ShawSiew

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ShawSiew

ShawSiew

@ShawSiew

Based in Hong Kong 🇭🇰 | Unique Global Insights & Forecasts 🌐 Sharing perspectives to help you navigate the future 🚨

Hong-Kong Katılım Nisan 2026
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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
Hello,everyone,I'm ShawSiew,I just wanna remind more and more people here: Starting in 2026, the global economic bubble is going to burst,and it will be far more brutal than 2008. The world economy is heading toward an unprecedented depression. We will see skyrocketing bankruptcies, massive business closures, and a surge in homelessness. The entire system is facing a catastrophic collapse. I am here to warn, awaken, and hopefully save as many people as possible. For your own sake and your family's: stay vigilant. Prepare yourselves now before the system completely breaks down, so you can weather the coming global economic winter,go above and beyond to max out your protection. #EconomicCollapse #MarketCrash #FinancialCrisis #GreatReset #WealthBuilding #WealthProtection #EconomicWarning #PrepareForCrash #2026Crash #Economy2026 #FinancialFreedom2026 #EconomicReset #Economy #Finance #Investing #Recession
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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
Hi, people, I saw Mario’s post blowing up about China’s humanoid robot factories churning out one every 30 minutes and hitting 10k+ units a year from multiple local companies. The numbers look insane on paper, and the videos are slick. But I’ve been living right here in China for years, deep in the tech scene, and I’m telling you straight , this is classic hype machine in full swing. Don’t get me wrong, the hardware side is real. Chinese factories can scale bodies, motors, and frames like they’re printing phones or EVs. But the actual robots? They’re still mostly garbage in any practical sense. I’ve watched the demos, visited the showcases, and talked to people who’ve bought or tested them. What you see online is either heavily remote controlled backstage, pre programmed for one tiny repetitive task in a perfect lab, or straight up edited. Put them in a real factory floor, a messy warehouse, or anywhere unpredictable and they glitch, fall over, freeze, or need a team of engineers babysitting them 24/7. The “autonomous” claims are basically science fiction right now. Companies trot these things out for government photo-ops, investor days, and viral clips because it pumps the narrative, jacks up valuations, and pulls in fresh funding rounds. It’s not about solving real problems ,it’s about raising money and making the stock pop. We’ve seen this exact playbook before in other Chinese tech sectors: flood the market with volume, generate buzz, chase the headlines, and hope the money keeps flowing while the actual product stays half-baked. Buyers who drop serious cash (I know people who spent over $40k on top models) usually end up disappointed , a cute wave, a stiff dance, maybe one scripted task before it becomes expensive shelf decoration. Enterprises use them for PR stunts, not real workforce replacement. The software, the real intelligence, the reliability? Nowhere near ready. So yeah, long term the tech might mature, but right now? This wave is mostly vaporware wrapped in impressive assembly lines. Don’t get sucked in. It’s designed to separate investors from their wallets and keep the “China innovation” story alive for the stats books. Save your excitement (and your money) for when these things can actually do useful work without a backstage crew. #HumanoidRobots #ChinaTech #Robotics #AI #Automation
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇨🇳 China now has 4 companies producing 10,000+ humanoid robots a year. All 4 are Chinese. One of them builds a new robot every 30 minutes. Blink, and they’ve built another one.

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Lazzyyyyyy
Lazzyyyyyy@em_Lazzy·
The Strait of Hormuz is open. The Strait of Hormuz is closed. The Strait of Hormuz is open again. The Strait of Hormuz is closed again. The Strait of Hormuz is open again again. The Strait of Hormuz is closed again again. THIS IS RIDICULOUS.
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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
@MarioNawfal Textbook move from Tehran. State media doesn’t flip to full war footing without a direct nod from the top. They’re not “hedging”,they’re conditioning the public for the ceasefire to blow up in 72 hours. Trump’s deal was always smoke. Clock’s ticking.
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇮🇷 Iranian state media is shifting tone, moving toward war footing and preparing public opinion for a resumption of hostilities. State media in Iran doesn't change register without direction. Either the deal Trump announced isn't real, or Tehran is hedging against it falling apart, or both. The ceasefire expires in 3 days. Source: MES
Mario Nawfal tweet mediaMario Nawfal tweet mediaMario Nawfal tweet mediaMario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Trump called Iran "a little cute" for trying to close the Strait again. . .

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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
@MarioNawfal One text from Rogan and Trump just shredded 56 years of FDA red tape on ibogaine. “Sounds great. Let’s do it.” Bureaucracy finally catching a beatdown. This could actually save lives from addiction. About damn time. 💥
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸 Joe Rogan texted Trump about Ibogaine for addiction treatment. Trump's reply: "Sounds great. Do you want FDA approval? Let's do it." 56 years of restrictions. One text to undo it. x.com/EricLDaugh/sta…
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸 RFK Jr.: "This Executive Order removes legal barriers blocking U.S. researchers, doctors, and clinicians from properly studying these medicines and, where appropriate, setting safe therapeutic protocols." x.com/RapidResponse4…

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iTamara
iTamara@Real___iTamara·
I'm sorry, gay couples should not be allowed to adopt babies. You opted out of God's natural plan. You don't get to confuse a child and mess their life up because you are confused and your life is messed up.
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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
This is straight fire, Mario. Washington walked in like it was 2003 Iraq 2.0 , quick regime wobble, done. Instead Iran played the long game they’ve been rehearsing for 40 years. The five points you laid out are brutal, but the real sixth sin was pure ideological blindness: they thought pressure would fracture the regime when it actually forged it tighter than ever. External enemy is instant national glue. Every missile they lobbed at U.S. bases, every barrel over $120, every whisper about Hormuz… it all screamed “we’re not folding.” They didn’t just survive the “controlled” conflict ,they flipped the script and forced America back to the table with its own oil prices biting it in the ass. History’s cruelest lesson repeating on loop: you can bomb hardware, you can sanction economies, but you can’t bomb an idea or sanction a people who’ve already decided dying on their feet beats kneeling. Now the real question: does DC finally learn, or are we just reloading for round two?
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Why the U.S.-Iran war didn’t go as planned? Washington expected a short, controlled conflict that would force Iran to back down. Instead, weeks later, it was back at the negotiating table. The first mistake was misreading Iran’s resolve. Pressure did not make it retreat. The second was assuming the fight would stay limited. Iran directly targeted U.S. bases. The third was counting on others to stay out. The battlefield expanded. The fourth was betting on internal collapse. Instead, the war unified the country. The fifth was underestimating the economic impact. Oil surged past 120 dollars per barrel. Iran also showed it was willing to disrupt Hormuz. What was meant to be controlled started slipping out of control. Source: DiplomaticEdit
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇮🇷 Iran Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei: "Iran's Army is standing side by side with their comrades from the other armed forces, battling the two leading armies of disbelief and Arrogance. And the Islamic Army has exposed those armies’ weakness and humiliation to the world." Source: MKhamenei_en TG

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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
@AUgirl2831 @BillAckman Exactly. $850k in taxes yearly + millions in donations. Tax him more and watch him bolt to Florida. NYC chasing away its biggest payers is pure self-destruction. Need more winners, not fewer.
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ShannonB
ShannonB@AUgirl2831·
@ShawSiew @BillAckman He pays 850k in property TAXES a YEAR and donates millions to numerous causes in NYC..he should sell his 283k penthouse and take it ALL to FL 🙄
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Bill Ackman
Bill Ackman@BillAckman·
Non-residents who spend millions of dollars on NYC apartments help drive NYC’s economy. Most of the profit in condominium development is in the penthouses. The Ken Griffins of the world make NYC high end development viable, driving high-paying construction, brokerage, legal, marketing, and other jobs in NYC. We should be applauding Ken for spending $238 million in NYC, not attacking him for doing so. Importantly, non-resident owners of NYC apartments who leave their apartments vacant for much of the year are not a burden to NYC schools, services, or other resources while they drive growth in retail sales, restaurants, theater, and other important drivers of our economy. They also often support NYC non-profits with donations. Ken’s company is a major employer in NYC of very high paying jobs which drive a considerable amount of our tax base. We wouldn’t want him to move even more employees to Miami. These non-resident owners also already pay a lot of taxes including mansion taxes, real estate taxes, sales taxes and more. While @NYCMayor Mamdani likes the tag line ‘Tax the rich.’ Unfortunately, his policies will harm the constituencies he is supposedly trying to help. I can’t imagine the NYC construction unions are excited about his plan.
Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani@NYCMayor

Happy Tax Day, New York. We’re taxing the rich.

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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
@mesabilon @BillAckman That $238M penthouse gets taxed like it's only worth $9.4M. His bill? Barely $500k a year. 0.22% effective rate while normal folks get hammered. The pied-à-terre tax just makes these empty trophy vaults pay closer to fair.
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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
Bro, “you was never gonna afford that” is your big comeback? Not everyone calling out trophy apartments is broke and jealous. Plenty of working New Yorkers see how these empty luxury pads jack up prices for everyone else. It’s not envy, it’s math. Try actual economics next time instead of lame personal shots.
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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
That $238M penthouse was bought raw ,Griffin still dumped millions more on custom build out, finishes, staff, and all that. Sure, some cash flowed to local workers at the time, but once it's done? It's mostly a trophy sitting empty most of the year while he jets between Miami, Chicago, and wherever. That's not "fueling the economy" for regular New Yorkers , it's parking wealth in sky high real estate that normal families will never touch, driving up land values and construction costs across Manhattan. And the tax angle? Come on. Property taxes on these ultra-luxury pads sound huge in absolute dollars, but as a share of what these guys make and the public services they actually use (private security, private everything), they're still playing a different game. Meanwhile, the real pain is how policies like heavy rent stabilization have locked up supply. Recent numbers show over 26,000 rent-stabilized units sitting vacant and off-market ,not because of "greedy landlords," but because the rules make it suicidal to renovate or rent them out without losing your shirt on upgrades or facing endless tenant lock-in. Vacancy rate for stabilized units is under 1%, way tighter than market-rate, and overcrowding is worse there too. That artificial scarcity is what keeps rents brutal for everyone else. Taxing the rich harder or freezing rents more just accelerates the exit ,we've already seen the "Mamdani effect" pushing talent and capital to Florida. The fix isn't squeezing the top harder; it's unleashing real supply so working New Yorkers aren't priced out by a system that protects incumbents and punishes new building. Slogans feel good, but basic incentives win every time. What's your actual plan that doesn't chase more people and jobs away?
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VicMelsky
VicMelsky@VicMelsky·
Okay, if wealthy non residents buying fancy houses in NYC isn't stimulating NYC's economy, what do you think would be? To me it seems pretty obvious that when Ken Griffin drops 200million on a dwelling, that's 200 million that went into the pockets of the people who provided the land and materials and labor. Most of those people were probably New Yorkers. That simply IS a contribution to the local economy. You're welcome to disagree if you have some creative argument, but the burden of proof is clearly on you. Also, you do know he already pays MORE than proportionally, right!? So paying proportionally would actually mean he ends up paying less. Griffin's property taxes are probably on the order of about 100x the avg. residence. Do you really imagine he consumes 100x the average amount of public services that are funded by property tax? He definitely does not! His consumption might not even be 2x the average. Don't get me wrong though, I think that Mamdani could make policy changes that would help average NYCers get housing more affordably. He would just have to actually be intellectually honest about what the real problems are. For instance, he could remove rent stabilization regulations. There are estimated to be over 20,000 units that are vacant because escalating code requirements would cost thousands or more to make them compliant. But rent controls won't allow the price to go to market rates, so it's actually less affordable for the owner to refurbish and rent or sell (when they're even legally allowed to sell) than it is for them to just eat holding costs forever on vacant units. That's inventory that is already mostly there, just forcibly removed from the market by well intentioned, but moronic, policy decisions. If those units were competing in the market that would provide downward pressure on prices. And that's without even getting any better at permitting new construction... Obviously building more is going to be necessary, but boosting the supply of vacant residential inventory by more than 70% would definitely be good for anyone looking for housing in the city.
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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
Oil tankers have started moving through the Strait of Hormuz again, which is a positive sign amid the ceasefire. That said, the situation remains fragile with the US blockade on Iranian ports still in place, conflicting signals from both sides, and many ships still turning back or sticking to restricted routes. It's too early to get overly optimistic; a lasting resolution will likely take more time and careful negotiations.
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Nick Sortor
Nick Sortor@nicksortor·
🚨 NOW: An INCREASING number of tankers have SUCCESSFULLY traversed the Strait of Hormuz, as President Trump works to finalize the peace deal Progress is ABSOLUTELY being made. Keep pushing, 47. Let’s wrap this up 🇺🇸
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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
@MarioNawfal Haha, that sneaky domain block sounds exactly like the kind of petty tech nonsense that drives us all crazy. Mcmx.im -classic longmao vibes, still feels like home base for the crew. Smart workaround, props for keeping the story alive anyway.
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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
This is pure Iranian regime bullshit. They open and close the Strait like it's their personal light switch whenever they need drama or bargaining chips. Real talk: the world’s oil isn’t gonna kneel to Tehran’s mood swings. Markets will shrug this off quick, price in the noise, and Iran usually folds once the heat turns up. Desperate move, same old game. Watch the oil bump disappear fast.
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's state media confirmed that the Strait of Hormuz has been closed again: "The U.S. did not fulfill its obligations. Therefore, the Strait of Hormuz is now closed again, and passage requires Iran’s approval." When it reopened, Iran warned the U.S. had to lift its blockade, but Trump didn't, so they've clamped down again. Source: IRIB
Mario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's embassy issuing military threats mid-negotiation... not great diplomacy.

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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
This is straight up mind blowing. Giving sight to someone who's never seen a thing in their life? Not fixing damaged eyes straight up painting the world onto the brain. Monkeys are already responding to it after years with the implant. If it hits humans like the Telepathy stuff is doing, we're talking about rewriting what "disability" even means. Can't wait to see the first patient reactions. This one's gonna touch millions.
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DogeDesigner
DogeDesigner@cb_doge·
Neuralink’s next product BlindSight aims to restore vision for people born blind. The implant has already shown success in monkeys. If this scales to humans, it’s not just a breakthrough. It’s millions of lives changed and an entirely new chapter for humanity.
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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
Bro, you're dreaming. $3/month for iMessage and "not a single customer lost"? People are already drowning in subs,Netflix, Spotify, iCloud, Apple One. Slap a price on texting and watch half the group chats flip to WhatsApp or plain RCS overnight. Blue bubbles are cute until your wallet's bleeding for what used to be free. iMessage's "loyalty" is mostly US teen drama and green bubble shame. Everywhere else? WhatsApp owns it. Even here, RCS is catching up fast and it's built-in. Apple's smart enough not to kill the golden goose with greedy nonsense like this. They'd lose way more than you think. Delete this take before Tim sees it 😂
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Mark Palmer
Mark Palmer@MarketPalmer_·
Apple could start charging $3/month for iMessage and I don't think they'd lose a single customer.
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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
Finally ditching those sketchy artificial dyes for real stuff from fruits and veggies. One less thing turning our kids' drinks into a chemistry experiment. Now hit the sugar and the rest of the junk list, and you'll actually deserve the "thirst quencher" crown. Keep the momentum going, RFK. America’s watching.
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Secretary Kennedy
Secretary Kennedy@SecKennedy·
Thank you, @Gatorade, for removing artificial FD&C colors and switching to newly @US_FDA–approved plant-based dyes from fruits and vegetables. I urge every food company to follow your lead and join us to Make America Healthy Again.
Secretary Kennedy tweet media
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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
This is straight up brinkmanship. Iran’s playing the only card they have left threatening the world’s oil tap while the US keeps the squeeze on their ports. One wrong move and gas prices spike everywhere, but neither side wants to blink first in these talks. Classic high-stakes poker. Who folds?
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🚨BREAKING: 🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran locks down the Strait of Hormuz again Iranian Central Military Command: "The Strait of Hormuz has returned to its previous state before the ceasefire, and is under strict control of the IRGC, and will remain so until the United States lifts its blockade." Source: Al Jazeera
Mario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump "expects things to go well" as the U.S and Iran continue to negotiate over the weekend. That's quite the backslide from yesterday's claims that Iran had agreed to all his demands.

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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
This one smells like the oldest game in DC: someone always gets the call 20 minutes early. $760M short on Brent right before Trump drops the Hormuz news? Oil tanks, they print. Again. Not "unusual." Just Washington doing what it does best rig the table while the rest of us play by the rules. How many times does this need to happen before someone actually investigates? Wild.
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
BREAKING: Just 20 minutes before Trump's announcement that the Strait of Hormuz was open, massive trades hit the market. Investors sold a combined 7,990 lots of Brent crude futures, ​a $760 million bet that oil would go down. These orders were much larger than anything else at the time. The traders made huge gains. Unusual.
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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
Back in '85, Nigeria Airways was flying strong with a solid fleet while Emirates was just getting off the ground with a couple of planes. Fast forward more than 40 years: one built a global empire through vision, discipline, and smart long term bets. The other got buried under endless corruption, political meddling, and zero accountability. It's not bad luck,it's what happens when leaders treat national assets like personal ATMs instead of building something that lasts. We had the head start. We squandered it. Time to stop romanticizing the past and demand better, or the next chart will look even worse. Nigeria deserves airlines that actually fly, not just stories about what we used to have.
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Annie▫️
Annie▫️@AnnUdoh5·
In 1985 Nigeria Airways had 17 Planes, Emirates had only 3 Planes. In 2026,Emirates has 356 planes, Nigeria has None.
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ShawSiew
ShawSiew@ShawSiew·
😂Scott, this is pure gold. One Iranian tweet saying “strait’s open, boys” and the entire “we’re all gonna freeze in the dark” narrative just face-planted harder than a CNN chyron at 3 a.m. Oil drops double digits in hours while the same people who were screaming $200 barrels yesterday suddenly remember they have “no comment.” Markets don’t do panic theater. They do math. Thanks for the reality check—again. People need to see this clip on repeat.
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