Iran will still sit on the shores of the Strait of Hormuz. Furthermore, the present Iranian regime has made very clear that it will not abandon its nuclear ambitions. This entire conflict could have been approached differently, but we’re are now where we are, and there appear to be only four options for President Trump: 1) Invade to seize control of the Iranian coast and its islands in the Strait- This is a high risk option that would not guarantee safety of shipping, would be extremely expensive in blood and $, would be very difficult operationally and politically to sustain, and has no clear exit. It also doesn’t address Iran’s nuclear ambition. 2) Simply keep bludgeoning the country until a benign replacement regime emerges - A benign regime as an outcome is far from guaranteed. A succession of hardliners may appear instead. Then, if and when a cooperative regime emerges, and given the state the country will likely then be in, its ability to unite and stabilise the country cannot now be predicted with certainty. Reconstruction costs will escalate significantly. 3) Fund, arm and encourage an uprising of sorts - think Afghan Northern Alliance - This will difficult - not impossible - to create, be subject to significant infighting, be expensive, almost certainly lead to huge Iranian casualties and abuses, may not succeed, and will anyway most likely take a great deal of time. 4) Walk away - But this would leave in place a regime that is even more extreme, militarised, anti-American, determined to pursue a nuclear weapons programme and to weaponise the Strait of Hormuz than before. That looks very much like defeat. It’s also worth saying that I see very little chance of a third party being successful in mediating or sorting this out now. So the rest of the world must prepare to ride out the geopolitical and economic storm, whilst perhaps the UK & Europeans, together with regional allies, prepare to exploit any diplomatic opportunity that may arise (unlikely as the right leadership is absent). In the meantime China and Russia carry on doing what they’re doing while everyone else is now has to worrying about and using up bandwidth in the Middle East.

@NajamAli2020 I think the next thing we need to hear more about is the 2 US ships that went through the Strait. Is this the beginning of retaking the Strait or is it just nothing. Even if retaking the strait and clearing mines is a difficult task it seems preferable to ground invasion

The deal is blocked by a single reality: the U.S. has to accept that the pre-war position is gone and cannot be restored. The sooner this sinks in, the better it is for the U.S.

@akarlin So now Trump has to do something new. He can’t just keep doing what he was doing, he has to show bigger consequences. Destroy power plant? Who knows. Perhaps get the gulf states to join him in either the missile attacks or retake the strait or Kharg or ground invasion

The problem is that Iran's demands are absurdly maximalist: * Permanent Hormuz tolls * Reparations * Unblock frozen assets * No restrictions on uranium enrichment * Ceasefire includes Lebanon It's what you would only reasonably demand after a crushing military victory!

@KobeissiLetter The Cleveland Fed is forecasting 3.6 inflation for April. It is possible that Trump knows he’s going to get wiped out in the midterms but as long as inflation “only” rises 1-2% because of oil he can keep pushing harder because there’s no financial collapse or recession

America is waking up to some major news. Peace talks between the US and Iran have failed and both sides have returned home. As a result, Iran is refusing to reopen the Strait of Hormuz without a permanent peace agreement and the US has called it "bad news" for Iran. Now, we await President Trump's response. If the path forward is continued war, escalation, and a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, then the Iran War has just entered a new era. US CPI inflation just jumped from 2.4% to 3.3% and further escalation of the Iran War would lead to 4.0%+ inflation, according to our models. Meanwhile, Iran's Speaker of the Parliament just announced that the US "failed to gain Iran's trust" during negotiations. There are currently no plans for additional talks, according to Iranian media. So, will Trump choose to push harder for diplomacy or double down on military action? Today, we find out.

@PerseusLeGrand More of this

L’administration Trump vient de dévoiler les plans d’un imposant Arc de triomphe à Washington. Qu’en pensez-vous ?

@thejbullmarket @ThomBrady5 The 7 million Saudi east west pipeline was doing 0 prior to the conflict? I’ve been wondering that

The myth of the Strait of Hormuz closure. 80% (16.25M bpd) of the 20M barrels per day supply of the Strait of Hormuz has already been replaced or been rerouted. 🇸🇦 7M: Saudi Reroute 📈 4.25M: Pre-War Surplus 🇨🇳 2M: China Safe-Passage 🇦🇪 1.5M: UAE ADCOP reroute 🇮🇷 1M: Iran Jask Bypass 🇮🇳 400k: India Safe-Passage Deficit? Only 3.8M bpd and even just 2 more tankers per day would reduce the deficit to 0. With 1.3B and 500 millions barrels in combined reserves for China & India respectively, they have a 3-4 month reserves before they run into a deficit. This is why stocks are back at nearly ATH again. Opening the Strait of Hormuz has now merely turned into an afterthought.

@GenevieveV61735 @Gdams70 @Arcom_fr Muslims believe you are Kafir. They believe you are less than them, you are unworthy. They believe we are “the worst of creatures” and they are always encouraged to side with a Muslim against a non Muslim. But yes let’s hear you complain about “racial hatred”

@Gdams70 C'est scandaleux qu'on laisse un canal à CNEWS qui profère la haine raciale ! Allo @Arcom_fr quand intervenez-vous ?

« Quand l’Islam devient majoritaire, les autres se font écraser. C’est pas une opinion, c’est une vérité absolue observable dans TOUT le monde. Dans les années 80 on nous bourrait le crâne avec “Touche pas à mon pote”. Aujourd’hui on voit le résultat : quartiers perdus, insécurité, intolérance et charia rampante. Le réveil est violent, mais la vérité est là : l’Islam n’est PAS compatible avec notre mode de vie. Pascal Praud a simplement osé le dire. » #Islamisation #GrandRemplacement #TouchePasAMonPays #France #Gdams70

@TheRealJamieKay Why do British people need diversity in Britain? Is there something wrong with British people in Britain

More unbelievable diversity from Restore.

@bonchieredstate @varadmehta lol weekend markets not liking this get ready for Sunday night

Trump signaled earlier that these talks were going to fail, and I think it was expected at this point. Yeah, he wants a deal. But he doesn’t want to be embarrassed, and giving in would be an embarrassment. Feels like box-checking before escalating again. We gave them a chance.

@CultureExploreX You are wrong. He rode a shield like a skateboard down the stairs at helms deep while shooting his bow and arrow I saw it with my own eyes you are crazy

Who is the least important member of the Fellowship? Legolas. Even Tolkien said he probably achieved least of the Nine Walkers, and when you look closely, it fits. Legolas was brave and useful, but he made few key decisions and shaped the story far less than Gandalf, Aragorn, Frodo, Sam, or even the hobbits. He mattered, but if one member had the smallest impact on the fate of Middle-earth, Legolas is the clearest choice. Civilizations are not carried by the most elegant figure in the room, but by those who bear burden, make hard choices, and carry duty to the end.

@DeltaForce1488 Start having a lot more babies. Trump will not be president for ever. There are millions of third worlders waiting on the other side of a democrat election win

Whitepill: The Hispanic TFR dropped from 1.93 2024 to 1.86 in 2025 (-0.07) and the White TFR slightly increased from 1.53 to 1.54 (+0.01). If this trend continues (on average) every year of the Trump administration by 2028 Hispanics will have a TFR of 1.66 and Whites at 1.57

@OurOwnNation You are doing a good job at raising awareness. There are many people who I believe would at least have another 1 or 2 if they realized the demographic collapse we are undergoing and that the declining birth rates are what the elites use to justify mass immigration (for pensions)

@ScrollTroll2023 wasnt an excuse and i agree with your point, i am personally trying to do everything i can to have a large family and made every life choice possible around that central premise

White people are not having enough kids but neither is every other group in the world. America reached a record low total fertility rate at 1.57 Every single racial group has a birth rate below replacement Never in history has a group of gone below the replacement rate across the society and then been able to recover White people are the only group in America that have an increasing birth rate in the last decade We went from 1.41 back up to 1.53 and in some places like the American south it’s close to 1.83 The fertility rate of Non Hispanic White Americans is higher than that of Mexico, the UK, Sri Lanka, Australia, Tunisia, Colombia, & Brazil The Hispanic TFR dropped from 1.93 in 2024 to 1.86 in 2025 (-0.07), and the White TFR slightly increased from 1.53 to 1.54 (+0.01). If this trend continues (on average) every year of the Trump administration by 2028 Hispanics will have a TFR of 1.66 and Whites at 1.57 In 2025, having the largest U.S. race (191 million in size) with slightly increasing fertility rates above 1.5 is pretty significant.

@morganishe44255 @OurOwnNation We have 4 and we will have at least 1 more. I Would love more than that. I come from a family of 8, my wife comes from a family of 6 so 4 is nothing

@OurOwnNation @ScrollTroll2023 How many children do you have and how many do you plan to have?

@TheGloriousLion Last time they reported in January it was 675k arrest and deportations 2.2 million self deportations He’s dramatically reduced legal immigration and refugee, asylum seekers successfully ended TPS and sent home thousands and hundreds of thousands more armed tied up in court

Genuine question: Have measures (i.e. mass deportations) been taken in the US since Trump took power to reverse the situation?

@avidseries @BlkoJa On the leftist hierarchy and the calculus of rape vs race, race reigns supreme

The reason that rape rates in Germany have been increasing over the past decade or two has very little to do with native-born ethnically-German men.

@WhitePapersPol Partly yes, but New England has a significant white Catholic population that voted left wing

This sudden Protestant-Catholic dialectic is little more than a cover for the actual issue: mass immigration & demographic change. White Catholics & White Protestants both vote conservatively. Catholics with post-Hart-Celler immigrant background vote progressively. (Not calling out William Wolfe here, he's a great guy. Just using his post as a jumping off point).

@amjadt25 If this is how you feel, why aren’t you firing rockets at Iran? Why aren’t you securing the strait? Why aren’t you invading Iran?

As long as the UAE is not in Islamabad, JD Vance and the Islamic regime in Iran will fail in Pakistan. The UAE does not, and will not, accept the Islamic regime in Iran controlling access to the Strait of Hormuz, nor possessing nuclear weapons, ballistic missiles, drones, or any capabilities that threaten regional security. This regime must issue a formal apology to the UAE for its aggression, acknowledge its actions, provide full compensation for any harm caused to individuals and institutions, and guarantee non-repetition. Otherwise, what comes next will be devastating for this terrorist regime.

@DamienRieu @StephenM They need to go after illegal bank accounts and employers of illegals. That would change everything. Take their money and tell them you can have it back when you’re back in your home country

🇺🇸 Aux États-Unis, la police de l’immigration ICE a changé de stratégie pour éviter les polémiques en passant des descentes anti-clandestins spectaculaires à la pression administrative. @StephenM garde le cap.

@WallStreetMav And any time there is talk of budget cuts or pension reform the Jacobins take to the streets

France barely has an economy. The national and local government spending is over 57% of the economy. France is near Greece levels of financial chaos. However France is nearly 10x larger than Greece. France is too big for Germany to bailout.