
Serge Motrin
58 posts













Kosmos Energy - $KOS (monthly) One of my favourites oil/gas play Let's check potential share valuation at $150 oil (not taking into account their gas revenue) Shares Outstanding: 481 M Current Market Cap: 481 M × $2.90 ≈ $1.39 B Net Debt: ~$3 B EV ≈ $4.39 B $150 oil Production: 65k boe/day (~2.37 M boe/year) Revenue = 2.37 M boe × $150 ≈ $355.5 M Costs: $25/boe → $59 M/year EBITDA ≈ $296.5 M I'm gonna use the same implied EV/EBITDA multiple from current market pricing: - Current EBITDA at $100 oil (no gas) ≈ $178 M - Current EV ≈ $4.39 B Implied current EV/EBITDA multiple ≈ 4.39 B / 178 M ≈ 24.6× (this reflects market optimism) At $150 oil → EBITDA ≈ $296.5 M EV = 296.5 × 24.6 ≈ $7.29 B Equity = EV – Net Debt ≈ $7.29 B – $3 B ≈ $4.29 B 💡$4.29 B ÷ 481 M shares ≈ $8.92/share


















