Shaun
211 posts


GALIBAF AND ARAGHCHI'S VISIT TO DOHA MAY BE THE FINAL SPRINT TO RESOLVING THE DISPUTE WITH WASHINGTON, SPECIFICALLY REGARDING THE FROZEN IRANIAN ASSETS (THE AMOUNT, METHOD OF PAYMENT, AND TIMING OF PAYMENT). IF THE VISIT SUCCEEDS, IT IS LIKELY THAT AN AGREEMENT WILL BE ANNOUNCED WITHIN A MAXIMUM TIMEFRAME OF TOMORROW, AND THIS IS PLAUSIBLE; OTHERWISE, WE MAY RETURN TO SQUARE ONE.
English

@Keir_Starmer @GordonBrown @Keir_Starmer make it make sense. You should be trying to move forward, this decision indicates the opposite.
English

Today I’m pleased to appoint @GordonBrown as my Special Envoy on Global Finance and Cooperation.
As Britain’s longest-serving Chancellor, Gordon is well placed to work with our international allies to build a stronger Britain and boost our country’s security and resilience.

English

@MattWallace888 stop talking shit @MattWallace888 it's getting boring.
English

@Keir_Starmer I think you should pick better battles Keir and voice your opinion on matters that actually matter.
English

@smokelessworld @SmokelessWord @BorisJohnson For the angry people in the comments.. The real question is, why did you listen to this individual, or this government. Did they have any prior experience dealing with a 'crisis' like this.. no? It was the blind leading the blind. You only have yourself to blame.
English

New episode of The @SmokelessWord is live.
@BorisJohnson on leadership, liberty, and the cost of locking down a country.
From the Napoleon of Notting Hill to No. 10 - what does it take to lead through crisis?
Listen now.
English

@TorayKortan the positive is that the every day Joe Bloggs doesn't view you as a madman anymore
English

JUST IN: The Strait of Hormuz is open. It has been open every day since February 28. The IRGC never closed it. What the IRGC did is convert 21 miles of international waterway into a permissioned gate with a toll booth, a vetting process, and a guest list. Traffic has collapsed 70 to 80 percent. But the handful of tankers that transit each day do so with IRGC clearance, paid in yuan or USDT, at $2 million to $4 million per vessel.
The process is now documented. A tanker operator contacts an IRGC-linked intermediary. The operator submits vessel ownership, flag state, cargo manifest, destination, crew list, and AIS transponder data. The IRGC runs background checks: no US-linked ownership, no Israeli cargo, no flagging to aggressor states. If approved, a toll is negotiated. Payment is executed in cash, Chinese yuan, or USDT on the Tron network. The IRGC issues VHF radio clearance with a specific time window and route through Iranian territorial waters near Larak Island, where IRGC Navy performs visual confirmation. The vessel transits. No physical escort is provided. The “protection” is the removal of the interdiction threat. You are safe because the entity that would attack you has decided not to.
China passes. India passes. Pakistan, Turkey, Malaysia, Iraq, Bangladesh pass. Shadow fleet operators aligned with Russia pass. Not all pay the full toll. Some receive exemptions through government-to-government arrangements. Some pay reduced rates. Some pay nothing because the geopolitical alignment is payment enough. The system is not a blockade. It is a membership club with a cover charge denominated in currencies that are not the US dollar.
And here is what nobody is covering. Lloyd’s of London and the international insurance market have withdrawn standard hull and machinery coverage for Hormuz transits. War-risk policies now carry premiums of up to 5 percent of vessel value, $5 million for a $100 million tanker, per voyage. But the actuarial models that price those premiums now incorporate IRGC vetting status as a risk-reduction variable. If a vessel can prove it has paid the toll and received VHF clearance, the probability of loss drops from above 20 percent to below 5 percent. The same models that price hurricane risk and earthquake exposure are now pricing IRGC compliance as a safety factor.
The insurance industry has done something no government intended: it has formalised IRGC authority over the strait in actuarial mathematics. A tanker that pays the toll is insurable. A tanker that does not is stranded. Dozens of vessels sit outside the strait right now, unable to transit because no underwriter will cover them. The insurance withdrawal is not a market reaction. It is a structural enforcement mechanism that makes IRGC permission the prerequisite for commercial shipping.
Every toll paid in yuan is a barrel that settled outside the dollar system. Every USDT transaction on Tron is a 3-second settlement bypassing SWIFT and sanctions. Iran’s parliament is drafting legislation to formalise the toll as “security compensation.” If that bill passes, ad-hoc extortion becomes sovereign law, and the precedent for chokepoint monetisation enters the international legal framework.
Gold watches from the side. Spot prices muted at $5,000 to $5,400 by dollar strength and rising yields, while central banks in China, Russia, and India quietly accumulate on every dip. The short-term safe-haven has not fired. The long-term de-dollarization trade is loading.
The strait is open. The molecules move. But only for those who pay the toll, in the currency the toll booth accepts, after the vetting the toll booth requires. The rest wait. The clocks tick. Saturday arrives.
open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
English

@mattmiller1973 How you are able to commentate on the Teflon Don with a straight face, I'll never know. Cracks me up. We are def living in a simulation.
English

@elonmusk @DannyLimanseta whose / who's.. it's irrelevant at this stage
English

@elonmusk @DannyLimanseta Are we not the simulation? Whose watching us?
English

I had dinner once with a top physicist and a top computer scientist and asked what they thought the probability was that we were in a simulation.
They answered simultaneously at 0% and 100% respectively. It was like a double-slit experiment, but with humans.
Interstellar@InterstellarUAP
🚨 Simulation Theory: The Double Slit Experiment proves particles act like waves until observed then they snap into particles. What if our reality only "renders" when we're looking, just like a video game optimizing resources? Check out this episode from The Why Files breaking it down, tying it to Simulation Theory. Are we in a sim? This could be the key to unlocking the true nature of existence! The Why Files video did a great job on explaining the Double Slit Experiment & Simulation Theory What do YOU think—real or rendered? Drop your thoughts below!
English

@MDXcrypto Share with me the trust deeds of the properties to confirm whether is it true ?
If you own the properties, I will buy
English

@Ghafoot4 @MDXcrypto I think the only thing getting a haircut will be the price.
English

@BillClinton But Bill, you are a testified liar. You merely appearing in court, after previously committing perjury and being impeached undermines the whole court system. Do better America.
English













