Shivas Snake, CFA 🔱🐍 🇬🇧 ↗️

@Gingfacekillah thank you for sharing..

Here's a little Easter Egg for everyone that listened to the podcast 🫡

Dropped a few hints in this one. Always fun talking shop with Erik @outlieroptions Check it out 🫡🎧

@Gingfacekillah Add VIX close as an exogenous regressor and thank me later.

@TradingWarz Oh thx mate

@ShivasSnake tradingwarz.com/resources i posted it above

BREAKING: I am BLOWN AWAY by the support this is for you! My FULL Options SELLING COURSE from Beginner to PRO SP500 Futures $SPY This is how I made 92k with over 95% Win Rate in 1 year STEP BY STEP! Now over 8 figures To celebrate I will also throw in my CHECKLIST and Indicators Just comment "ME" and DROP A 👍!

@jimcramer Now down openings will fail too

Down opening..at last for semis... we have had up openings and they have all failed

@investingidiocy @investingidiocy you are savage man. Funny thing is many wont be able to figure out the dead pan sarcasm there - oh boy 😭

Congratulations, you are the first person I have found doing implicit insample fitting on X today.

One of the Ali LARIJANI friend shared a story - The Other Side of Mr. Larijani. He writes; A few months ago on an autumn afternoon at their home, I met his wife. We were supposed to talk about her mother, but throughout our entire conversation, "ALI" never left her lips. She said: "When Ali is not home, it feels like my hands have been cut off! When Ali is here, he does all the household chores. Without me even asking him to, he moves the groceries. He cleans the vegetables, chicken & washes the dishes." My mouth hung open at the thought: how could a man who carries Iran's national security on his shoulders outside the home be able to clean chicken and wash dishes at home. She further said, "Ali hadn't been home for six months. Ever since the twelve-day war, he was no longer allowed to have a normal life." A man whom the world's superpowers had put a bounty on to kill, was a romantic soul with the heart of a young man, a seasoned demeanour & calm maturity. Farideh said, "Ali never took a salary from the parliament, nor from his later responsibilities. His salary for years has been the same as a university professor, from which he even deposits a portion each month into the public treasury so as not to be indebted. She said when we were buying this house, we needed money, and my daughter suggested, "Dad, couldn't you take your back pay from the parliament?" But Ali refused and said: "We owe this country so much. I have no claims." These words were said by someone who, from the first days of the revolution, had not spent a moment in comfort and had run and toiled for Iran. She said, "Ali's family was above my family, and they had plenty of land and sheep in the north. But the house they had chosen for us after marriage was so small that Agha Shaheed Motahhari (Father of Fareed) had to buy two sofa sets and two carpets for his daughter's dowry to fill the empty spaces in the house." Those same sofa sets and carpets that were still in Ali and Farideh's home, and they had no other sofas besides the ones that Martyr Motahhari had bought forty years ago. It wasn't strange at all. Farideh said: "In these forty-something years since my father's martyrdom, Ali has been a father to me, and a husband, and a friend, and a teacher. I can't bear to see even a single hair missing from his head." Last night, when I read the news of Mr. Ali's martyrdom with the phrase "Ali Larijani has been martyred," I wasn't worried about him at all, or even the revolution. But I thought a lot about Ms. Farideh. About a woman whose father Morteza was martyred one day & yesterday her friend, teacher, and husband Ali—who, when he was not home, feels like Farideh's hands have been severed—and even her son Morteza, who had a beautiful voice and gave a lovely call to prayer. I am sure that a single sigh from this woman could uproot America and Israel.

@alaafromgaza92 Encourage everyone to report the fundraiser for misuse of their platform for collection of tuition fees and repeat scams uaing victim card.

Hi, this is Alaa Radwan, I wanted to clarify my situation following the attack I was subjected to. I have deleted the tweet that reached over 6.5 million views, in which I asked for support to help cover part of the expenses for pursuing my MA in the UK. I have also temporarily deactivated my account after receiving a large volume of hateful comments and messages. I am attaching a small sample of these messages in the comments. I would like to firmly confirm that I am a real person and that this fundraiser is genuine. I am not a scammer. This is my fundraiser gofund.me/e7f29e9fb I'd like to thank everyone who donated to my cause. In addition to the online harassment, I have also been subjected to a highly distressing and inaccurate attack on British national television on GB News. In response to these accusations, I have written a detailed article explaining my situation and addressing the claims made against me. You can read it here: alaafromgaza.substack.com/p/attacked-on-… The GB News segment can be viewed here: youtube.com/watch?v=UXIpsu… @JKSteinberger @MonicaLMarks @History__Speaks @owenjonesjourno @KavitaAlguMD

@investingluc @perplexity_ai This is crazy. Did you tell it which api to use paid or free? Or did it workout on its own with free apis?

here is the prompt I used on @perplexity_ai max (Computer)...feel free to mess around with the weightings, etc. ----------------------- PROMPT: Build “Should I Be Trading?” — Bloomberg Terminal-Style Market Dashboard Build a live, auto-refreshing Bloomberg Terminal-style web dashboard called “Should I Be Trading?” that evaluates the current stock market environment and outputs a clear, actionable trading decision for swing traders. --- Core Output The system must display: 1. Decision: YES / CAUTION / NO 2. Market Quality Score: 0–100% 3. Execution Window Score: 0–100% (separate) 4. Plain-English Summary: concise explanation of the environment --- Data Inputs (Live or Latest Available) Volatility / Risk - VIX level, trend (5d slope), and 1-year percentile - VVIX (if available) - Put/Call ratio (estimate if needed from VIX regime) Trend & Structure - S&P 500 (SPY) vs 20 / 50 / 200-day moving averages - QQQ vs 50-day moving average - SPY 14-day RSI - Market regime classification: uptrend / downtrend / chop Breadth - % of stocks above 20d / 50d / 200d moving averages - NYSE Advance/Decline line + daily ratio - Nasdaq new highs vs new lows - McClellan Oscillator (optional if available) Momentum / Participation - All 11 S&P sector ETFs: XLK, XLF, XLE, XLV, XLI, XLY, XLP, XLU, XLB, XLRE, XLC - Top 3 vs bottom 3 sector performance (relative strength spread) - % of stocks making higher highs Macro / Liquidity - 10-Year Treasury yield (level + short-term trend) - Dollar Index (DXY trend) - Fed stance (derived or labeled: hawkish / neutral / dovish) - FOMC calendar (flag if event within 72 hours or same day) - Optional: CPI / Jobs flags --- Scoring System Calculate category scores (0–100): - Volatility: 25% - Momentum: 25% - Trend: 20% - Breadth: 20% - Macro/Liquidity: 10% Then compute: Market Quality Score = weighted average --- Decision Logic - 80–100 → YES Full position sizing, press risk - 60–79 → CAUTION Half size, A+ setups only - <60 → NO Avoid trading, preserve capital --- Execution Window Score (Critical Layer) Separate score that evaluates whether setups are actually working: - Are breakouts holding above pivot levels? - Are leading stocks maintaining gains after breakout? - Are pullbacks being bought quickly? - Is there multi-day follow-through? Score 0–100 and factor into final explanation (but NOT the main score weighting). --- UI / UX Requirements (Bloomberg Terminal Style) Visual Style - Dark blue/black background - Monospace font - Green / red / amber indicators - Minimal, dense, high-signal layout --- Layout Top Bar - Scrolling ticker (SPY, QQQ, VIX, DXY, TNX, sectors) - Status indicator: LIVE / UPDATING - Last updated timestamp (“updated 12s ago”) - Manual refresh button --- Hero Panel - Large “Should I Trade?” decision badge (YES / CAUTION / NO) - Circular score visualization (0–100%) - Subtext: “Market Quality Score” --- Core Panels (Grid) Each panel includes: - Current value - Direction (↑ ↓ →) - Interpretation (healthy / weakening / risk-off) Panels: 1. Volatility 2. Trend 3. Breadth 4. Momentum 5. Macro --- Sector Heatmap - Horizontal bar visualization of 11 sector ETFs - Highlight leaders vs laggards --- Scoring Breakdown Panel - Show weight + score per category - Visual contribution to total score --- Alert Banner - Display when FOMC / CPI / major macro event is imminent --- Terminal Analysis (AI Layer) Generate a short explanation like: “This is a strong trend environment with expanding breadth and moderate volatility. Sector leadership is concentrated in technology and industrials. Favor selective swing trades with disciplined risk.” --- Mode Toggle - Swing Trading Mode - Day Trading Mode (adjust thresholds slightly tighter and faster) --- Technical Requirements - Auto-refresh every 45 seconds - Server-side cache (30 seconds) to reduce API load - Loading skeleton states while fetching - Error handling for missing data - Modular architecture (easy to swap APIs) --- Output Requirements Return: 1. Full frontend layout (React preferred, Tailwind optional) 2. Backend/data aggregation logic (Node or Python) 3. Clear scoring formulas (editable) 4. Example output using current/latest market data 5. API recommendations (free + paid) --- Success Criteria - Clean, fast, high-signal UI - Accurate regime detection - Simple, trustworthy YES / NO output - Feels like a personal risk manager, not just a data dashboard ♥️Luc

I made a "should I be trading?" dashboard. Scores the market across 5 pillars: - volatility (put/call ratio, vix, positioning) - trend (spx vs 20d, 50d, 200d ma's) - breadth (advancing/declining, nas highs/lows) - momentum (sector leaders, laggards, % participation) - macro (fomc, rates, geopolitics) Each is weighted, combined, and averaged to give me a score for the current environment. Basically a yes, no, or stay small. Sometimes I just need someone (or something) to remind me to stay out. Happy to share the prompt if you guys want it...but I made this with @perplexity_ai's Computer.

@HussainiSyed73 @s_m_marandi And you do that while sitting in Saudi? Bravo @MOISaudiArabia

When this war is over, the Qatari dictatorship will be forced to pay full reparations for the crimes this US proxy enabled against the Iranian people. The assault on Iran began with the drones that flew from Doha to murder General Soleimani and Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis.

@longriverCM You sound like a CDO salesman pre-GFC LOL

$FMCC $FMNA A housing slowdown does impact Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, but not in the way most people expect. They are not directly tied to home sales like builders or real estate agents. Instead, they make money by buying, guaranteeing, and securitizing mortgages—so their exposure is more tied to mortgage activity and credit performance than transaction volume. Right now, the housing market is better described as “frozen” rather than collapsing. Supply remains constrained, demand exists, but high mortgage rates have slowed transactions. This leads to fewer new loans and refinancing activity, which can weigh on short-term growth for Fannie and Freddie. However, limited housing supply is also keeping home prices relatively stable. That’s important because it protects the quality of the mortgages they guarantee. As long as home prices hold and unemployment stays low, default risk remains contained—this is far more critical to their stability than how many homes are being sold. Looking ahead, if interest rates decline, mortgage activity could rebound through refinancing and improved affordability. Combined with ongoing government support, this creates a more stable medium-term outlook. In short, this environment is a volume slowdown—not a credit crisis. And for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, credit health matters far more than transaction volume. I’d keep my focus on unemployment rate a bit more at this point.

@justbrowser99 @michaeljburry @BillAckman Or will be bagholded. Ackman aversge cost is in 2s and he probably dumped a lot on this retail pumps. Story as old as hills

When 2 billionaires @michaeljburry and @BillAckman who have direct access to the administration and/or president, say as much as they legally can implying both $FNMA & $FMCC are going to be released in some capacity… BELIEVE them. The patient will be rewarded.

@negligible_cap Until it hits pennies

$FNMA / $FMCC – when does the bleeding stop for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? The GSE’s continue getting smoked

@iV_trader I mean what kind of ingredients do you use to come up with your directional views? You use options data or some kind of esoteric stuff like i dunno astrofinance maybe

@ShivasSnake I dont understand the question....but I guess

Weekly model>>> Massive day Thank you for attention to this matter $SPX

@kashyap286 Why the limits on outgoing then

UAE central bank has sufficient forex reserves to handle $270 billion in capital outflows. To put that in context, the US FDIC only has $154 billion in reserves.

@XfractiousX @BillAckman Every bag holder now owns preferred LOL

@ShivasSnake @BillAckman I own preferred retard

Hey @BillAckman you have owned more than 10% of many companies - are you BUYING THE DIP in $FNMA $FMCC? With your price targets seems like a no brainer. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER

@alon_mizrahi Do you want some ice with that too?

Arab regimes have just one way to save themselves, the region and the world from catastrophe, and that's to immediately and unconditionally cut all ties with Israel, reject normalization forever, and order all American military personnel, spies and mercenaries out of their territories, with an ultimatum before cutting all ties with the US as well and removing its people and bases by force. But they won't do it, and so they won't survive what's coming

@nathandeanDC Ackman dumping on bagholders

Friends, I don't cover $FNMA $FMCC so my apologies if this question is a dumb one (and this is just for my own personal curiosity since I won't cover them), but can anyone explain why we're seeing the moves we're seeing today?