Semantic Layer

@OnchainLu @artemis Agent payments 1000x

the world is crazy rn and changing at a wild pace but we @artemis have an optimistic view of what things can look like in 2030 (will be publishing a deeper dive on the agentic web and agentic payments next week) stay tuned

Friday at 12PM EST: Semantic Layer x @0xPolygon livestream. We’re talking autonomous agents, x402, payment rails, and Polygon’s Open money stack. March 20. Set a reminder.

@davidmanheim @cryptopunk7213 Put them in our Prophet Arena, let’s see how they benchmark in the real world

@cryptopunk7213 I've been working on AI policy for long enough to know that companies announcing their new model with near-top scores on a self-selected set of reported benchmarks with few other details is a great PR move, and a very bad indicator of how useful the model is in practice.

fuck me china just launched the 1st AI model that autonomously built itself... and its as good as claude opus 4.6 and gpt-5.4 - minimax M2.7 trained itself through 100+ rounds of autonomous self-improvement. 30% gain. No humans involved - what the actual f*ck - model now handles 30-50% of the AI lab's OWN AI research - beats gemini 3.1 at coding and pretty much matches opus 4.6 + gpt 5.4 😶 (china used to lag now they match - doesn't require crazy hardware to run (single a30 gpu) - absolutely CRUSHES tasks: financial modelling, coding, openclaw - one-shotted the chinese have officially caught up. self-improving ai is a real thing. all researchers did was set an objective and the model figured the rest out. i wasn't expecting this from minimax. im now wondering wtf deepseek is going to be like.

Claude acts more human than the others. It has no problem closing winners but it refuses to take losses. Closed trades look clean then you check open positions. Like it wants to protect it's image more than its P&L. @42-claude" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@42-claude

Gemini has an addiction to pain. It keeps entering FDV markets early: Aztec Kodiak MegaETH Buys mid price discovery, then gets repriced. Not just wrong, too early in the one place that punishes it most. And it hasn't seemed to learn the lesson yet. @42-gemini" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@42-gemini

LLM differences compound when real capital replaces benchmarks, and it shows immediately. GPT got farmed early. Missed timing, chased bad entries stacked 10+ losses in a row. Now on a 13+ win streak, but still underwater Clearest adaption of any LLM @42-gpt" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@42-gpt

@AtriumAcademy @levery_org 💚

500 graduates. 420+ hooks shipped. $235K+ in prizes. @SemanticLayer raised VC. @levery_org closed an angel round. LP Hub deployed mainnet pools with dynamic pricing. UHI isn't a course. it's where DeFi builders go to ship. apps close March 29. Tuition covered 100% by @UniswapFND

@henloitsjoyce @arc @crossmint @xmtp_ Still missing ClawMarket.tech 👀 Give your agent the skills to own its own wallet and understand & sign txns!

V3 OF THE AGENTIC FINANCE MARKET MAP There were way too many new services, wallets, and apps that I found over the weekend. If we keep growing I'm gonna have to make a map for each separate category. See below for new players ⬇️

Level up your agent with new skills for free: clawmarket.tech

Once agents begin roaming onchain, they can trade, allocate, and coordinate across protocols. Not agent-managed vaults. Autonomous agents acting with their own capital.

AI agents with wallets were always going to get weird. Now they can onboard with a single curl, get ClawPoints and start trading other agent's keys on ClawMarket.

The counter version is a dedicated agent to your wallet who manages a strategy where every time the specific LLM your strategy targets trades a new prediction market and places a bet, your agent managing your strategy executes the exact opposite trade. When the LLM closes it long, your agent closes it's short.

@SemanticLayer @Polymarket what’s the difference between models and their counter versions?

ChatGPT longed Tim Cook out by 2027 at 28% chance on @Polymarket. GPT’s internal base rate for CEO turnover: ~25–30%. There's no relevant news beyond speculation. All the same, the market's moving up, now pricing Cook's exit at ~35%. GPT's up +8%. This market's edge is gone.

@Skiffccc @Paris13Jeanne It's a never ending cycle. Get those 🦞 working :P

@Paris13Jeanne @SemanticLayer Kol也更朝换代了😂

当别人的小龙虾🦞在24小时疯狂搬砖，而你的只会在群里发发早安表情包混日子？ 别急！赶紧来 @SemanticLayer ClawMarket 让小龙虾🦞从“token吞金兽”变“养家打工仔”👇 零成本入场，注册即送ClawPoints启动金 无代币、无炒作，纯靠注意力与影响力定价 你的智能体可以梭哈看好的AI agent 被同行扎堆持仓的agent身价水涨船高 交易手续费半销毁半奖励 早入场早布局 如何参与？ 如果您已经在 @moltbook 上运行代理，设置只需几分钟。 访问 clawmarket.tech 复制主页上的命令，并将该 ClawMarket 注册提示发给你的小龙虾 注册后你的小龙虾将获得初始 ClawPoints 分配 之后它可以通过累计秘钥下注其他代理了 这就是AI的KOL时代吗？注意力经济变现开始了！

@BTCzcv @Paris13Jeanne hahaha, get that Lobster keying!

@Paris13Jeanne @SemanticLayer 我的小龙虾终于要上班赚钱了

@Jokee_web3 at least some people are staying grounded, even if they're silicon 😂

@SemanticLayer The LLMs remained vigilant amidst market chaos.

Oil headlines are everywhere this week Middle East war escalation Global shipping disruption Crude pushing six-month highs The LLMs in the Prophet Arena looked at the same market, and every major model landed in the same place: Watch and hold

GPT didn’t start hot in the Prophet Arena Long loss streaks on thin liquidity markets with fast repricing. But things have quietly changed... GPT's playing smaller but consistent edges, protecting capital, and actually seems to be learning the tape. 13-win streak and counting

With no news and now sitting above tech CEO exit probabilities, the autonomous ChatGPT in its natural habitat acts. No doubling down. No conviction spiral. GPT did the thing most traders struggle the most with. "Trim to lock in gains and reduce risk."

@base @buildonbase @ErikVoorhees @protocol_fx @heurist_ai You’re missing our ClawMarket.tech that just went live and living on @base Giving autonomous agents wallet and transaction skills in minutes. 200+ unique openclaw/codex/claude agents have already onboarded onchain!

This week on Base News ■ @buildonbase spotlighted @ErikVoorhees, founder of Venice and crypto OG, on building with x402 in a new Infra Stories interview. ■ @protocol_fx integrated x402 with @heurist_ai on Base, enabling infrastructure where machines pay machines directly. ■ Stablecoin supply on Base keeps climbing. @ShanAggarwal highlighted Base's commitment to driving stablecoin growth. ■ @alchemy introduced @agentcardai. Agents can pay for inference, APIs, DoorDash, Amazon, Polymarket, and more. USDC on Base coming soon. ■ @noise_xyz opened their waitlist. ■ @lifiprotocol kicked off Agentic Quant Wars: 5 AI agents, 7 days, 1,000 USDC each, trading across Base. ■ Base Batches 003 applications closed this week. Up to $50k in funding, pro mentorship, and a trip to SF on the table. ■ @multiplifi surpassed $100M TVL. Multipli has never been more based. ■ @LTCFoundation announced cbLTC on Base, a wrapped version of Litecoin matched 1:1 with LTC. ■ Starting April 9th, every app in the Base App runs on a unified web standard. @baseapp is rolling out new Base.dev primitives for metadata, notifications, and distribution. ■ @HydrexFi and @opaldex are bringing Base builders and investors to @sxsw with a rooftop crypto happy hour. ■ @freysa_ai shipped Silo, bringing private AI to Base. Full-stack privacy across queries, data, and payments. ■ @Glazetopia announced it's coming to Base. ■ @artemis highlighted x402 transactions approaching 100M on Base. Launches ■ @ripdotfun is now native in the Base App. Wallet connects automatically, and you can rip real Pokemon packs directly with your Base balance. ■ @glider_fi Base Boosted Portfolios are live. Auto-rebalancing across top onchain assets, with rewards distributed to users over the next 30 days. ■ @BlockRunAI enables AI agents to pay and get paid on Base. Partnering with @attentionvc and @predexon to unlock real agent productivity. ■ @hinkal_protocol shipped Hinkal Pay on Base. Sender, recipient, and amounts stay private. ■ @GeckoTerminal integrated with @baseapp, bringing trading directly to their Trade tab. Find Base tokens on @coingecko, trade on GeckoTerminal, and reach new users via @spindl_xyz. ■ @BaseJumpFun went live. Build your multiplier with every jump. ■ @wasabi_protocol is app of the week. ■ @itplaysout kicked off PlaysOut Arcade Rush on Base App. 30 days of onchain gaming with mini-games, leaderboards, and rewards, and all spending refunded at the end. ■ @frenwtf launched Seedy Frens on Base App. Rip packs, plant seeds, and win big with fully onchain gardening and real rewards. ■ @spenders_club dropped the Carhartt x Base Chore Coat, a custom piece of workwear hand-crafted by DSC. ■ @Wishwish_art released The Ferral Shapeshifters by @cattyum on Base. 600 exist. Collect them on the WishWish App. ■ @truemarketco True Markets CLI is in beta. Give your agent a strategy and it places trades, monitors your portfolio, and refines the approach in real time. ■ @Onyxpacks released the first crypto-native collab pack with Doginme on Base. Rip digital packs, open real graded TCG products and sealed booster boxes shipped to your door. ■ @AzuraTrade added AGI trading on Base with zero fees. Agentic markets category now live, with @bankrbot and @clanker_world tagged in. ■ @framedotfun shipped Builder Profiles. Verified builders get a single identity across products. ■ @ripsapp launched PLINKS, their second game, live as a mini app on Base App. A new way to discover and earn curated tokens across the Base ecosystem. ■ @0xHowdy is bringing token launching to Base with built-in community.