Shaun Collins

@peter_tulip @missneighbour @Emilie_Dye @SydneyYIMBY The podcast hosts were pretty hostile, are they property speculators?

.@missneighbour and @Emilie_Dye from @SydneyYIMBY on theelephantintheroom podcast. Many questions were silly. "But this might reduce prices! Why don't you show some sympathy for the speculators?" And "if you compromised, the NIMBYs would agree"🤣 theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/429

@Trader_tom_ @peter_tulip @ajamesbragg LOL #utopia

@peter_tulip @ajamesbragg phase 2 a) 0% tax on AI companies b) brains and high salaries come to Australia c) productivity 10x or 100x d) cull the government by 90% (replace with AI) e) cut taxes f) keep migration very low/highly skilled g) everyone rich and happy

.@ajamesbragg, the Federal Opposition Housing spokesman, spoke at the CIS today. I asked: "Do you want home prices to fall?" Bragg: "I think for first home buyers, the answer is yes." 1/2

@SydneyYIMBY surely we need more affordable homes that what will be sold there

We did it fam!

@Sider_AI Why is your website ALWAYS down?

🚨 The AI arms race just entered a new phase. Grok 4's launch wasn't just another model release—xAI just dropped benchmark numbers that are crushing the competition. As the team behind Sider AI, we're breaking down the technical leap and why it matters. Thread 🧵

@MurrayWatt And.....what's the % being built and what's the average time for completion?

We’ve just approved a new solar farm in Qld and the approval took just 17 days. We’re getting on with the job of helping Australia become a renewable energy superpower.

@mumbletwits He;s not really saying about young and old, its about viewpoints boomers vs millenials. Hence he's saying once boomers die, more progressive views will dominate,

I'm afraid Redbridge is mostly responsible for this widespread belief that once boomers die out everyone will be young and there'll be no old people anymore ....

@Sider_AI @jitendrajain is the website down? Message is coming up 'the site can't be reached'

@jitendrajain Already have it! x.com/Sider_AI/statu…

@Sider_AI When will u bring GPt Image generation!

@KosSamaras @JakeMarcusW not really about whether you scolded him or not, its about PK's judgement

@JakeMarcusW I scolded his view on that. Worth noting.

The true character of a political movement isn’t revealed under pressure, it’s revealed when things are going well. I have seen this movie far too many times. That’s when you see who they really are. Like quietly dumping performing Muslim and a Jewish ministers from Cabinet.

@rachelrwithers @Kyptastic1 Not really esp kooyong, the part that went from Higgins to Kooyong, was the least favourable to labor in the 2022 election.

@Kyptastic1 Those redistributions were theoretically meant to help the teals in Vic tallyroom.com.au/55766

Swing to the teal indies in Sydney and Perth (though only just for Spender), but away from them in Melbourne. What are the theories? Melb teals too left on IR, their main policy difference? Rich Melbournians less concerned about climate than rich Sydneysiders? Weaker campaigns?

@hammerofleft I think you should call it 'The Party that will always lose elections'

We need a new national conservative party comprised of Liberal, National, One Nation, TOP, libertarian and all the others. It would need to hold traditional conservative values and place Australians first in all policies. If it was to come about which of these names do you like, or have you got another suggestion? Australian Heartland Party - Emphasizes traditional values and rural roots. Liberty Alliance - Highlights freedom and individual rights. Sovereign Australia Party - Focuses on national pride and independence. True Blue Conservatives - Nods to Australian slang and steadfast conservatism. Heritage Australia Party - Reflects a commitment to preserving cultural and historical values.

@GrayConnolly LMAO

Labor running dead in Curtin to help Kate Chaney is politics. However, the Labor candidate in Curtin was an impressive doctor & former registrar from a migrant background-a formidable candidate...his campaign destroyed to help a Chaney family daughter! Epitomises the Teal culture

@BrentHodgson I'm sure she's a nice person, but i don't get why they would think constituents would give 2 f's about her opinion.

It’s sad to see the party has lost so many in its lurch to the hard right – but it’s wonderful to see that people now have better choices to vote for.

@kevinbonham so newspoll in 2022 had labor at 53-47, yet at the end they only got 77 seats

James Campbell again ludicrously in the tank for Labor not winning outright suggesting this poll would be "a small chance [Albanese] could govern in his own right." If Labor wins 53-47 they will probably increase their majority (my model has +4 seats median)

#Redbridge final national poll ALP 34 L-NP 34 Green 12 ON 8 others 12 2PP 53-47 to ALP (My last-election estimate for these primaries as published is similar, 53.2)

@KosSamaras how many seats would that equate to?

New poll shows Dutton’s Coalition crashing under two key issues heraldsun.com.au/news/national/…

Our latest nationwide poll: Labor leads 53 (ALP) v 47 (LNP) 2PP. Key takeaways: One in five Millennial and Gen Z voters have switched their vote during the campaign - not just between major parties, but across the full political spectrum. We tested for any difference between historical preference flows and respondent-reported flows. There was none. Donald Trump and Labor’s campaign were the top two issues that have impacted Australian’s voting behaviour. Full data report via the link in this thread.

@KosSamaras @ShaunRatcliff Nick is the David Speers of podcasts...not in a good way🫤

Our latest Curtin pod is out. We had a big pre-election discussion, and @shaunratcliff joined us to add a bit more data spice to the discussion. We spent some time unpacking how the Coalition managed to shrink its own electoral coalition mid-campaign and the big takeaway is this: not all of that lost support has flowed to right-wing minor parties. The leakage is broader and more complex. It really puts into perspective just how off the mark some of the theories are about One Nation rescuing the Coalition in key seats. The reality on the ground is far more complex and less convenient. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cur…

@BrentHodgson @Jansant Does it come down to donations or volunteers?

@Jansant The campaigns I’m watching most closely include the incumbents (of course) plus: Flinders Bradfield Wannon Cowper Calare - big, complex Monash - big, complex Fisher - strong campaign Dickson - potential IND to win from 3rd Casey - low LIB primary Fairfax - recent crossbench seat

Visiting the Peninsula today, there’s an unmistakable pettiness in the Liberal campaign. The Indie candidate rents an office? … So the Liberal puts up a sign out the front. 🙄 They’re flustered. All signs show Ben Smith (IND) *can* win. But it’ll come down to volunteers… 1/2

@aaronsmith Has the misogyny gotten worse this election for Monique Ryan and Zoe Goldstein, it looks like it. It also looks like they're going those women, the same way they went after Dan Andrews, so not quite sure if it's women hate or just lefty hate

In 2022, Jane Hume trying to throw mud at Independents raged about "trust fund babies" with "hereditary privileges" trying to "subvert democracy". The irony writes itself. #auspol

@aaronsmith they did that in Parramatta also...

Is it an odd campaign strategy to send 50–60 in Liberal t-shirts, some who look barely 14, yelling their way up and down the high street? If feels like that moment in the last campaign when Josh deployed walking human billboards.

@lynnesmith267 @Peter_Fitz out of curiosity how come you don't say the Rinehart backed liberal party?

@Peter_Fitz Monash is interesting and worth a look. Libs disendorsed sitting MP Russell Broadbent for impressive young woman Mary Aldred (the late Ken Alfred's daughter) and now Broadbent is running as independent. Holmes a Court is purportedly backing independent Deb Leonard.

Are those seats held by Nats?

@ShaunRatcliff hangon it makes no sense... kooyong goes to the libs but with a higher primary vote to the indies, and a lower primary vote to the libs?? @ShaunRatcliff do you do a sense check?

@ShaunRatcliff wow Kooyong, interesting?! Even after all the issues surrounding the liberal candidate?!

The Coalition parties were predicted to be winning between 56 and 69 seats, giving them a 4% chance of winning the largest seat share in parliament.